UK dataswitch to US
Pipe fitters
installing or repairing pipe systems according to specifications, maintaining pipe systems, units and sealing joints of connected pipe pieces. If that's your week, this page is about your job.
The honest answer
AI changes the edges of this job, not the middle: aligning and positioning pipes is work software can't reach.
What shifts is calculating cost estimates for labour and materials. This page scores what today's tools actually do, not headlines.
Your week, as this page understands it
Pipe fitters install pipe systems and maintain and repair pipes in major utilities, industrial and construction settings and sites. The job title says “pipe fitters”. The real job is the part underneath: aligning and positioning pipes. That is the thing someone has to be right about.
The exposed part of this job is specific, and we won’t pretend it is coming back. But pipe fitters is not one task. It is 53 scored ones, and they are nowhere near equally exposed. The most durable of them, on this evidence, is aligning and positioning pipes, and the ledger below shows exactly why.
Where the work sits, by task weight
- shifting to AI
- 4%
- changing shape
- 6%
- staying human
- 90%
These bars are tasks changing hands, not people being counted out. The ledger below shows which.
Whole-job exposure score 11 out of 100 (9–16 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, across 53 scored tasks. The number is the support for the sentence above it, not a headline about anyone’s future.
How we know this
What is measured: Every published task statement for pipe fitters is rated on five dimensions: can a model produce the output, does the work need a body in a room, does it need a legally accountable person, does it depend on a person being trusted in the moment, and how much data exists. A published formula turns those five ratings into the score; the model never writes the number.
How the bar is built: Each task’s share of the bar is its published importance weight, so a task you do all day counts for more than one you do twice a year.
Release: 2026-q4.1, scores computed 2026-08-04. Read the full method.
Your job, task by task
These are the official task statements for this occupation, in plain English, sorted by what the evidence says is happening to each one. The official wording sits under every line so you can check the rewrite against it.
- 35 of this occupation's scored task statements carry a score that was measured under a different occupation's context, because the statement is shared between jobs and has only been scored once so far. Each one names the occupation it was measured under in the free routes below; none is presented as a measurement for this job.
- Task clusters are not derived in this release, so the task-cluster field is empty and no Collab365 Space routing is attached to this occupation yet.
Shifting to AI
2 tasksTasks today’s tools can already do most of. This is the part we will not soften: where these rows are the bulk of your week, the week changes.
Selecting pipe sizes, types or related materials according to specifications
This is reading one thing and writing another: pipe sizes, types or related materials in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 85 · 5214/00Source: “Select pipe sizes, types, or related materials according to specifications.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 66 out of 100 (62–70 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Selecting pipe sizes and materials from a written specification is lookup and calculation work software does well.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Calculating cost estimates for labour and materials
This is reading one thing and writing another: cost estimates in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 70 · 5214/00Source: “Calculate cost estimates for labour and materials.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 93 out of 100 (89–97 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Costing labour and materials from rates and quantities is spreadsheet arithmetic.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Changing shape
3 tasksTasks where the machine takes the producing and a person keeps the checking, the deciding, or the answering-for-it. For most jobs this is the biggest group, and it is where "transformation, not termination" is literally visible.
Establishing the sequence of pipe installations
The software now makes the first pass at the sequence of pipe installations, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 85 · 5214/00Source: “Establish the sequence of pipe installations.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 56 out of 100 (49–63 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Sequencing pipe installation is planning work built from drawings and standard method statements.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Reading specifications, such as blueprints, to determine construction requirements or to plan procedures
The software now makes the first pass at specifications, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 80 · 5214/00Source: “Read specifications, such as blueprints, to determine construction requirements or to plan procedures.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 58 out of 100 (51–65 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Reading drawings to work out requirements is desk work, though software still misreads construction drawings often.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Developing and implementing work plans to deliver projects and achieve desired quality of work
The software now makes the first pass at work plans, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 75 · 5214/00Source: “Develop and implement work plans to deliver projects and achieve desired quality of work.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 48 out of 100 (41–55 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Drafting a work plan and quality targets is document work software does well, though delivering it means being on site.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Staying human
48 tasksTasks that stay with a person, because they happen in the physical world, because the rules need someone accountable, or because the value is that a specific person does them.
Installing or repairing pipe systems according to specifications
This work happens in the physical world: pipe systems, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 90 · 5214/00Source: “Install or repair pipe systems according to specifications.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 5 out of 100 (1–9 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Installing and repairing pipe systems is physical work, however detailed the specification.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Aligning and positioning pipes
This work happens in the physical world: pipes, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 90 · 5214/00Source: “Align and position pipes for welding, ensuring cleanliness and matching specifications.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Lining pipes up for welding means holding and adjusting the real pipe.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Assembling and installing pipework using appropriate methods
This work happens in the physical world: pipework, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 90 · 5214/00Source: “Assemble and install pipework using appropriate methods, techniques, and equipment, including welded, threaded, bolted, and clamped jointing solutions.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Welding, threading and bolting pipework together is manual work at the pipe.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Attaching pipes to walls, structures or fixtures, such as radiators or tanks, using brackets, clamps, tools or welding equipment
This work happens in the physical world: pipes, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 90 · 5214/00Source: “Attach pipes to walls, structures, or fixtures, such as radiators or tanks, using brackets, clamps, tools, or welding equipment.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Fixing pipes to walls with brackets and clamps is manual installation work.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Installing and inspecting piping or valves to ensure proper function and safety
This work happens in the physical world: valves, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 90 · 5214/00Source: “Install and inspect piping or valves to ensure proper function and safety.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Installing pipework and valves is physical work on site.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Show the other 43 tasks
Planning pipe system layout according to specifications
staying humanThe ratings behind this row put pipe system layout well outside what today's tools can do on their own.
importance 85 · 5214/00Source: “Plan pipe system layout according to specifications.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 38 out of 100 (31–45 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Laying out a pipe system from specifications is drawing and calculation work, though site realities still need checking.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Communicating effectively with other colleagues and professional groups through briefings
staying humanThe value here is that a specific person handles other colleagues and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.
importance 70 · 5214/00Source: “Communicate effectively with other colleagues and professional groups through briefings, operational reports, and presentations.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 35 out of 100 (28–42 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Briefings, reports and slides can be drafted automatically, though delivering them convincingly is a person's job.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Reading, interpreting and applying engineering drawing information for pipework installation and maintenance
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: information, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 85 · 5214/00Source: “Read, interpret, and apply engineering drawing information for pipework installation and maintenance.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 29 out of 100 (22–36 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Drawings can be read on a screen, but applying them to a real pipe run means being on site with the steelwork.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Planning installation around obstructions, such as electrical wiring
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: installation around obstructions, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 75 · 5214/00Source: “Plan installation around obstructions, such as electrical wiring.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 25 out of 100 (18–32 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Software can plan a route around known services, but real obstructions are usually only found once the wall is open.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Inspecting slopes for conformance to requirements using levels or lasers
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: slopes, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 60 · 5214/00Source: “Inspect slopes for conformance to requirements using levels or lasers.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 20 out of 100 (16–24 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Checking a slope against requirements means setting up levels or lasers on the ground.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Inspecting the quality of joints using precision measuring instruments
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: the quality of joints, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 85 · 5214/00Source: “Inspect the quality of joints using precision measuring instruments.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 18 out of 100 (14–22 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Measuring joints to check quality means putting instruments on the actual joint.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Observing gauges for pressure losses to test internal seams for leaks
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: gauges, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 80 · 5214/00Source: “Observe gauges for pressure losses to test internal seams for leaks.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 18 out of 100 (11–25 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: The pressure test has to be rigged and watched on the real pipework.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Training workers in laying pipe to ensure proper installation and safety standards
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: workers, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 75 · 5214/00Source: “Train workers in laying pipe to ensure proper installation and safety standards.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 18 out of 100 (11–25 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Training material can be produced easily, but showing someone how to lay pipe properly happens beside them in the trench.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Identifying and diagnosing faults in piping systems to prevent leaks
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: faults, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 85 · 5214/00Source: “Identify and diagnose faults in piping systems to prevent leaks.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 13 out of 100 (6–20 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Finding where a pipe is about to leak means being at the pipe, listening, feeling and testing it.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Diagnosing and repairing faulty system components in plumbing and heating systems
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: faulty system components, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 80 · 5214/00Source: “Diagnose and repair faulty system components in plumbing and heating systems.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 8 out of 100 (1–15 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.
The rating behind it: Diagnosis and repair is hands-on, and gas-fired parts of a heating system must be handled by a Gas Safe registered engineer.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Inspecting facilities and machinery for signs of wear and tear
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: facilities, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 75 · 5214/00Source: “Inspect facilities and machinery for signs of wear and tear.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 8 out of 100 (4–12 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Checking machinery for wear means looking at and handling it.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Inspecting structures to assess material or equipment needs
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: structures, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 70 · 5214/00Source: “Inspect structures to assess material or equipment needs.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 8 out of 100 (4–12 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Assessing what a structure needs means looking at the structure.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Locating existing pipes needing repair or replacement
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: pipes needing repair, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 70 · 5214/00Source: “Locate existing pipes needing repair or replacement, using magnetic or radio indicators.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 8 out of 100 (1–15 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Finding buried pipe means walking the ground with a locator, though the result is just information.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Inspecting and maintaining gas network assets to ensure safe and compliant operation of the network
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: gas network assets, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 80 · 5214/00Source: “Inspect and maintain gas network assets to ensure safe and compliant operation of the network.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 6 out of 100 (2–10 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.
The rating behind it: Gas network assets may only be worked on by registered gas operatives, and the inspection happens at the asset.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 3/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Collaborating effectively with other workers on the job site
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: other workers, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 75 · 5214/00Source: “Collaborate effectively with other workers on the job site.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 4 out of 100 (0–11 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Working alongside other trades on a site depends on being there, reading the day and getting on with people.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 1/4.
Welding piping, such as high density polyethylene, HDPE) piping, using techniques, butt, socket, side-wall and electro-fusion welding
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: as high density polyethylene, hdpe), in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 90 · 5214/00Source: “Weld piping, such as high density polyethylene (HDPE) piping, using techniques such as butt, socket, side-wall, and electro-fusion welding.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.
The rating behind it: Fusion welding pipe is manual work, and operators are expected to hold current approval for the technique.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Applying techniques for the temporary or permanent removal of engineering construction piping systems or components
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: techniques, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 85 · 5214/00Source: “Apply techniques for the temporary or permanent removal of engineering construction piping systems or components.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Taking pipework out, temporarily or for good, is heavy hands-on work with tools on the plant.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 1/4.
Assisting pipefitters in the layout
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: pipefitters, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 85 · 5214/00Source: “Assist pipefitters in the layout, assembly, and installation of piping for air, ammonia, gas, and water systems.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Helping lay out and fit piping is physical work on site.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Cutting pipes to required lengths
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: pipes, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 85 · 5214/00Source: “Cut pipes to required lengths.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Cutting pipe to length is a hands-on shop or trench task with no digital version.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 1/4.
Extending piping as needed to connect fixtures and plumbing
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: needed, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 85 · 5214/00Source: “Extend piping as needed to connect fixtures and plumbing.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Extending pipework to reach fixtures is hands-on installation.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Installing or repairing sanitary or stormwater sewer structures or pipe systems
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: sanitary, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 85 · 5214/00Source: “Install or repair sanitary or stormwater sewer structures or pipe systems.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Installing and repairing sewer pipework is physical work.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Maintaining pipe systems, units, fittings or related machinery using hand or power tools
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: pipe systems, units, fittings or related machinery, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 85 · 5214/00Source: “Maintain pipe systems, units, fittings, or related machinery using hand or power tools.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Maintaining pipework with hand and power tools is physical work.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Sealing joints of connected pipe pieces
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: joints of connected pipe pieces, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 85 · 5214/00Source: “Seal joints of connected pipe pieces.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Sealing pipe joints is hands-on work.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Threading pipes using pipe threaders
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: pipes, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 85 · 5214/00Source: “Thread pipes using pipe threaders.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Threading pipe with a threading machine is manual work.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Cutting openings in structures to accommodate pipes or pipe fittings using hand or power tools
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: openings, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 80 · 5214/00Source: “Cut openings in structures to accommodate pipes or pipe fittings using hand or power tools.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Cutting openings in a structure with power tools is physical work.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Installing pipe systems to support alternative energy-fuelled systems like geothermal heating or cooling systems
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: pipe systems, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 80 · 5214/00Source: “Install pipe systems to support alternative energy-fuelled systems like geothermal heating or cooling systems.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Installing pipe systems for heat pumps or geothermal is manual installation work.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Locating and marking the position of pipe installations and fixtures in structures using rulers and levels
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: the position of pipe installations, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 80 · 5214/00Source: “Locate and mark the position of pipe installations and fixtures in structures using rulers and levels.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Marking out pipe and fixture positions is done on site with rule and level.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Responding to emergency calls to repair piping issues
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: emergency calls, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 80 · 5214/00Source: “Respond to emergency calls to repair piping issues.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Answering an emergency pipe callout means getting there and fixing the pipe by hand.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 1/4.
Selecting and safely using hand tools
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: using hand tools, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 80 · 5214/00Source: “Select and safely use hand tools, mechanical tools, and equipment for the fabrication, assembly, installation, and decommissioning of pipework components and systems.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Choosing and using tools to fabricate and fit pipework is manual work at the job.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 1/4.
Shutting off steam, water or other gases or liquids from pipe sections, using valve keys or spanners
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: steam, water or other gases or liquids, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 80 · 5214/00Source: “Shut off steam, water, or other gases or liquids from pipe sections, using valve keys or spanners.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Isolating pipe sections with valve keys is a physical act at the valve.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Installing various components, including electrical and plumbing, using hand or power tools
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: this work, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 75 · 5214/00Source: “Install various components, including electrical and plumbing, using hand or power tools.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Fitting electrical and plumbing components with hand tools is physical installation.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Manufacturing parts needed for assembly or installation using workshop machinery
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: parts, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 75 · 5214/00Source: “Manufacture parts needed for assembly or installation using workshop machinery.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Making parts on workshop machinery is physical manufacturing.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 1/4.
Securing steel supports from ceiling joists to hold pipes in place
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: steel supports, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 75 · 5214/00Source: “Secure steel supports from ceiling joists to hold pipes in place.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Fixing steel supports to joists is physical installation work.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Tapping and drilling holes into pipes to introduce auxiliary lines or devices
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: holes, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 75 · 5214/00Source: “Tap and drill holes into pipes to introduce auxiliary lines or devices.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Tapping and drilling into pipe is tool work done directly on the pipe.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 1/4.
Assisting plumbers in repairing water pipes by providing technical support and expertise
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: plumbers, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 70 · 5214/00Source: “Assist plumbers in repairing water pipes by providing technical support and expertise.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Repairing water pipes is physical work on site.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Maintaining plumbing by replacing defective washers
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: replacing defective washers, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 70 · 5214/00Source: “Maintain plumbing by replacing defective washers.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Changing a washer is a hands-on repair.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Repairing hydraulic or air pumps
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: hydraulic, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 70 · 5214/00Source: “Repair hydraulic or air pumps.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Repairing pumps requires hands on the machine.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Testing operation of plumbing fixtures
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: operation of plumbing fixtures, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 70 · 5214/00Source: “Test operation of plumbing fixtures.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Testing fixtures means operating them in place.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Covering pipes with earth to protect and insulate them
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: pipes, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 60 · 5214/00Source: “Cover pipes with earth to protect and insulate them.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Backfilling over pipes is physical work.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Excavating trenches for underground wires or cables
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: trenches, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 60 · 5214/00Source: “Excavate trenches for underground wires or cables.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Digging cable trenches is physical ground work.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Grading or leveling trench bases
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: trench bases, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 60 · 5214/00Source: “Grade or level trench bases, using tamping machines or hand tools.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Leveling a trench base means being in the trench with a tamper, which software cannot do.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 1/4.
Installing instruments, lasers, grade rods and dumpy levels
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: instruments, lasers, grade rods and dumpy levels, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 60 · 5214/00Source: “Install instruments such as lasers, grade rods, and dumpy levels.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Setting up lasers and levels means physically placing and adjusting the instruments on site.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 1/4.
Unblocking sinks
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: sinks, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 60 · 5214/00Source: “Unblock sinks.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Clearing a blocked sink means reaching into it with tools.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 1/4.
What this job pays, and how many people do it
- Median pay
- £42,600a year, before tax, the middle of the range, so half earn more and half earn less.ashe-t14, 2025 · ASHE 2025 provisional (reference April 2025)Provisional, because the ONS revises this figure in the autumn.
How we know this
Source: ashe-t14
Reference period: ASHE 2025 provisional (reference April 2025)
Rounding: Shown to the nearest £100. The exact published figure is in the downloadable dataset. We do not render pounds the survey cannot support.
- People doing this job
- 3,700in the UK, 2026.nomis-aps · Apr 2025-Mar 2026 (latest APS 12-month period)This headcount comes from a survey, not a census, so treat it as a good estimate rather than an exact count.
What is deliberately not here: a forecast of how many of these jobs exist in ten years. Where an official projection exists for a market we publish it with its vintage; where it does not, we leave the space empty rather than borrow the other country’s number.
Why this is shifting
The reason is boringly specific. Most of what is shifting here is reading one thing and writing another: cost estimates in, a record out. The rows above are exactly that shape: calculating cost estimates for labour and materials and selecting pipe sizes, types or related materials according to specifications. What it cannot do is be there in the room, and that is still where pipes get done. Which is why this page talks about your tasks changing, not your job ending.
Your move
Over a pint: what I’d tell you if you were my friend
Start with what does not change: aligning and positioning pipes is the middle of this job, and the evidence on this page says it stays with a person.
So, given all that: 4% of this job's task weight sits in rows the software is already learning, 6% in rows that change shape rather than disappear, and 90% in rows it is nowhere near. That is the position, measured across 53 scored tasks. It is not a forecast about you.
So the thing worth your attention is not the job going away. It is the layer around it. Calculating cost estimates for labour and materials is the part turning into software, and being the person who understands that layer is worth money.
This week: one thing
Ask the one question. Find whoever is bringing new software into your workplace (the manager, the office, whoever runs the system) and ask them what it is meant to do to cost estimates, and what it is not meant to touch. Ten minutes, this week, before anyone decides it for you.
- What you end up holding
- a straight answer about what is actually being rolled out, and when
- How long it takes
- ten minutes
If there’s nobody obvious to ask, or you’d rather not ask your manager: Put the same question to your union rep, your shift lead or the person who has been there longest, in person, over a break. Same ten minutes, same answer, and you will usually get a straighter one. Write down what they say. The note is the artifact, and it tells you whether pipe systems are in scope or not. Nothing to log into, no licence needed.
Over the next 90 days
Get inside the tool rollout rather than waiting for it. Over the next ninety days, ask to be in the group that tests, checks or signs off whatever new system arrives near establishing the sequence of pipe installations. It is usually an unglamorous seat that nobody fights for, and it is the one that decides how the software is used on your job rather than to it.
Over the next 12 months
On this evidence I would not retrain out of this job, and I will say that plainly rather than hedge it. The task list here is dominated by work that stays with a person. What I would do with a year is get formally recognised for the layer around it (the systems, the compliance, the planning), so you are the one who understands the software instead of the one it is done to. Before you pay for anything, spend an hour with National Careers Service. It is free and government-funded, and it is listed below with the rest of the free routes.
The roads out of here, and why I am not sending you down them
I looked at the obvious moves out of this job, and here is what I found.
I checked the 12 nearest UK occupations to pipe fitters (nearest by the work that AI is not taking, not by job title), and none of them survived. The closest was plumbers and heating and ventilating installers and repairers: only about 22% of its durable work is work you already do and it pays 11.0% less. And on the numbers you do not need one. This job scores 11/100 here, with only 4% of the task list in the top band, and “align and position pipes for welding, ensuring cleanliness and matching specifications” is not work that hands over cleanly. None of them beats deepening what you already have.
How that was checked: this job was compared against all 412 UK occupations in this release on their official task statements, and the 12 nearest were examined one by one. A move that turns on an industry, an employer or a qualification rather than on the work itself will not show up in a check like that. And this release carries no licence register, so anything you are weighing needs that looked up separately.
3 moves I checked and rejected
These are the obvious-looking jumps. They are here with their reasons rather than quietly dropped, because the ones that fail are worth knowing about. It is one less thing to turn over at night.
Plumbers and heating and ventilating installers and repairers
Why it looked obvious: It came up as a near neighbour because one of your tasks is on their list in the same words: “install or repair pipe systems according to specifications”. Across the whole of both lists that adds up to about 22% of the work in that job the software is not taking.
Why I am not recommending it: You would be starting most of it from nothing: about 22% of the durable work in that job is work you do today, and the rest you would be learning while the bills carried on. It is a pay cut, in those words: £37,881 against your £42,580, 11.0% less (ASHE Table 14.7a, 2025 provisional (both)). Retraining to earn less is a decision, not advice.
Elementary construction occupations n.e.c.
Why it looked obvious: It came up as a near neighbour because one of your tasks is on their list in the same words: “assist pipefitters in the layout, assembly, and installation of piping for air, ammonia, gas, and water…”. Across the whole of both lists that adds up to about 6% of the work in that job the software is not taking.
Why I am not recommending it: Almost none of it is work you already do: about 6% of the durable side of that job. That is a different job, not a next step. It is a pay cut, in those words: £28,591 against your £42,580, 32.9% less (ASHE Table 14.7a, 2025 provisional (both)). Retraining to earn less is a decision, not advice.
Electrical service and maintenance mechanics and repairers
Why it looked obvious: It came up as a near neighbour because one of your tasks is on their list in the same words: “manufacture parts needed for assembly or installation using workshop machinery”. Across the whole of both lists that adds up to about 6% of the work in that job the software is not taking.
Why I am not recommending it: Almost none of it is work you already do: about 6% of the durable side of that job. That is a different job, not a next step.
What I’d stop worrying about
A friend tells you what not to spend fear on. This is that list.
The headline number you read somewhere
The big “X% of jobs” figures are about the whole economy, not about you. The number that describes your job is on this page: 4% of its task weight, across 53 scored tasks. Every row behind it is printed above with the source. Check ours; ignore theirs.
The headlines about your trade disappearing
They are usually about the technology, not the timetable. Changes to work like aligning and positioning pipes arrive through rules, insurance and money, slowly and visibly. This page tracks the task evidence and will move when it moves.
Retraining out of a job that is holding up
On this evidence I would not spend money leaving. Spend it on the layer around the job instead: the tools, the paperwork, the planning. That is where the change actually is.
The “obvious” next job everyone suggests
I checked the obvious moves and most of them did not survive. The reasons are printed with the routes above, including the pay and the gate. A move that fails on the numbers is worth knowing about so you can stop turning it over at night.
You are reading the United Kingdom figures
The United States splits this work across more than one official group, of which Pipelayers is the closest. The pay and employment figures are not directly comparable, and we do not average them together.
Switch to the United States page →partial match
The other groups this work is counted across:
In US official statistics this job is counted as Pipelayers and Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters. Pay is shown separately for each of those groups (medians cannot be averaged together), while the task list and the scores on this page are for this group only.
Your route through this
Where to go next, and what it costs
Free, and complete
The moves above cost nothing. These are the real services that go with them: public, government-funded, and free at the point of use. Nothing on this page is behind an email address or a payment.
In England:
A free hour with a government-funded careers adviser is worth more than another evening of reading. In England that's the National Careers Service.
Free, government-funded
In England:
National Careers Service - Find a course
Search what's actually running near you before you spend anything.
Free to search; individual courses vary
In England:
Free courses for jobs (Level 3 qualifications)
A free Level 3 qualification you already qualify for beats a paid course you don't need.
Free for eligible adults
In England:
Free, up to 16 weeks, and you get a job interview at the end. In England these are Skills Bootcamps - search what's running near you.
Free for eligible adults in England
In Scotland:
My World of Work (Skills Development Scotland)
In Scotland it's My World of Work, from Skills Development Scotland.
Free, publicly funded
In Wales:
In Wales it's Careers Wales.
Free, Welsh Government-funded
In Northern Ireland:
Careers Service Northern Ireland
In Northern Ireland it's the Careers Service on nidirect.
Free, Department for the Economy-funded
Why there is no community here
Collab365, who build this site, run paid Spaces for a small number of subjects, and none of them is built for this job. We are not going to point you at the nearest one and call it a fit.
So the free services listed on this page are the whole answer, and it is the same answer we would give a friend.
Noted, and thank you. We’ll email you if a Space for pipe fitters launches. Nothing else.
That did not look like an email address, so nothing was saved. Have another go below.
We could not save that. The fault is ours, not yours, and your address was not stored. Please try again later.
No deadline on any of this. The page will still be here, and the data is refreshed on a published schedule rather than when someone wants a headline.
Questions people ask about this job
- Will AI replace Pipe fitters?
- Not as a job, but it is already doing parts of the work. Across the 53 official task statements scored for Pipe fitters (United Kingdom, SOC 5214), 4% of the importance-weighted core work is made of tasks today's AI could already do most of. The overall exposure score is 11 out of 100 (range 9–16, band: minimal). That is a statement about tasks, not about headcount: this measures what AI could do, not whether any employer adopts it, whether the law allows it, or whether doing the routine parts faster creates more demand for the human parts. Figures are from release 2026-q4.1.
- Which tasks in “Pipe fitters” can AI already do?
- The highest-scoring tasks in release 2026-q4.1 are: “Calculate cost estimates for labour and materials” (93/100, very high); “Select pipe sizes, types, or related materials according to specifications” (66/100, high); “Read specifications, such as blueprints, to determine construction requirements or to plan procedures” (58/100, partial). Each score comes from five published 0–4 ratings turned into a number by a published formula, and each carries the model's one-sentence reason on the page.
- Which tasks in “Pipe fitters” stay human?
- About 90% of this job's task weight sits in work that scores low for AI exposure. The lowest-scoring tasks in release 2026-q4.1 are: “Unblock sinks” (0/100, minimal); “Install instruments such as lasers, grade rods, and dumpy levels” (0/100, minimal); “Grade or level trench bases, using tamping machines or hand tools” (0/100, minimal). Low scores usually mean the task needs a body in a room, a legally accountable human, or trust built in real time. Those are the three things the scoring rubric treats as gates rather than obstacles.
- What should someone working in “Pipe fitters” do about AI?
- Start from the ledger rather than the headline: 4% of this job's weighted core work is exposed, and roughly 90% is not. The practical move is to spend more of your week on the tasks that score low, the ones above, and to get fluent at directing AI through the tasks that score high, because those are the parts that change whether or not you are ready for them. This page does not predict your job, and nothing here is career advice tailored to you: the score describes the occupation, not the person.
- How is the AI exposure score for Pipe fitters calculated?
- Each official task statement for the occupation is rated on five published 0–4 dimensions (output replicability, physical embodiment, licensed accountability, real-time human trust, and data availability) by claude-opus-5 using scoring prompt task_scoring_v1.0. The model never writes the score; a published formula turns the five ratings into a 0–100 number, so every score can be recomputed by hand. The occupation figure is the importance-weighted mean across 53 scored tasks. The prompt, the rubric, the formula and the full dataset are published at https://futureproof.collab365.com/method and https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1 under CC BY 4.0.
Where these numbers come from
About the data on this page
- Provisional, because the ONS revises this figure in the autumn.
- This headcount comes from a survey, not a census, so treat it as a good estimate rather than an exact count.
- The match between this job and its counterpart in the other country is partial, so the two pages count slightly different groups of people.
- 35 of this occupation's scored task statements carry a score that was measured under a different occupation's context, because the statement is shared between jobs and has only been scored once so far. Each one names the occupation it was measured under in the free routes below; none is presented as a measurement for this job.
- Task clusters are not derived in this release, so the task-cluster field is empty and no Collab365 Space routing is attached to this occupation yet.
- Task statements
- gaisi-indexProcessing: catalogue-bridge → ssc-relatedness-weighting → task-scoring → score-aggregation
- Task weights
- gaisi-index (relatedness)
- Scores
- Rubric task_scoring_v1.0, model claude-opus-5, computed 2026-08-05.
- Pay and employment
- ashe-t14 (ASHE 2025 provisional (reference April 2025))nomis-aps (Apr 2025-Mar 2026 (latest APS 12-month period))
Figures on this page come from release 2026-q4.1, published 2026-08-05. Every release keeps its own permanent address, so a figure you cite in March is still there, unchanged, in November.
The plain-English wording on this page is assembled directly from the task statements and the published ratings, not written by hand for this occupation. That is why it is specific, and it is also why we say so.
The routes and free resources further up are today’s, not the release’s (last reviewed 2026-08-05). A route is an offer, not a historical fact, so it moves on its own clock.
Using these figures?
Cite this
Everything on this site is published under CC BY 4.0. Quote it, chart it, sell something built on it. Just say where it came from, and cite the dated release rather than the site, so the figure you quote stays checkable.
Plain text
Collab365 (2026). Collab365 Futureproof: task-level AI exposure for US and UK occupations, release 2026-q4.1 (methodVersion 2.0.0, promptVersion task_scoring_v1.0). https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1. Licensed CC BY 4.0. Built with O*NET data (USDOL/ETA, CC BY 4.0); ONS data (Open Government Licence v3.0); GAISI task framework (arXiv:2507.22748, MIT); BLS data (public domain).
BibTeX
@misc{collab365futureproof2026q41,
title = {Collab365 Futureproof: task-level AI exposure for US and UK occupations, release 2026-q4.1},
author = {{Collab365}},
year = {2026},
url = {https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1},
note = {Release 2026-q4.1, methodVersion 2.0.0, promptVersion task_scoring_v1.0, CC BY 4.0}
}Data as of release 2026-q4.1, published . Releases never change after publication; when the figures move, a new dated release is published beside this one and this one stays exactly where it is.
