US dataswitch to UK
First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers
assigning firefighters to jobs at strategic locations to facilitate rescue of persons and maximize application of extinguishing agents, performing maintenance and minor repairs on firefighting equipment and inspecting and testing new and existing fire protection systems. If that's your week, this page is about your job.
The honest answer
AI changes the edges of this job, not the middle: providing emergency medical services is work software can't reach.
What shifts is performing administrative duties, such as compiling and maintaining records, completing forms, preparing reports or composing correspondence: the overhead at the edges, not the middle you trained for.
Your week, as this page understands it
Directly supervise and coordinate activities of workers engaged in firefighting and fire prevention and control. The job title says “first-line supervisors of firefighting” or “prevention workers”: officially one job, two names. The real job is the part underneath: providing emergency medical services. That is the thing someone has to be right about.
The exposed part of this job is specific, and we won’t pretend it is coming back. But first-line supervisors of firefighting and prevention workers is not one task. It is 30 scored ones, and they are nowhere near equally exposed. The most durable of them, on this evidence, is providing emergency medical services, and the ledger below shows exactly why.
Where the work sits, by task weight
- shifting to AI
- 13%
- changing shape
- 24%
- staying human
- 63%
These bars are tasks changing hands, not people being counted out. The ledger below shows which.
Whole-job exposure score 27 out of 100 (22–33 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, across 30 scored tasks. The number is the support for the sentence above it, not a headline about anyone’s future.
How we know this
What is measured: Every published task statement for first-line supervisors of firefighting and prevention workers is rated on five dimensions: can a model produce the output, does the work need a body in a room, does it need a legally accountable person, does it depend on a person being trusted in the moment, and how much data exists. A published formula turns those five ratings into the score; the model never writes the number.
How the bar is built: Each task’s share of the bar is its published importance weight, so a task you do all day counts for more than one you do twice a year.
Release: 2026-q4.1, scores computed 2026-08-04. Read the full method.
Your job, task by task
These are the official task statements for this occupation, in plain English, sorted by what the evidence says is happening to each one. The official wording sits under every line so you can check the rewrite against it.
- 2 of this occupation's scored task statements carry a score that was measured under a different occupation's context, because the statement is shared between jobs and has only been scored once so far. Each one names the occupation it was measured under in the free routes below; none is presented as a measurement for this job.
- Task clusters are not derived in this release, so the task-cluster field is empty and no Collab365 Space routing is attached to this occupation yet.
Shifting to AI
4 tasksTasks today’s tools can already do most of. This is the part we will not soften: where these rows are the bulk of your week, the week changes.
Performing administrative duties, such as compiling and maintaining records, completing forms, preparing reports or composing correspondence
This is reading one thing and writing another: administrative duties in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Perform administrative duties, such as compiling and maintaining records, completing forms, preparing reports, or composing correspondence.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 93 out of 100 (89–97 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Compiling records, filling forms, writing reports and correspondence is routine office work software already does well.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Scheduling employee work assignments and setting work priorities
This is reading one thing and writing another: employee work assignments in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Schedule employee work assignments and set work priorities.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 64 out of 100 (57–71 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Shift rosters and priority lists are exactly the kind of scheduling software already produces.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Monitoring fire suppression expenditures to ensure that they are necessary and reasonable
This is reading one thing and writing another: fire suppression expenditures in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Monitor fire suppression expenditures to ensure that they are necessary and reasonable.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (68–82 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Checking spending against budget lines is routine number work done from finance records.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Studying and interpreting fire safety codes to establish procedures for issuing permits to handle hazardous or flammable substances
This is reading one thing and writing another: fire safety codes in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 4 · SupplementalSource: “Study and interpret fire safety codes to establish procedures for issuing permits to handle hazardous or flammable substances.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 72 out of 100 (68–76 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Fire codes are published in full, so drafting permit procedures from them is well-trodden document work.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 4/4.
Changing shape
8 tasksTasks where the machine takes the producing and a person keeps the checking, the deciding, or the answering-for-it. For most jobs this is the biggest group, and it is where "transformation, not termination" is literally visible.
Directing the training of firefighters
The software now makes the first pass at the training of firefighters, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Direct the training of firefighters, assigning of instructors to training classes, and providing of supervisors with reports on training progress and status.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 48 out of 100 (41–55 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Assigning instructors, scheduling classes and reporting on training progress is scheduling and paperwork software handles well.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Evaluating fire station procedures to ensure efficiency and enforcement of departmental regulations
The software now makes the first pass at fire station procedures, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Evaluate fire station procedures to ensure efficiency and enforcement of departmental regulations.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 48 out of 100 (41–55 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Reviewing written station procedures against regulations is document work that drafts well.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Recommending personnel actions related to disciplinary procedures
The software now makes the first pass at personnel actions, but the part that matters is a person saying it and standing behind it. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Recommend personnel actions related to disciplinary procedures, performance, leaves of absence, and grievances.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 46 out of 100 (39–53 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Disciplinary and grievance recommendations follow written policy, so drafts come easily, though the judgment stays with the supervisor.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Staying human
18 tasksTasks that stay with a person, because they happen in the physical world, because the rules need someone accountable, or because the value is that a specific person does them.
Assigning firefighters to jobs at strategic locations to facilitate rescue of persons and maximize application of extinguishing agents
This work happens in the physical world: firefighters, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 5 · CoreSource: “Assign firefighters to jobs at strategic locations to facilitate rescue of persons and maximize application of extinguishing agents.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 5 out of 100 (0–12 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Placing crews during a live fire depends on what the officer sees and hears on the ground.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Communicating fire details
This work happens in the physical world: fire details, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 5 · CoreSource: “Communicate fire details to superiors, subordinates, or interagency dispatch centers, using two-way radios.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 9 out of 100 (2–16 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Radio updates carry information, but the officer must be at the incident to have anything to report.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Providing emergency medical services
This work happens in the physical world: emergency medical services, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 5 · CoreSource: “Provide emergency medical services as required, and perform light to heavy rescue functions at emergencies.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Providing medical care and pulling people out of danger is physical work at the emergency.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 3/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Show the other 20 tasks
Maintaining knowledge of fire laws and fire prevention techniques and tactics
changing shapeThe software now makes the first pass at knowledge of fire laws, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance not publishedO*NET hasn't yet published importance ratings for this occupation's tasks, so the ordering here is ours, not theirs.
Source: “Maintain knowledge of fire laws and fire prevention techniques and tactics.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 58 out of 100 (51–65 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Laws and tactics are documented and summaries are easy to produce, but the knowledge has to sit with the officer.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Maintaining required maps and records
changing shapeThe software now makes the first pass at required maps, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Maintain required maps and records.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 56 out of 100 (49–63 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Records and maps are kept in systems software maintains, though some details need checking on the ground.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Analyzing burn conditions and results
changing shapeThe software now makes the first pass at burn conditions, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance not publishedO*NET hasn't yet published importance ratings for this occupation's tasks, so the ordering here is ours, not theirs.
Source: “Analyze burn conditions and results, and prepare postburn reports.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 56 out of 100 (49–63 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Postburn analysis and reports are written from recorded burn data, which software handles well.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Participating in creating fire safety guidelines and evacuation schemes for nonresidential buildings
changing shapeThe software now makes the first pass at creating fire safety guidelines, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Participate in creating fire safety guidelines and evacuation schemes for nonresidential buildings.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 49 out of 100 (42–56 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Fire codes and evacuation plans are well documented, so drafts come easily, though the building must be understood.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Recommending equipment modifications or new equipment purchases
changing shapeThe software now makes the first pass at equipment modifications, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Recommend equipment modifications or new equipment purchases.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 48 out of 100 (41–55 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Comparing equipment specs, prices and suitability is research and write-up work that drafts well.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Recruiting or hiring firefighting personnel
staying humanThe value here is that a specific person handles personnel and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.
importance not publishedO*NET hasn't yet published importance ratings for this occupation's tasks, so the ordering here is ours, not theirs.
Source: “Recruit or hire firefighting personnel.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 34 out of 100 (27–41 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Job ads, screening and shortlisting are largely paperwork, though hiring decisions and interviews stay human.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Evaluating the performance of assigned firefighting personnel
staying humanThe value here is that a specific person handles the performance of assigned firefighting personnel and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Evaluate the performance of assigned firefighting personnel.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 26 out of 100 (19–33 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Evidence comes from watching people work, though the written appraisal itself can largely be drafted from notes.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Directing investigation of cases of suspected arson
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: investigation of cases of suspected arson, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Direct investigation of cases of suspected arson, hazards, and false alarms and submit reports outlining findings.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 19 out of 100 (12–26 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Reports can be drafted, but arson and hazard investigations depend on evidence gathered at the scene.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Performing maintenance and minor repairs on firefighting equipment
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: maintenance, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Perform maintenance and minor repairs on firefighting equipment, including vehicles, and write and submit proposals to modify, replace, and repair equipment.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 14 out of 100 (7–21 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Writing purchase proposals is desk work, but the repairs themselves are done with tools.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Evaluating size, location and condition of fires
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: size, location and condition of fires, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance not publishedO*NET hasn't yet published importance ratings for this occupation's tasks, so the ordering here is ours, not theirs.
Source: “Evaluate size, location, and condition of fires.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 13 out of 100 (6–20 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Judging how big a fire is and where it is heading depends on seeing it from the ground.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Assessing nature and extent of fire
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: nature, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 5 · CoreSource: “Assess nature and extent of fire, condition of building, danger to adjacent buildings, and water supply status to determine crew or company requirements.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 9 out of 100 (2–16 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Sizing up a fire and the buildings around it means standing there and judging conditions directly.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Instructing and drilling fire department personnel in assigned duties
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: fire department personnel, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Instruct and drill fire department personnel in assigned duties, including firefighting, medical care, hazardous materials response, fire prevention, and related subjects.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 9 out of 100 (2–16 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Course material can be drafted, but drilling firefighters happens in person on the training ground.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Supervising and participating in the inspection of properties to ensure that they are in compliance with applicable fire codes
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: the inspection of properties, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Supervise and participate in the inspection of properties to ensure that they are in compliance with applicable fire codes, ordinances, laws, regulations, and standards.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 9 out of 100 (2–16 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.
The rating behind it: Property fire-code inspection means walking the building and looking at what is actually installed.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Inspecting and testing new and existing fire protection systems
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: new and existing fire protection systems, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 4 · SupplementalSource: “Inspect and test new and existing fire protection systems, fire detection systems, and fire safety equipment to ensure that they are operating properly.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 8 out of 100 (1–15 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.
The rating behind it: Sprinklers, alarms and detectors have to be physically tested to know they work.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Planning, directing and supervising prescribed burn projects
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: prescribed burn projects, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance not publishedO*NET hasn't yet published importance ratings for this occupation's tasks, so the ordering here is ours, not theirs.
Source: “Plan, direct, and supervise prescribed burn projects.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 8 out of 100 (1–15 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.
The rating behind it: Burn plans can be drafted, but running a prescribed burn means being in the field directing it.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Inspecting stations, uniforms, equipment or recreation areas to ensure compliance with safety standards
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: stations, uniforms, equipment or recreation areas, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Inspect stations, uniforms, equipment, or recreation areas to ensure compliance with safety standards, taking corrective action as necessary.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 7 out of 100 (0–14 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Walking through stations and checking gear and uniforms means being there to look.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Serving as a working leader of an engine
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: a working leader of an engine, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Serve as a working leader of an engine, hand, helicopter, or prescribed fire crew of three or more firefighters.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Leading a crew as a working member means being on the fireground doing the work.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 3/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Maintaining fire suppression equipment in good condition
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: fire suppression equipment, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Maintain fire suppression equipment in good condition, checking equipment periodically to ensure that it is ready for use.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Checking and servicing pumps, hoses and gear means handling the equipment.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Driving crew carriers to transport firefighters to fire sites
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: crew carriers, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Drive crew carriers to transport firefighters to fire sites.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Driving the crew to a fire is a person at the wheel.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Directing firefighters in station maintenance duties
staying humanThis work happens in the physical world: firefighters, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 4 · CoreSource: “Direct firefighters in station maintenance duties, and participate in these duties.” (O*NET task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Taking part in station maintenance is physical work around the building.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
What this job pays, and how many people do it
- Median pay
- $93,530a year, the middle of the range, so half earn more and half earn less.bls-oews, 2025 · May 2025 estimates (national_M2025_dl.xlsx)
How we know this
Source: bls-oews
Reference period: May 2025 estimates (national_M2025_dl.xlsx)
Rounding: Shown as published.
- People doing this job
- 99,140in the US, 2025.bls-oews · May 2025 estimates (national_M2025_dl.xlsx)
What is deliberately not here: a forecast of how many of these jobs exist in ten years. Where an official projection exists for a market we publish it with its vintage; where it does not, we leave the space empty rather than borrow the other country’s number.
Why this is shifting
The reason is boringly specific. Most of what is shifting here is reading one thing and writing another: administrative duties in, a record out. The rows above are exactly that shape: performing administrative duties and scheduling employee work assignments and setting work priorities. What it cannot do is be answerable: emergency medical services need a named person the rules will accept, and software cannot be that person. Which is why this page talks about your tasks changing, not your job ending.
Your move
Over a pint: what I’d tell you if you were my friend
Start with what does not change: providing emergency medical services is the middle of this job, and the evidence on this page says it stays with a person.
So, given all that: 13% of this job's task weight sits in rows the software is already learning, 24% in rows that change shape rather than disappear, and 63% in rows it is nowhere near. That is the position, measured across 30 scored tasks. It is not a forecast about you.
So the thing worth your attention is not the job going away. It is the layer around it. Performing administrative duties, such as compiling and maintaining records, completing forms, preparing reports or composing correspondence is the part turning into software, and being the person who understands that layer is worth money.
This week: one thing
Ask the one question. Find whoever is bringing new software into your workplace (the manager, the office, whoever runs the system) and ask them what it is meant to do to administrative duties, and what it is not meant to touch. Ten minutes, this week, before anyone decides it for you.
- What you end up holding
- a straight answer about what is actually being rolled out, and when
- How long it takes
- ten minutes
If there’s nobody obvious to ask, or you’d rather not ask your manager: Put the same question to your union rep, your shift lead or the person who has been there longest, in person, over a break. Same ten minutes, same answer, and you will usually get a straighter one. Write down what they say. The note is the artifact, and it tells you whether emergency medical services are in scope or not. Nothing to log into, no license needed.
Over the next 90 days
Get inside the tool rollout rather than waiting for it. Over the next ninety days, ask to be in the group that tests, checks or signs off whatever new system arrives near directing the training of firefighters. It is usually an unglamorous seat that nobody fights for, and it is the one that decides how the software is used on your job rather than to it.
Over the next 12 months
On this evidence I would not retrain out of this job, and I will say that plainly rather than hedge it. The task list here is dominated by work that stays with a person. What I would do with a year is get formally recognised for the layer around it (the systems, the compliance, the planning), so you are the one who understands the software instead of the one it is done to. Before you pay for anything, use CareerOneStop - Find local training. It is free, it is the Labor Department's own service, and it is listed below with the rest of the free routes.
The roads out of here, and why I am not sending you down them
I looked at the obvious moves out of this job, and here is what I found.
I checked the 12 nearest US occupations to first-line supervisors of firefighting and prevention workers (nearest by the work that AI is not taking, not by job title), and none of them survived. The closest was fire inspectors and investigators: only about 13% of its durable work is work you already do, it pays 18.8% less and there are far fewer of those jobs than of yours. And on the numbers you do not need one. This job scores 27/100 here, with only 13% of the task list in the top band, and “assign firefighters to jobs at strategic locations to facilitate rescue of persons…” is not work that hands over cleanly. None of them beats deepening what you already have.
How that was checked: this job was compared against all 830 US occupations in this release on their official task statements, and the 12 nearest were examined one by one. A move that turns on an industry, an employer or a qualification rather than on the work itself will not show up in a check like that. And this release carries no licence register, so anything you are weighing needs that looked up separately.
3 moves I checked and rejected
These are the obvious-looking jumps. They are here with their reasons rather than quietly dropped, because the ones that fail are worth knowing about. It is one less thing to turn over at night.
Fire Inspectors and Investigators
Why it looked obvious: It came up as a near neighbour on the work AI is not taking: you already direct investigation of cases of suspected arson, hazards, and false alarms and submit…, and their equivalent is to testify in court cases involving fires, suspected arson, and false alarms. Across both published task lists that is about 13% of the durable work in that job.
Why I am not recommending it: You would be starting most of it from nothing: about 13% of the durable work in that job is work you do today, and the rest you would be learning while the bills carried on. It is a pay cut, in those words: $75,920 against your $93,530, 18.8% less (OEWS May 2025 (both)). Retraining to earn less is a decision, not advice. And it is a narrow door: about 13,800 of those jobs against 99,140 of yours (OEWS May 2025), 14% as many seats.
Health and Safety Engineers, Except Mining Safety Engineers and Inspectors
Why it looked obvious: It came up as a near neighbour on the work AI is not taking: you already inspect and test new and existing fire protection systems, fire detection systems, and…, and their equivalent is to direct the purchase, modification, installation, testing, maintenance, and operation of fire prevention and…. Across both published task lists that is about 7% of the durable work in that job.
Why I am not recommending it: Almost none of it is work you already do: about 7% of the durable side of that job. That is a different job, not a next step. And it is a narrow door: about 21,450 of those jobs against 99,140 of yours (OEWS May 2025), 22% as many seats.
Firefighters
Why it looked obvious: It came up as a near neighbour on the work AI is not taking: you already communicate fire details to superiors, subordinates, or interagency dispatch centers, using two-way radios, and their equivalent is to assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using…. Across both published task lists that is about 6% of the durable work in that job.
Why I am not recommending it: Almost none of it is work you already do: about 6% of the durable side of that job. That is a different job, not a next step. It is a pay cut, in those words: $59,280 against your $93,530, 36.6% less (OEWS May 2025 (both)). Retraining to earn less is a decision, not advice.
What I’d stop worrying about
A friend tells you what not to spend fear on. This is that list.
The headline number you read somewhere
The big “X% of jobs” figures are about the whole economy, not about you. The number that describes your job is on this page: 13% of its task weight, across 30 scored tasks. Every row behind it is printed above with the source. Check ours; ignore theirs.
The headlines about your trade disappearing
They are usually about the technology, not the timetable. Changes to work like providing emergency medical services arrive through rules, insurance and money, slowly and visibly. This page tracks the task evidence and will move when it moves.
Retraining out of a job that is holding up
On this evidence I would not spend money leaving. Spend it on the layer around the job instead: the tools, the paperwork, the planning. That is where the change actually is.
The “obvious” next job everyone suggests
I checked the obvious moves and most of them did not survive. The reasons are printed with the routes above, including the pay and the gate. A move that fails on the numbers is worth knowing about so you can stop turning it over at night.
If you run a team doing this job
If you run a team doing this job, the conversation you owe them is the one on this page, and sooner than feels comfortable. Show them the ledger rather than a reassurance: the rows moving toward the software are performing administrative duties, such as compiling and maintaining records, completing forms, preparing reports or composing correspondence, and the rows that are not are where you want your people visible. Ask each of them to do the this-week move and bring the list to your next one-to-one. It turns a rumour into a piece of work, and it tells you which parts of your team's week are actually at stake. And say the thing out loud that a team lead usually leaves unsaid: a shrinking team is your exposure too, so do the move yourself as well.
You are reading the United States figures
The United Kingdom splits this work across more than one official group, of which Fire service officers (watch manager and below) is the closest. The pay and employment figures are not directly comparable, and we do not average them together.
Switch to the United Kingdom page →partial match
The other groups this work is counted across:
In UK official statistics this job is counted as Fire service officers (watch manager and below), Building and civil engineering technicians, Quality assurance technicians, Science, engineering and production technicians n.e.c. and Senior officers in fire, ambulance, prison and related services. Pay is shown separately for each of those groups (medians cannot be averaged together), while the task list and the scores on this page are for this group only.
Your route through this
Where to go next, and what it costs
Free, and complete
The moves above cost nothing. These are the real services that go with them: public, government-funded, and free at the point of use. Nothing on this page is behind an email address or a payment.
Anywhere in the US:
CareerOneStop - Find local training
Search what's running near you, from the Labor Department's own database, before anyone sells you a course.
Free to search; individual programs vary, and some are funded
Anywhere in the US:
An American Job Center will sit down with you for free. Find yours by ZIP code.
Free
Anywhere in the US:
CareerOneStop - Licensed occupations finder
Check what your state actually requires before you pay for anything.
Free
Anywhere in the US:
Free
No Space for this job, but one for what is happening to it
Nothing Collab365 runs is built for first-line supervisors of firefighting / prevention workers, and we are not going to point you at the nearest one and call it a fit.
There is one that is not about a job title at all. The AI Authority is about being the person who directs these tools at work rather than the person they get compared to. That is worth saying here, because 13% of the work on this page is already inside what they can do.
7 days free, no card needed. Explore up to 2 Spaces before you choose a plan: you pick a plan later, not now.
The AI Authority is a general community about working with AI, not a course for first-line supervisors of firefighting / prevention workers. You do not need it to act on anything here: the moves above cost nothing and stand on their own. The data on this page is the same either way.
Noted, and thank you. We’ll email you if a Space for first-line supervisors of firefighting / prevention workers launches. Nothing else.
That did not look like an email address, so nothing was saved. Have another go below.
We could not save that. The fault is ours, not yours, and your address was not stored. Please try again later.
No deadline on any of this. The page will still be here, and the data is refreshed on a published schedule rather than when someone wants a headline.
Questions people ask about this job
- Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers?
- Not as a job, but it is already doing parts of the work. Across the 30 official task statements scored for First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers (United States, SOC 33-1021), 13% of the importance-weighted core work is made of tasks today's AI could already do most of. The overall exposure score is 27 out of 100 (range 22–33, band: low). That is a statement about tasks, not about headcount: this measures what AI could do, not whether any employer adopts it, whether the law allows it, or whether doing the routine parts faster creates more demand for the human parts. Figures are from release 2026-q4.1.
- Which tasks in “First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers” can AI already do?
- The highest-scoring tasks in release 2026-q4.1 are: “Perform administrative duties, such as compiling and maintaining records, completing forms, preparing reports, or composing correspondence” (93/100, very high); “Monitor fire suppression expenditures to ensure that they are necessary and reasonable” (75/100, high); “Study and interpret fire safety codes to establish procedures for issuing permits to handle hazardous or flammable substances” (72/100, high). Each score comes from five published 0–4 ratings turned into a number by a published formula, and each carries the model's one-sentence reason on the page.
- Which tasks in “First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers” stay human?
- About 63% of this job's task weight sits in work that scores low for AI exposure. The lowest-scoring tasks in release 2026-q4.1 are: “Direct firefighters in station maintenance duties, and participate in these duties” (0/100, minimal); “Drive crew carriers to transport firefighters to fire sites” (0/100, minimal); “Maintain fire suppression equipment in good condition, checking equipment periodically to ensure that it is ready for use” (0/100, minimal). Low scores usually mean the task needs a body in a room, a legally accountable human, or trust built in real time. Those are the three things the scoring rubric treats as gates rather than obstacles.
- What should someone working in “First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers” do about AI?
- Start from the ledger rather than the headline: 13% of this job's weighted core work is exposed, and roughly 63% is not. The practical move is to spend more of your week on the tasks that score low, the ones above, and to get fluent at directing AI through the tasks that score high, because those are the parts that change whether or not you are ready for them. This page does not predict your job, and nothing here is career advice tailored to you: the score describes the occupation, not the person.
- How is the AI exposure score for First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers calculated?
- Each official task statement for the occupation is rated on five published 0–4 dimensions (output replicability, physical embodiment, licensed accountability, real-time human trust, and data availability) by claude-opus-5 using scoring prompt task_scoring_v1.0. The model never writes the score; a published formula turns the five ratings into a 0–100 number, so every score can be recomputed by hand. The occupation figure is the importance-weighted mean across 30 scored tasks. The prompt, the rubric, the formula and the full dataset are published at https://futureproof.collab365.com/method and https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1 under CC BY 4.0.
Where these numbers come from
Worth knowing about these figures
- The match between this job and its counterpart in the other country is partial, so the two pages count slightly different groups of people.
- 2 of this occupation's scored task statements carry a score that was measured under a different occupation's context, because the statement is shared between jobs and has only been scored once so far. Each one names the occupation it was measured under in the free routes below; none is presented as a measurement for this job.
- Task clusters are not derived in this release, so the task-cluster field is empty and no Collab365 Space routing is attached to this occupation yet.
- Task statements
- onet-dbProcessing: catalogue-bridge → onet-im-rt-weighting → task-scoring → score-aggregation
- Task weights
- onet-db (im-rt-with-imputed)
- Scores
- Rubric task_scoring_v1.0, model claude-opus-5, computed 2026-08-04.
- Pay and employment
- bls-oews (May 2025 estimates (national_M2025_dl.xlsx))bls-oews (May 2025 estimates (national_M2025_dl.xlsx))
Figures on this page come from release 2026-q4.1, published 2026-08-05. Every release keeps its own permanent address, so a figure you cite in March is still there, unchanged, in November.
The plain-English wording on this page is assembled directly from the task statements and the published ratings, not written by hand for this occupation. That is why it is specific, and it is also why we say so.
The routes and free resources further up are today’s, not the release’s (last reviewed 2026-08-05). A route is an offer, not a historical fact, so it moves on its own clock.
Using these figures?
Cite this
Everything on this site is published under CC BY 4.0. Quote it, chart it, sell something built on it. Just say where it came from, and cite the dated release rather than the site, so the figure you quote stays checkable.
Plain text
Collab365 (2026). Collab365 Futureproof: task-level AI exposure for US and UK occupations, release 2026-q4.1 (methodVersion 2.0.0, promptVersion task_scoring_v1.0). https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1. Licensed CC BY 4.0. Built with O*NET data (USDOL/ETA, CC BY 4.0); ONS data (Open Government Licence v3.0); GAISI task framework (arXiv:2507.22748, MIT); BLS data (public domain).
BibTeX
@misc{collab365futureproof2026q41,
title = {Collab365 Futureproof: task-level AI exposure for US and UK occupations, release 2026-q4.1},
author = {{Collab365}},
year = {2026},
url = {https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1},
note = {Release 2026-q4.1, methodVersion 2.0.0, promptVersion task_scoring_v1.0, CC BY 4.0}
}Data as of release 2026-q4.1, published . Releases never change after publication; when the figures move, a new dated release is published beside this one and this one stays exactly where it is.