US dataswitch to UK
First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers
inspecting work progress, ordering or requisitioning materials or supplies and preparing solar installation project proposals. If that's your week, this page is about your job.
The honest answer
AI is already taking a real slice of the routine work here: estimating material or worker requirements to complete jobs. That is a slice of tasks, not of you.
That slice is not coming back; the core of the job, inspecting work progress, equipment or construction sites to verify safety or to ensure that specifications are met, stays yours. The tools change, the responsibility doesn't.
Your week, as this page understands it
Directly supervise and coordinate activities of construction or extraction workers. The job title says “first-line supervisors of construction trades” or “extraction workers”: officially one job, two names. The real job is the part underneath: inspecting work progress, equipment or construction sites to verify safety or to ensure that specifications are met. That is the thing someone has to be right about.
The exposed part of this job is specific, and we won’t pretend it is coming back. But first-line supervisors of construction trades and extraction workers is not one task. It is 30 scored ones, and they are nowhere near equally exposed. The most durable of them, on this evidence, is inspecting work progress, equipment or construction sites to verify safety or to ensure that specifications are met, and the ledger below shows exactly why.
Where the work sits, by task weight
- shifting to AI
- 28%
- changing shape
- 16%
- staying human
- 56%
These bars are tasks changing hands, not people being counted out. The ledger below shows which.
Whole-job exposure score 38 out of 100 (32–44 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, across 30 scored tasks. The number is the support for the sentence above it, not a headline about anyone’s future.
How we know this
What is measured: Every published task statement for first-line supervisors of construction trades and extraction workers is rated on five dimensions: can a model produce the output, does the work need a body in a room, does it need a legally accountable person, does it depend on a person being trusted in the moment, and how much data exists. A published formula turns those five ratings into the score; the model never writes the number.
How the bar is built: Each task’s share of the bar is its published importance weight, so a task you do all day counts for more than one you do twice a year.
Release: 2026-q4.1, scores computed 2026-08-04. Read the full method.
Your job, task by task
These are the official task statements for this occupation, in plain English, sorted by what the evidence says is happening to each one. The official wording sits under every line so you can check the rewrite against it.
- 4 of this occupation's scored task statements carry a score that was measured under a different occupation's context, because the statement is shared between jobs and has only been scored once so far. Each one names the occupation it was measured under in the free routes below; none is presented as a measurement for this job.
- Task clusters are not derived in this release, so the task-cluster field is empty and no Collab365 Space routing is attached to this occupation yet.
Shifting to AI
9 tasksTasks today’s tools can already do most of. This is the part we will not soften: where these rows are the bulk of your week, the week changes.
Estimating material or worker requirements to complete jobs
This is reading one thing and writing another: material in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Estimate material or worker requirements to complete jobs.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (71–79 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Estimating materials and labour from drawings and job data is well-documented calculation.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Ordering or requisitioning materials or supplies
This is reading one thing and writing another: materials in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Order or requisition materials or supplies.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 79 out of 100 (75–83 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Ordering materials and supplies runs from job requirements through supplier systems.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Estimating materials, equipment and personnel needed for residential or commercial solar installation projects
This is reading one thing and writing another: materials, equipment and personnel in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Estimate materials, equipment, and personnel needed for residential or commercial solar installation projects.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (71–79 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Estimating materials, kit and crew for a solar job is calculation from the design and job data.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Identifying means to reduce costs
This is reading one thing and writing another: means in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Identify means to reduce costs, minimize risks, or increase efficiency of solar installation projects.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (68–82 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Finding savings and efficiency gains is analysis of project costs, schedules and methods.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Changing shape
5 tasksTasks where the machine takes the producing and a person keeps the checking, the deciding, or the answering-for-it. For most jobs this is the biggest group, and it is where "transformation, not termination" is literally visible.
Reading specifications, such as blueprints, to determine construction requirements or to plan procedures
The software now makes the first pass at specifications, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Read specifications, such as blueprints, to determine construction requirements or to plan procedures.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 58 out of 100 (51–65 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Reading drawings to work out requirements is desk work, though software still misreads construction drawings often.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Providing technical assistance
The software now makes the first pass at technical assistance, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Provide technical assistance to installers, technicians, or other solar professionals in areas such as solar electric systems, solar thermal systems, electrical systems, or mechanical systems.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 48 out of 100 (41–55 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Technical answers on solar and electrical systems are well documented, though installers often need someone present.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Assessing system performance or functionality at the system
The software now makes the first pass at system performance, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Assess system performance or functionality at the system, subsystem, and component levels.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 56 out of 100 (49–63 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: System and component performance is largely read from monitoring data, with some checking on site.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Staying human
16 tasksTasks that stay with a person, because they happen in the physical world, because the rules need someone accountable, or because the value is that a specific person does them.
Inspecting work progress, equipment or construction sites to verify safety or to ensure that specifications are met
This work happens in the physical world: work progress, equipment or construction sites, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Inspect work progress, equipment, or construction sites to verify safety or to ensure that specifications are met.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 7 out of 100 (3–11 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Checking progress and safety means walking the site and looking at the actual work.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Supervising solar installers, technicians and subcontractors for solar installation projects to ensure compliance with safety standards
This work happens in the physical world: solar installers, technicians and subcontractors, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Supervise solar installers, technicians, and subcontractors for solar installation projects to ensure compliance with safety standards.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 10 out of 100 (3–17 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Keeping installers and subcontractors working safely means being on the roof or in the yard with them.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Supervising, coordinating or scheduling the activities of construction or extractive workers
This work happens in the physical world: the activities of construction, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Supervise, coordinate, or schedule the activities of construction or extractive workers.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 18 out of 100 (11–25 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Scheduling can be planned at a screen, but directing crews happens on site with the people doing the work.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Show the other 20 tasks
Preparing solar installation project proposals
shifting to AIThis is reading one thing and writing another: solar installation project proposals in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Prepare solar installation project proposals, quotes, budgets, or schedules.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (71–79 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Proposals, quotes, budgets and schedules are built from job data and standard templates.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Recording information, such as personnel, production or operational data on specified forms or reports
shifting to AIThis is reading one thing and writing another: information in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Record information, such as personnel, production, or operational data on specified forms or reports.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 69 out of 100 (62–76 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Filling in personnel, production and operational records is form-filling that systems capture directly.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Coordinating or scheduling building inspections for solar installation projects
shifting to AIThis is reading one thing and writing another: inspections in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Coordinate or schedule building inspections for solar installation projects.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 64 out of 100 (57–71 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Booking inspections with the local authority is scheduling and correspondence.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Evaluating subcontractors or subcontractor bids
shifting to AIThis is reading one thing and writing another: subcontractors in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 4 · SupplementalSource: “Evaluate subcontractors or subcontractor bids for quality, cost, and reliability.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 64 out of 100 (57–71 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Comparing subcontractor bids on cost, quality and reliability is document comparison against records.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Purchasing or renting equipment for solar energy system installation
shifting to AIThis is reading one thing and writing another: equipment in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 3 · CoreSource: “Purchase or rent equipment for solar energy system installation.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 64 out of 100 (57–71 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Buying or hiring installation equipment is ordering work done through suppliers.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Developing and maintaining system architecture
changing shapeThe software now makes the first pass at system architecture, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 4 · SupplementalSource: “Develop and maintain system architecture, including all piping, instrumentation, or process flow diagrams.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 50 out of 100 (43–57 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Producing and updating piping, instrumentation and process diagrams is technical drawing needing engineering judgement.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Arranging for repairs of equipment or machinery
changing shapeThe software now makes the first pass at repairs of equipment, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Arrange for repairs of equipment or machinery.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 48 out of 100 (41–55 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Arranging equipment repairs is booking and paperwork, with a short handover when the engineer comes.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Assigning work to employees, based on material or worker requirements of specific jobs
staying humanThe value here is that a specific person handles work and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Assign work to employees, based on material or worker requirements of specific jobs.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 35 out of 100 (28–42 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Matching jobs to available people and materials is planning, though the crew takes the assignment from their supervisor.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Planning and coordinating installations of photovoltaic
staying humanThe ratings behind this row put installations of photovoltaic well outside what today's tools can do on their own.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Plan and coordinate installations of photovoltaic (PV) solar and solar thermal systems to ensure conformance to codes.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 32 out of 100 (25–39 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Planning solar installs to meet codes is document and design work, with coordination happening on site.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Conferring with managerial or technical personnel
staying humanThe value here is that a specific person handles managerial and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Confer with managerial or technical personnel, other departments, or contractors to resolve problems or to coordinate activities.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 26 out of 100 (19–33 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Resolving problems with contractors and other departments is largely talking things through with the people involved.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Coordinating work activities with other construction project activities
staying humanThe value here is that a specific person handles work activities and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Coordinate work activities with other construction project activities.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 26 out of 100 (19–33 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Coordinating with other trades is mostly messaging and scheduling, but agreement is reached with people on site.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Analyzing worker or production problems and recommending solutions
staying humanThe value here is that a specific person handles worker and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Analyze worker or production problems and recommend solutions, such as improving production methods or implementing motivational plans.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 26 out of 100 (19–33 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Software can analyse production data and suggest fixes, but motivating a crew depends on the supervisor.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Assessing potential solar installation sites to determine feasibility and design requirements
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: potential solar installation sites, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Assess potential solar installation sites to determine feasibility and design requirements.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 25 out of 100 (18–32 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Feasibility can be sketched from maps and bills, but roof condition and shading need a visit.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Monitoring work of contractors and subcontractors to ensure projects conform
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: work of contractors, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Monitor work of contractors and subcontractors to ensure projects conform to plans, specifications, schedules, or budgets.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 24 out of 100 (17–31 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Progress against plans and budgets can be tracked in software, but checking the real work means being there.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Training workers in construction methods
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: workers, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Train workers in construction methods, operation of equipment, safety procedures, or company policies.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 18 out of 100 (11–25 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Training material is easy to prepare, but teaching equipment use and safety happens hands-on with workers.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Suggesting or initiating personnel actions
staying humanThe value here is that a specific person handles personnel actions and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.
importance 3 · CoreSource: “Suggest or initiate personnel actions, such as promotions, transfers, or hires.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 18 out of 100 (11–25 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Recommending promotions, transfers or hires rests on knowing the individual workers well.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 3/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Locating, measuring and marking site locations or placement of structures or equipment, using measuring and marking equipment
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: site locations, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Locate, measure, and mark site locations or placement of structures or equipment, using measuring and marking equipment.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Setting out and marking positions on the ground is measuring work done physically on site.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Providing assistance to workers engaged in construction or extraction activities
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: assistance, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Provide assistance to workers engaged in construction or extraction activities, using hand tools or other equipment.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Pitching in with hand tools alongside the crew is physical work.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Performing start-up of systems for testing or customer implementation
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: start-up of systems, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Perform start-up of systems for testing or customer implementation.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Commissioning and starting up a system means switching on and testing equipment on site.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Visiting customer sites to determine solar system needs
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: customer sites, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Visit customer sites to determine solar system needs, requirements, or specifications.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Visiting a customer's site to work out what they need is being physically present.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
What this job pays, and how many people do it
- Median pay
- $79,920a year, the middle of the range, so half earn more and half earn less.bls-oews, 2025 · May 2025 estimates (national_M2025_dl.xlsx)
How we know this
Source: bls-oews
Reference period: May 2025 estimates (national_M2025_dl.xlsx)
Rounding: Shown as published.
- People doing this job
- 812,210in the US, 2025.bls-oews · May 2025 estimates (national_M2025_dl.xlsx)
What is deliberately not here: a forecast of how many of these jobs exist in ten years. Where an official projection exists for a market we publish it with its vintage; where it does not, we leave the space empty rather than borrow the other country’s number.
Why this is shifting
The reason is boringly specific. Most of what is shifting here is reading one thing and writing another: material in, a record out. The rows above are exactly that shape: estimating material or worker requirements to complete jobs and ordering or requisitioning materials or supplies. What it cannot do is be there in the room, and that is still where work progress, equipment or construction sites get done. Which is why this page talks about your tasks changing, not your job ending.
Your move
Over a pint: what I’d tell you if you were my friend
Your week is splitting in two, and which half fills it is the whole question. Estimating material or worker requirements to complete jobs is going; inspecting work progress, equipment or construction sites to verify safety or to ensure that specifications are met is not.
So, given all that: 28% of this job's task weight sits in rows the software is already learning, 16% in rows that change shape rather than disappear, and 56% in rows it is nowhere near. That is the position, measured across 30 scored tasks. It is not a forecast about you.
The occupation is an average and you are not, so the first job below is finding out where your own week actually sits.
This week: one thing
Print the task ledger above and put your own hours next to each row. Roughly, in pen, in one sitting. Then look at which group your hours actually pile up in. Twenty minutes, this week.
- What you end up holding
- your own week, on one page, sorted into what is shifting and what is not
- How long it takes
- about twenty minutes
If printing it isn’t practical: Read the rows off this page and write the same list on the back of an envelope. Same twenty minutes, same page, and it works just as well said out loud to someone who knows the job. The point is your hours next to the rows, not the paper it is on.
Over the next 90 days
Volunteer toward the durable end, visibly. Over the next ninety days put your hand up for the work in the bottom group (inspecting work progress, equipment or construction sites to verify safety or to ensure that specifications are met) and let people see you doing it. Not a new project: the same job, with your mix deliberately tilted. The point is that when the rota or the reorganisation comes, the version of you people picture is the one doing the part that stays.
Over the next 12 months
Claim a specialism at the durable end and let the other end go. Over a year, deliberately become the person who handles inspecting work progress, equipment or construction sites to verify safety or to ensure that specifications are met, and deliberately stop being the first choice for the rows in the top group. That trade costs something, because the exposed work is often the comfortable work. Decide it on purpose rather than by drift. Before you pay for anything, use CareerOneStop - Find local training. It is free, it is the Labor Department's own service, and it is listed below with the rest of the free routes.
The roads out of here, and why I am not sending you down them
I looked at the obvious moves out of this job, and here is what I found.
I checked the 12 nearest US occupations to first-line supervisors of construction trades and extraction workers (nearest by the work that AI is not taking, not by job title), and none of them survived. The closest was construction managers: only about 9% of its durable work is work you already do. And on the numbers you do not need one. This job scores 38/100 here, with only 28% of the task list in the top band, and “inspect work progress, equipment, or construction sites to verify safety or to…” is not work that hands over cleanly. None of them beats deepening what you already have.
How that was checked: this job was compared against all 830 US occupations in this release on their official task statements, and the 12 nearest were examined one by one. A move that turns on an industry, an employer or a qualification rather than on the work itself will not show up in a check like that. And this release carries no licence register, so anything you are weighing needs that looked up separately.
3 moves I checked and rejected
These are the obvious-looking jumps. They are here with their reasons rather than quietly dropped, because the ones that fail are worth knowing about. It is one less thing to turn over at night.
Construction Managers
Why it looked obvious: It came up as a near neighbour on the work AI is not taking: you already supervise, coordinate, or schedule the activities of construction or extractive workers, and their equivalent is to direct and supervise construction or related workers. Across both published task lists that is about 9% of the durable work in that job.
Why I am not recommending it: Almost none of it is work you already do: about 9% of the durable side of that job. That is a different job, not a next step.
First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers
Why it looked obvious: It came up as a near neighbour on the work AI is not taking: you already assign work to employees, based on material or worker requirements of specific jobs, and their equivalent is to counsel employees about work-related issues and assist employees to correct job-skill deficiencies. Across both published task lists that is about 7% of the durable work in that job.
Why I am not recommending it: Almost none of it is work you already do: about 7% of the durable side of that job. That is a different job, not a next step.
Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Technical and Scientific Products
Why it looked obvious: It came up as a near neighbour on the work AI is not taking: you already assess potential solar installation sites to determine feasibility and design requirements, and their equivalent is to assess sites to determine suitability for solar equipment, using equipment. Across both published task lists that is about 6% of the durable work in that job.
Why I am not recommending it: Almost none of it is work you already do: about 6% of the durable side of that job. That is a different job, not a next step.
What I’d stop worrying about
A friend tells you what not to spend fear on. This is that list.
The headline number you read somewhere
The big “X% of jobs” figures are about the whole economy, not about you. The number that describes your job is on this page: 28% of its task weight, across 30 scored tasks. Every row behind it is printed above with the source. Check ours; ignore theirs.
The whole-job doom story
Nothing on this page says this job ends. It says the mix inside it moves. Half the rows above are unchanged or changing shape, and the plan is about which half your week sits in. That is a very different problem, and a solvable one.
Panic-buying a course
Do the twenty-minute sorting exercise first. Most people who buy a course before they have done it buy the wrong one, and the free services listed below will tell you the same thing without charging for it.
The “obvious” next job everyone suggests
I checked the obvious moves and most of them did not survive. The reasons are printed with the routes above, including the pay and the gate. A move that fails on the numbers is worth knowing about so you can stop turning it over at night.
If you run a team doing this job
If you run a team doing this job, the conversation you owe them is the one on this page, and sooner than feels comfortable. Show them the ledger rather than a reassurance: the rows moving toward the software are estimating material or worker requirements to complete jobs, and the rows that are not are where you want your people visible. Ask each of them to do the this-week move and bring the list to your next one-to-one. It turns a rumour into a piece of work, and it tells you which parts of your team's week are actually at stake. And say the thing out loud that a team lead usually leaves unsaid: a shrinking team is your exposure too, so do the move yourself as well.
You are reading the United States figures
The United Kingdom splits this work across more than one official group, of which Construction and building trades supervisors is the closest. The pay and employment figures are not directly comparable, and we do not average them together.
Switch to the United Kingdom page →partial match
In UK official statistics this job is counted as Construction and building trades supervisors. Pay and employment stay on this page’s own group; the task list and the scores do not cross over.
Your route through this
Where to go next, and what it costs
Free, and complete
The moves above cost nothing. These are the real services that go with them: public, government-funded, and free at the point of use. Nothing on this page is behind an email address or a payment.
Anywhere in the US:
CareerOneStop - Find local training
Search what's running near you, from the Labor Department's own database, before anyone sells you a course.
Free to search; individual programs vary, and some are funded
Anywhere in the US:
An American Job Center will sit down with you for free. Find yours by ZIP code.
Free
Anywhere in the US:
CareerOneStop - Licensed occupations finder
Check what your state actually requires before you pay for anything.
Free
Anywhere in the US:
Free
No Space for this job, but one for what is happening to it
Nothing Collab365 runs is built for first-line supervisors of construction trades / extraction workers, and we are not going to point you at the nearest one and call it a fit.
There is one that is not about a job title at all. The AI Authority is about being the person who directs these tools at work rather than the person they get compared to. That is worth saying here, because 28% of the work on this page is already inside what they can do.
7 days free, no card needed. Explore up to 2 Spaces before you choose a plan: you pick a plan later, not now.
The AI Authority is a general community about working with AI, not a course for first-line supervisors of construction trades / extraction workers. You do not need it to act on anything here: the moves above cost nothing and stand on their own. The data on this page is the same either way.
Noted, and thank you. We’ll email you if a Space for first-line supervisors of construction trades / extraction workers launches. Nothing else.
That did not look like an email address, so nothing was saved. Have another go below.
We could not save that. The fault is ours, not yours, and your address was not stored. Please try again later.
No deadline on any of this. The page will still be here, and the data is refreshed on a published schedule rather than when someone wants a headline.
Questions people ask about this job
- Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers?
- Not as a job, but it is already doing parts of the work. Across the 30 official task statements scored for First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers (United States, SOC 47-1011), 28% of the importance-weighted core work is made of tasks today's AI could already do most of. The overall exposure score is 38 out of 100 (range 32–44, band: low). That is a statement about tasks, not about headcount: this measures what AI could do, not whether any employer adopts it, whether the law allows it, or whether doing the routine parts faster creates more demand for the human parts. Figures are from release 2026-q4.1.
- Which tasks in “First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers” can AI already do?
- The highest-scoring tasks in release 2026-q4.1 are: “Order or requisition materials or supplies” (79/100, high); “Estimate material or worker requirements to complete jobs” (75/100, high); “Estimate materials, equipment, and personnel needed for residential or commercial solar installation projects” (75/100, high). Each score comes from five published 0–4 ratings turned into a number by a published formula, and each carries the model's one-sentence reason on the page.
- Which tasks in “First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers” stay human?
- About 56% of this job's task weight sits in work that scores low for AI exposure. The lowest-scoring tasks in release 2026-q4.1 are: “Visit customer sites to determine solar system needs, requirements, or specifications” (0/100, minimal); “Perform start-up of systems for testing or customer implementation” (0/100, minimal); “Provide assistance to workers engaged in construction or extraction activities, using hand tools or other equipment” (0/100, minimal). Low scores usually mean the task needs a body in a room, a legally accountable human, or trust built in real time. Those are the three things the scoring rubric treats as gates rather than obstacles.
- What should someone working in “First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers” do about AI?
- Start from the ledger rather than the headline: 28% of this job's weighted core work is exposed, and roughly 56% is not. The practical move is to spend more of your week on the tasks that score low, the ones above, and to get fluent at directing AI through the tasks that score high, because those are the parts that change whether or not you are ready for them. This page does not predict your job, and nothing here is career advice tailored to you: the score describes the occupation, not the person.
- How is the AI exposure score for First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers calculated?
- Each official task statement for the occupation is rated on five published 0–4 dimensions (output replicability, physical embodiment, licensed accountability, real-time human trust, and data availability) by claude-opus-5 using scoring prompt task_scoring_v1.0. The model never writes the score; a published formula turns the five ratings into a 0–100 number, so every score can be recomputed by hand. The occupation figure is the importance-weighted mean across 30 scored tasks. The prompt, the rubric, the formula and the full dataset are published at https://futureproof.collab365.com/method and https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1 under CC BY 4.0.
Where these numbers come from
Worth knowing about these figures
- The match between this job and its counterpart in the other country is partial, so the two pages count slightly different groups of people.
- 4 of this occupation's scored task statements carry a score that was measured under a different occupation's context, because the statement is shared between jobs and has only been scored once so far. Each one names the occupation it was measured under in the free routes below; none is presented as a measurement for this job.
- Task clusters are not derived in this release, so the task-cluster field is empty and no Collab365 Space routing is attached to this occupation yet.
- Task statements
- onet-dbProcessing: catalogue-bridge → onet-im-rt-weighting → task-scoring → score-aggregation
- Task weights
- onet-db (im-rt)
- Scores
- Rubric task_scoring_v1.0, model claude-opus-5, computed 2026-08-04.
- Pay and employment
- bls-oews (May 2025 estimates (national_M2025_dl.xlsx))bls-oews (May 2025 estimates (national_M2025_dl.xlsx))
Figures on this page come from release 2026-q4.1, published 2026-08-05. Every release keeps its own permanent address, so a figure you cite in March is still there, unchanged, in November.
The plain-English wording on this page is assembled directly from the task statements and the published ratings, not written by hand for this occupation. That is why it is specific, and it is also why we say so.
The routes and free resources further up are today’s, not the release’s (last reviewed 2026-08-05). A route is an offer, not a historical fact, so it moves on its own clock.
Using these figures?
Cite this
Everything on this site is published under CC BY 4.0. Quote it, chart it, sell something built on it. Just say where it came from, and cite the dated release rather than the site, so the figure you quote stays checkable.
Plain text
Collab365 (2026). Collab365 Futureproof: task-level AI exposure for US and UK occupations, release 2026-q4.1 (methodVersion 2.0.0, promptVersion task_scoring_v1.0). https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1. Licensed CC BY 4.0. Built with O*NET data (USDOL/ETA, CC BY 4.0); ONS data (Open Government Licence v3.0); GAISI task framework (arXiv:2507.22748, MIT); BLS data (public domain).
BibTeX
@misc{collab365futureproof2026q41,
title = {Collab365 Futureproof: task-level AI exposure for US and UK occupations, release 2026-q4.1},
author = {{Collab365}},
year = {2026},
url = {https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1},
note = {Release 2026-q4.1, methodVersion 2.0.0, promptVersion task_scoring_v1.0, CC BY 4.0}
}Data as of release 2026-q4.1, published . Releases never change after publication; when the figures move, a new dated release is published beside this one and this one stays exactly where it is.