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Senior officers in fire, ambulance, prison and related services

assessing the need for additional staff, supervising firefighters in performing station maintenance duties, conducting roll calls of prison officers and estimating sizes and characteristics of fires. If that's your week, this page is about your job.

The honest answer

AI is already taking a real slice of the routine work here: reading through contracts, regulations and procedural guidelines to ensure comprehension and compliance. That is a slice of tasks, not of you.

Your move: what you can actually do about this ↓

That slice is not coming back; the core of the job, representing the service at internal and external events, stays yours. The tools change, the responsibility doesn't.

Your week, as this page understands it

Fire officers plan, organise, direct and co-ordinate the activities and resources of a specific physical or functional area of a statutory or private fire brigade/service and the resources necessary for the protection of property at fires within a salvage corps area. Ambulance officers plan, organise, direct and co-ordinate the resources necessary for the provision of ambulance services. Prison officers (principal officer and above) plan, organise, direct, and co-ordinate the activities and resources necessary for the running of a prison, remand or detention centre. Customs officers plan and direct the work of customs, excise and immigration staff in the monitoring and inspection of goods and persons crossing national borders. The job title says “senior officers in fire”, “ambulance”, “prison” or “related services”: officially one job, several names. The real job is the part underneath: representing the service at internal and external events. That is the thing someone has to be right about.

The exposed part of this job is specific, and we won’t pretend it is coming back. But senior officers in fire, ambulance, prison and related services is not one task. It is 153 scored ones, and they are nowhere near equally exposed. The most durable of them, on this evidence, is representing the service at internal and external events, and the ledger below shows exactly why.

Where the work sits, by task weight

shifting to AI
31%
changing shape
11%
staying human
58%

These bars are tasks changing hands, not people being counted out. The ledger below shows which.

Whole-job exposure score 38 out of 100 (3344 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, across 153 scored tasks. The number is the support for the sentence above it, not a headline about anyone’s future.

How we know this

What is measured: Every published task statement for senior officers in fire, ambulance, prison and related services is rated on five dimensions: can a model produce the output, does the work need a body in a room, does it need a legally accountable person, does it depend on a person being trusted in the moment, and how much data exists. A published formula turns those five ratings into the score; the model never writes the number.

How the bar is built: Each task’s share of the bar is its published importance weight, so a task you do all day counts for more than one you do twice a year.

Release: 2026-q4.1, scores computed 2026-08-05. Read the full method.

Your job, task by task

These are the official task statements for this occupation, in plain English, sorted by what the evidence says is happening to each one. The official wording sits under every line so you can check the rewrite against it.

Shifting to AI

46 tasks

Tasks today’s tools can already do most of. This is the part we will not soften: where these rows are the bulk of your week, the week changes.

  • Defining specific performance goals and deadlines for the department

    This is reading one thing and writing another: specific performance goals in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 80 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Define specific performance goals and deadlines for the department.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 64 out of 100 (5771 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Setting goals and deadlines is planning work software can draft from project data.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Reading through contracts, regulations and procedural guidelines to ensure comprehension and compliance

    This is reading one thing and writing another: contracts, regulations and procedural guidelines in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Read through contracts, regulations, and procedural guidelines to ensure comprehension and compliance.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 88 out of 100 (8492 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Reading contracts, regulations and guidance for meaning and compliance is exactly the kind of document work software is strongest at.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 4/4.

  • Identifying and making recommended changes to operational processes

    This is reading one thing and writing another: recommended changes in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Identify and make recommended changes to operational processes, systems and procedures.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (7179 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Reviewing how a process works and suggesting improvements is analysis of information already recorded.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Reviewing operational reports and schedules to ensure accuracy and efficiency

    This is reading one thing and writing another: operational reports in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Review operational reports and schedules to ensure accuracy and efficiency.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (7179 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Checking reports and schedules for errors is document work software does quickly and accurately.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

Changing shape

15 tasks

Tasks where the machine takes the producing and a person keeps the checking, the deciding, or the answering-for-it. For most jobs this is the biggest group, and it is where "transformation, not termination" is literally visible.

  • Developing departmental objectives to support business strategy

    The software now makes the first pass at departmental objectives, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.

    importance 75 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Develop departmental objectives to support business strategy.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 57 out of 100 (5064 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Objectives can be drafted from strategy documents, though what fits this department needs local knowledge.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Making decisions about personnel, resources and space or equipment needs with departmental leaders

    The software now makes the first pass at decisions, but the part that matters is a person saying it and standing behind it. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.

    importance 70 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Make decisions about personnel, resources, and space or equipment needs with departmental leaders.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 40 out of 100 (3347 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Options can be modelled automatically, but the decision is made jointly by managers who own the consequences.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Managing paper and electronic filing systems

    The software now makes the first pass at paper, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.

    importance 60 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Manage paper and electronic filing systems.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 56 out of 100 (4963 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Electronic filing can be run automatically, though paper records still have to be handled by hand.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

Staying human

92 tasks

Tasks that stay with a person, because they happen in the physical world, because the rules need someone accountable, or because the value is that a specific person does them.

  • Overseeing staff to ensure operational efficiency in regulatory compliance

    The value here is that a specific person handles staff and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 80 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Oversee staff to ensure operational efficiency in regulatory compliance.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 26 out of 100 (1933 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Compliance data can be tracked automatically, but supervising staff to act on it is a people job.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Implementing departmental goals and objectives with organisation officials

    The value here is that a specific person handles departmental goals and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 75 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Implement departmental goals and objectives with organisation officials.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 35 out of 100 (2842 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Goals can be drafted automatically, but agreeing them with senior colleagues is a discussion between people.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Developing staff to enhance their skills and performance

    The value here is that a specific person handles staff and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 70 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Develop staff to enhance their skills and performance.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 18 out of 100 (1422 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Developing someone's skills depends on a working relationship built over time.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 3/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

Show the other 143 tasks
  • Maintaining timekeeping information for payroll processing

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: information in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 50 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Maintain timekeeping information for payroll processing.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 100 out of 100 (96100 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Timekeeping for payroll is routine data handling that systems already do end to end.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 4/4.

  • Maintaining computerised record management systems to produce accurate reports

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: computerised record management systems in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/01
    Source:Maintain computerised record management systems to produce accurate reports.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 93 out of 100 (8997 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Maintaining a records system and producing reports from it is standard software work.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Organising detailed office records using computers

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: detailed office records in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/01
    Source:Organise detailed office records using computers.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 93 out of 100 (8997 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Sorting and filing office records on a computer is exactly the kind of organising software already handles.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Monitoring fire suppression expenditures for necessity and reasonableness

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: fire suppression expenditures in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 75 · 1163/02
    Source:Monitor fire suppression expenditures for necessity and reasonableness.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 93 out of 100 (8997 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Checking spending against budget lines is routine finance work software already does.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Composing correspondence for internal and external communication

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: correspondence in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/02
    Source:Compose correspondence for internal and external communication.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 93 out of 100 (8997 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Routine internal and external letters are exactly the kind of writing software produces to a usable standard.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Gathering data and preparing reports to inform decision-making

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: data in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/02
    Source:Gather data and prepare reports to inform decision-making.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 93 out of 100 (8997 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Pulling data together into reports is one of the strongest areas for current software.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Completing operational forms to facilitate business processes

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: operational forms in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 65 · 1163/02
    Source:Complete operational forms to facilitate business processes.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 93 out of 100 (8997 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Filling in standard forms from existing records is routine work software completes accurately.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Preparing activity reports to inform management of the status and implementation plans of programmes

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: activity reports in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 80 · 1163/01
    Source:Prepare activity reports to inform management of the status and implementation plans of programmes, services, and quality initiatives.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 88 out of 100 (8492 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Status and programme reports are structured writing software produces to a good standard from existing management data.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 4/4.

  • Completing administrative paperwork to ensure compliance and record-keeping

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: administrative paperwork in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/04
    Source:Complete administrative paperwork to ensure compliance and record-keeping.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 88 out of 100 (8492 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Compliance paperwork and record-keeping are structured tasks software completes accurately from existing information.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 4/4.

  • Developing lesson plans to structure practical training sessions

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: lesson plans in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/01
    Source:Develop lesson plans to structure practical training sessions.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 83 out of 100 (7987 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Writing a structured plan for a training session is document work software drafts to a usable standard.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 4/4.

  • Keeping up to date with diagnostic innovations

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: to date in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 65 · 1163/01
    Source:Keep up to date with diagnostic innovations.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 83 out of 100 (7690 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Keeping current with diagnostic innovations is reading and summarising published material.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 4/4.

  • Setting evaluative criteria for managed units to assess performance and outcomes

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: evaluative criteria in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 75 · 1163/01
    Source:Set evaluative criteria for managed units to assess performance and outcomes.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 79 out of 100 (7286 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Designing performance measures is a documented design task, though the measures need agreement.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Scheduling shifts for workers to ensure adequate coverage

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: shifts in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/02
    Source:Schedule shifts for workers to ensure adequate coverage.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 79 out of 100 (7583 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Building a shift rota that covers every watch is exactly the kind of scheduling software does well.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Assessing the need for additional staff

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: this work in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 85 · 1163/01
    Source:Assess the need for additional staff, equipment, and services based on resource utilisation.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (6882 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Working out staffing and equipment needs from usage figures is analysis of data already held.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Developing training materials on fire protection

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: materials in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 80 · 1163/02
    Source:Develop training materials on fire protection.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (7179 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Training content follows published fire safety guidance and needs only tailoring to the site.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Requisitioning new firefighting equipment

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: new firefighting equipment in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 75 · 1163/02
    Source:Requisition new firefighting equipment.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (6882 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Working out what equipment is needed and raising the order is routine purchasing paperwork.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Compiling and maintaining records as part of administrative duties

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: records in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/02
    Source:Compile and maintain records as part of administrative duties.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (7179 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Compiling and updating records is structured screen work with no physical or licensing barrier.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Maintaining accurate records

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: accurate records in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/02
    Source:Maintain accurate records.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (7179 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Keeping records accurate is routine screen work software does reliably.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Recommending purchases of new equipment to enhance operational capabilities

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: purchases of new equipment in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/02
    Source:Recommend purchases of new equipment to enhance operational capabilities.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (6882 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Comparing equipment options and writing a recommendation is research and drafting software does well.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Setting work procedures for administrative staff to enhance efficiency and organisation

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: work procedures in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Set work procedures for administrative staff to enhance efficiency and organisation.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (7179 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Written procedures follow well-known patterns and can be drafted from how the office already works.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Establishing operational standards for the departments

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: operational standards in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 65 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Establish operational standards for the departments supervised.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (7179 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Writing operating standards is document work software does well from existing practice and records.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Setting schedules for administrative staff to ensure smooth operations

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: schedules in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 65 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Set schedules for administrative staff to ensure smooth operations.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (7179 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Rostering is a scheduling problem software solves quickly using leave, hours and workload data.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Maintaining knowledge of security and confidentiality rules

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: knowledge of security in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 75 · 1163/04
    Source:Maintain knowledge of security and confidentiality rules.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (6882 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Keeping current with security rules is reading and tracking documented policy.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Maintaining accurate records as part of administrative tasks

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: accurate records in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/04
    Source:Maintain accurate records as part of administrative tasks.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (7179 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Keeping administrative records accurate is routine documentation that software already does well.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Preparing work schedules to optimise team productivity

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: work schedules in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/04
    Source:Prepare work schedules to optimise team productivity.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (6882 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Building a rota is a scheduling problem software solves, given the team's constraints.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Administering and controlling budgets

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: budgets in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Administer and control budgets for contracts, equipment, and supplies.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 72 out of 100 (6876 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Running budgets for contracts, equipment and supplies is finance administration that software handles from existing ledgers.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 4/4.

  • Using intelligence to advance complex investigations

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: intelligence in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 80 · 1163/05
    Source:Use intelligence to advance complex investigations, including in-depth research and data analysis.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 68 out of 100 (6175 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Research and data analysis are strong for software, though which lead matters comes from case knowledge.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Monitoring the use of diagnostic services

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: the use of diagnostic services in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 75 · 1163/01
    Source:Monitor the use of diagnostic services, inpatient beds, and facilities to ensure effective use of resources.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 66 out of 100 (6270 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Monitoring beds, diagnostics and facility use is data work that reporting systems already handle continuously.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Using analysed data to manage healthcare and veterinary practice systems

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: analysed data in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 75 · 1163/01
    Source:Use analysed data to manage healthcare and veterinary practice systems.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 66 out of 100 (5973 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Managing practice systems from analysed data is reporting and workflow work that software already performs.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Reviewing facility activities and data to assist in planning and cash management

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: facility activities in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/01
    Source:Review facility activities and data to assist in planning and cash management.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 66 out of 100 (6270 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Reviewing activity data to plan and manage cash is analysis that software does quickly and reliably.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Evaluating fire brigade performance

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: fire brigade performance in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 80 · 1163/02
    Source:Evaluate fire brigade performance.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 66 out of 100 (6270 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Evaluating brigade performance is analysis of response times and outcomes that software does well from existing data.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Preparing post-burn reports

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: post-burn reports in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/02
    Source:Prepare post-burn reports.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 66 out of 100 (6270 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Writing up what happened after a fire follows a standard format that software drafts well from the incident record.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Developing security procedures for operational processes

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: security procedures in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 80 · 1163/04
    Source:Develop security procedures for operational processes.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 66 out of 100 (6270 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Writing security procedures for known processes is document work software drafts to a usable standard.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Reviewing offender information to identify issues that require special attention

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: offender information in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/04
    Source:Review offender information to identify issues that require special attention.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 66 out of 100 (6270 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Reading offender records to flag concerns is document work, and software is good at spotting patterns in files.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Writing and reviewing reports on security incidents to maintain order and safety

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: reports in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/04
    Source:Write and review reports on security incidents to maintain order and safety.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 66 out of 100 (6270 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Incident reports follow a set structure from recorded facts, which is exactly what drafting tools do well.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Evaluating and disseminating intelligence by assessing large data volumes and searching databases

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: intelligence in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 80 · 1163/05
    Source:Evaluate and disseminate intelligence by assessing large data volumes and searching databases.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 66 out of 100 (5973 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Searching large databases and pulling out what matters is exactly what software is built for, with officers deciding on release.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Organising case files for legal proceedings to ensure compliance and enforcement

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: case files in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 75 · 1163/05
    Source:Organise case files for legal proceedings to ensure compliance and enforcement.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 66 out of 100 (6270 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Assembling and indexing case files to a required format is structured document work software handles well.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Collecting information for communications officers to create media briefings

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: information in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 60 · 1163/05
    Source:Collect information for communications officers to create media briefings.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 66 out of 100 (6270 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Gathering and packaging facts for a media briefing is collation work software does quickly from existing records.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Establishing work schedules and assignments

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: work schedules in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 80 · 1163/01
    Source:Establish work schedules and assignments for staff, according to workload, space, and equipment availability.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 64 out of 100 (6068 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Building rotas around workload, space and equipment is a scheduling problem software solves well.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Allocating tasks to meet work priorities

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: tasks in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 80 · 1163/02
    Source:Allocate tasks to meet work priorities.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 64 out of 100 (5771 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Allocating tasks against priorities is scheduling work software handles well.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Interpreting fire safety codes to establish permit issuance procedures for hazardous substances

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: fire safety codes in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 75 · 1163/02
    Source:Interpret fire safety codes to establish permit issuance procedures for hazardous substances.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 62 out of 100 (5569 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Turning published fire safety codes into permit procedures is document work software handles well, with an authorised officer approving.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 4/4.

  • Advising management on employee discipline procedures

    shifting to AI

    This is reading one thing and writing another: management in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 70 · 1163/02
    Source:Advise management on employee discipline procedures.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 61 out of 100 (5468 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Disciplinary procedure is well documented ground where software gives sound, standard advice that managers then apply.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 4/4.

  • Maintaining an awareness of the capabilities of internal and external specialists and law enforcement partners

    changing shape

    The software now makes the first pass at this work, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.

    importance 65 · 1163/05
    Source:Maintain an awareness of the capabilities of internal and external specialists and law enforcement partners.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 57 out of 100 (5064 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Keeping track of what specialist teams and partners can do is largely reading and remembering documented information.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Managing finances and controlling budgets to enhance emergency response and resource management

    changing shape

    The software now makes the first pass at finances, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.

    importance 85 · 1163/01
    Source:Manage finances and control budgets to enhance emergency response and resource management.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 56 out of 100 (4963 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Budget planning and monitoring is spreadsheet work software already handles well, with a manager approving.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Recording information and updating paperwork in filing systems

    changing shape

    The software now makes the first pass at information, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.

    importance 60 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Record information and update paperwork in filing systems.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 56 out of 100 (4963 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Updating records is routine, though paper files still need handling.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Investigating procedures for working in hazardous environments or with potentially harmful substances

    changing shape

    The software now makes the first pass at procedures, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.

    importance 70 · 1163/02
    Source:Investigate procedures for working in hazardous environments or with potentially harmful substances.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 54 out of 100 (4761 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Checking procedures for hazardous work against published regulations is document analysis software does thoroughly.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 4/4.

  • Reevaluating information gathered to formulate actions for case progression

    changing shape

    The software now makes the first pass at information, but someone has to be answerable for the result, and it cannot be the software. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.

    importance 70 · 1163/05
    Source:Re-evaluate information gathered to formulate actions for case progression.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 51 out of 100 (4458 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Re-reading gathered material to work out next steps is document analysis, though the decision carries responsibility.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Suggesting modifications to buildings or machinery for compliance and preparedness

    changing shape

    The software now makes the first pass at modifications, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.

    importance 65 · 1163/01
    Source:Suggest modifications to buildings or machinery for compliance and preparedness.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 49 out of 100 (4256 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Recommending building or machinery changes against published standards is analysis software drafts well, with a site visit to confirm.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Providing input to supervisors regarding training performance

    changing shape

    The software now makes the first pass at input, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.

    importance 75 · 1163/02
    Source:Provide input to supervisors regarding training performance.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 48 out of 100 (4155 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Training records and progress summaries are easy to produce from data already recorded on the drill ground.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Selecting and assigning instructors to conduct training

    changing shape

    The software now makes the first pass at instructors, but the part that matters is a person saying it and standing behind it. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.

    importance 75 · 1163/02
    Source:Select and assign instructors to conduct training.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 47 out of 100 (4054 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Matching instructors to courses by availability and subject is schedulable, but judging who teaches well comes from knowing them.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Providing advice to a variety of clients

    changing shape

    The software now makes the first pass at advice, but the part that matters is a person saying it and standing behind it. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.

    importance 50 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Provide advice to a variety of clients.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 46 out of 100 (3953 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: General advice to clients is well-documented ground for software, though people often want to hear it from someone.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Conveying prison officers' or inmates' complaints to superiors

    changing shape

    The software now makes the first pass at prison officers', but the part that matters is a person saying it and standing behind it. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.

    importance 65 · 1163/04
    Source:Convey prison officers' or inmates' complaints to superiors.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 46 out of 100 (3953 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Complaints can be logged and summarised automatically, though people raising them want to know a person has actually listened.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Advising communities and workforces on practical health improvements

    changing shape

    The software now makes the first pass at communities, but the part that matters is a person saying it and standing behind it. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.

    importance 70 · 1163/01
    Source:Advise communities and workforces on practical health improvements.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 43 out of 100 (3650 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Practical health advice is abundantly documented and easy to generate, though people take it better from someone they trust.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 4/4.

  • Serving as liaison for requests or complaints on behalf of work unit

    changing shape

    The software now makes the first pass at liaison, but the part that matters is a person saying it and standing behind it. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.

    importance 60 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Serve as liaison for requests or complaints on behalf of work unit.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 40 out of 100 (3347 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Messages can be drafted automatically, but acting for colleagues in a dispute depends on personal standing.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Managing the recruitment of staff to maintain emergency response capabilities

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles the recruitment of staff and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 80 · 1163/01
    Source:Manage the recruitment of staff to maintain emergency response capabilities.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 39 out of 100 (3246 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Most of running a recruitment campaign is scheduling and paperwork, though hiring decisions stay with people.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Coordinating support staff activities in healthcare settings

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles support staff activities and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 75 · 1163/01
    Source:Coordinate support staff activities in healthcare settings.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 39 out of 100 (3246 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Rotas and task lists are easy to produce; keeping a clinical team working together needs a person.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Ensuring compliance with prison standards

    staying human

    The ratings behind this row put compliance well outside what today's tools can do on their own.

    importance 75 · 1163/04
    Source:Ensure compliance with prison standards.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 38 out of 100 (3145 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Checking records against prison standards is largely documentary, though real assurance needs walking the establishment.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Developing investigative strategies to maximise evidence gathering for serious and complex investigations

    staying human

    The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for investigative strategies, and that person cannot be a piece of software.

    importance 80 · 1163/05
    Source:Develop investigative strategies to maximise evidence gathering for serious and complex investigations.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 38 out of 100 (3145 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Software can suggest lines of enquiry, but the strategy for a serious investigation is owned by an accountable senior investigator.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Communicating with different departments for inter-departmental collaboration

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles different departments and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 80 · 1163/01
    Source:Communicate with different departments for inter-departmental collaboration.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 35 out of 100 (2842 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Working across departments depends on relationships, though much of the messaging can be drafted.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Implementing work restructuring, technological innovations and shifts in care focus

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles work restructuring, technological innovations and shifts and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 75 · 1163/01
    Source:Implement work restructuring, technological innovations, and shifts in care focus.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 35 out of 100 (2842 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Plans can be drafted automatically, but restructuring work and shifting how care is given depends on staff accepting the change.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Managing change in integrated healthcare delivery systems

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles change and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 75 · 1163/01
    Source:Manage change in integrated healthcare delivery systems.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 35 out of 100 (2842 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Change plans can be written automatically, but getting staff across a healthcare system to work differently depends on people.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Reviewing exhibits to determine their evidential value and identify opportunities to progress the investigation

    staying human

    The ratings behind this row put exhibits well outside what today's tools can do on their own.

    importance 80 · 1163/05
    Source:Review exhibits to determine their evidential value and identify opportunities to progress the investigation.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 33 out of 100 (2640 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Software can sort and cross-reference case material, but judging what an exhibit proves and where to go next is investigator's work.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Implementing organisational policies and procedures for the medical unit

    staying human

    The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for organisational policies, and that person cannot be a piece of software.

    importance 80 · 1163/01
    Source:Implement organisational policies and procedures for the medical unit.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 32 out of 100 (2539 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Policies can be drafted automatically, but running a healthcare unit needs registered clinicians accountable for how care is delivered.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Supervising the inspection of properties for compliance with fire codes and regulations

    staying human

    The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for the inspection of properties, and that person cannot be a piece of software.

    importance 85 · 1163/02
    Source:Supervise the inspection of properties for compliance with fire codes and regulations.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 32 out of 100 (2539 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Scheduling and reviewing inspection results is deskwork, but the inspections themselves are done by authorised officers on site.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Developing strategies for suspect identification and arrest operations

    staying human

    The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for strategies, and that person cannot be a piece of software.

    importance 75 · 1163/05
    Source:Develop strategies for suspect identification and arrest operations.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 32 out of 100 (2539 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Plans can be drafted, but choosing how and when to arrest someone needs an accountable officer's judgement.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Applying for covert information with the required authorities and mitigate operational risks

    staying human

    The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for covert information, and that person cannot be a piece of software.

    importance 75 · 1163/05
    Source:Apply for covert information with the required authorities and mitigate operational risks.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 31 out of 100 (2438 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: The application paperwork can be drafted, but surveillance authority must legally be granted by a designated senior officer.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 3/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Formulating a disclosure strategy and managing sensitive materials

    staying human

    The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for a disclosure strategy, and that person cannot be a piece of software.

    importance 70 · 1163/05
    Source:Formulate a disclosure strategy and manage sensitive materials.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 31 out of 100 (2438 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Sensitive material can be catalogued by software, but disclosure decisions carry legal duties only a named officer holds.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 3/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Recruiting new employees to maintain emergency response capabilities

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles new employees and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 75 · 1163/01
    Source:Recruit new employees to maintain emergency response capabilities.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 30 out of 100 (2337 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Sifting and shortlisting can be automated, but assessing candidates for emergency roles still needs human judgement.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Recruiting new employees to support immigration operations

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles new employees and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 75 · 1163/03
    Source:Recruit new employees to support immigration operations.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 30 out of 100 (2337 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Sifting applications can be automated, though interviewing and selecting officers still rests with people.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Managing support staff to ensure efficient office operations

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles support staff and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 65 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Manage support staff to ensure efficient office operations.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 30 out of 100 (2337 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Workflow can be organised automatically, but managing the people doing it is a human job.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Recruiting new employees to ensure compliance and revenue collection

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles new employees and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 75 · 1163/05
    Source:Recruit new employees to ensure compliance and revenue collection.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 30 out of 100 (2337 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Advertising and sifting can be automated, but selecting compliance staff still comes down to human interviews.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Directing investigation of cases of suspected arson

    staying human

    The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for investigation of cases of suspected arson, and that person cannot be a piece of software.

    importance 85 · 1163/02
    Source:Direct investigation of cases of suspected arson, hazards, and false alarms and submit reports outlining findings.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 28 out of 100 (2135 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Reports can be drafted automatically, but directing an arson investigation and working the scene needs experienced fire investigators.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Hiring and dismissing staff

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles staff and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 60 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Hire and dismiss staff as necessary.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 28 out of 100 (2135 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Shortlisting and paperwork can be automated, but hiring and especially dismissal are decisions delivered face to face by a person.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 3/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Implementing and administering healthcare programmes

    staying human

    The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for healthcare programmes, and that person cannot be a piece of software.

    importance 85 · 1163/01
    Source:Implement and administer healthcare programmes, including personnel administration and staff training.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 27 out of 100 (2034 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Administration and training records are easily automated, but healthcare programmes need clinicians accountable for what is delivered.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Coordinating activities and plans

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles activities and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 80 · 1163/01
    Source:Coordinate activities and plans with medical, business, and community groups.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 26 out of 100 (1933 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Joint planning across groups runs on relationships and local context.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Informing and educating the public on fire prevention

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: the public, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 80 · 1163/02
    Source:Inform and educate the public on fire prevention.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 26 out of 100 (1933 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Prevention material is easy to produce, but fire safety messages land through people talking to their community.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Coordinating with social workers, therapists and psychologists to develop comprehensive care plans

    staying human

    The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for social workers, therapists and psychologists, and that person cannot be a piece of software.

    importance 75 · 1163/04
    Source:Coordinate with social workers, therapists, and psychologists to develop comprehensive care plans.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 26 out of 100 (1933 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: someone qualified has to answer for it; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Plans can be drafted from records, but the decisions belong to registered social workers, therapists and psychologists working together.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Carrying out intelligence driven briefings

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles intelligence driven briefings and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 70 · 1163/05
    Source:Carry out intelligence driven briefings, taskings and debriefings.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 26 out of 100 (1933 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Briefings and debriefs are live sessions where the team asks questions and agrees who does what.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Educating on media utilisation to advance investigations

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles media utilisation and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 60 · 1163/05
    Source:Educate on media utilisation to advance investigations.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 26 out of 100 (1933 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Teaching colleagues how to use media in cases works best as a live session with questions.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Directing maintenance and repair of firefighting equipment

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: maintenance, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 80 · 1163/02
    Source:Direct maintenance and repair of firefighting equipment.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 24 out of 100 (1731 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: Maintenance schedules and records are easy to run, but directing repairs means checking the equipment in the bay.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Conducting staff performance appraisals

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles staff performance appraisals and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 70 · 1163/04
    Source:Conduct staff performance appraisals.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 24 out of 100 (1731 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: An appraisal is a candid conversation between two people who work together.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 3/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Coordinating theft and fraud investigations involving career criminals or organised group activities

    staying human

    The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for theft, and that person cannot be a piece of software.

    importance 80 · 1163/05
    Source:Coordinate theft and fraud investigations involving career criminals or organised group activities.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 24 out of 100 (1731 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Software helps link records and spot patterns, but directing an organised crime investigation stays with an accountable officer.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Ensuring prisoners have access to professional support

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles prisoners have access and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 70 · 1163/04
    Source:Ensure prisoners have access to professional support when needed.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 23 out of 100 (1630 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Referrals can be tracked automatically, but noticing that someone needs help and getting them seen depends on staff who know them.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Supporting the evaluation of prisoner behaviour and rehabilitation progress

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles the evaluation of prisoner behaviour and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 70 · 1163/04
    Source:Support the evaluation of prisoner behaviour and rehabilitation progress.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 23 out of 100 (1630 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Records can be summarised automatically, but judging how someone is really progressing depends on staff who see them daily.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Analysing burn conditions and results

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: burn conditions, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 75 · 1163/02
    Source:Analyse burn conditions and results.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 22 out of 100 (1529 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: Fire behaviour can be modelled, but reading a burnt site properly means walking it afterwards.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Identifying hazards and assessing the potential risk of a fire in the building

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: hazards, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 75 · 1163/02
    Source:Identify hazards and assess the potential risk of a fire in the building.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 22 out of 100 (1529 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: A draft assessment can be generated from plans, but the real hazards are found by walking the building.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Preserving and maintaining digital forensic evidence for analysis

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: digital forensic evidence, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 75 · 1163/05
    Source:Preserve and maintain digital forensic evidence for analysis.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 22 out of 100 (1529 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Imaging and hashing are already automated, but seizing devices and standing behind the evidence in court needs a qualified examiner.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Supervising and evaluating technical, clerical, service and maintenance staff

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles technical, clerical, service and maintenance staff and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 80 · 1163/01
    Source:Supervise and evaluate technical, clerical, service, and maintenance staff.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 21 out of 100 (1428 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Supervising and appraising staff depends on knowing the individuals and their work.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 3/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Directing the training of firefighters

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: the training of firefighters, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 85 · 1163/02
    Source:Direct the training of firefighters.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 21 out of 100 (1428 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: Course design can be automated, but firefighter training is practical drill work directed by experienced officers on the ground.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Conducting training programmes to enhance emergency response skills

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: programmes, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 85 · 1163/01
    Source:Conduct training programmes to enhance emergency response skills.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 20 out of 100 (1327 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Software can write the course materials, but running drills and coaching crews needs a trainer in the room.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Collaborating with the Crown Prosecution Service

    staying human

    The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for the crown prosecution service, and that person cannot be a piece of software.

    importance 80 · 1163/05
    Source:Collaborate with the Crown Prosecution Service (CPS) and other bodies to deliver successful prosecutions.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 20 out of 100 (1327 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: someone qualified has to answer for it; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Case files can be drafted, but agreeing charges with prosecutors relies on professional judgement and working relationships.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Liaising with and task such teams to progress serious and complex investigations

    staying human

    The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for and task, and that person cannot be a piece of software.

    importance 70 · 1163/05
    Source:Liaise with and task such teams to progress serious and complex investigations.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 20 out of 100 (1327 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: someone qualified has to answer for it; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Tasking specialist teams is coordination built on trust and accountability rather than paperwork alone.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Inspecting mail for the presence of contraband

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: mail, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 65 · 1163/04
    Source:Inspect mail for the presence of contraband.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 19 out of 100 (1226 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Scanned mail can be screened automatically, but suspect items still have to be handled and tested by officers with search powers.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Preparing victim and/or witness strategies by assessing their needs and providing support

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles victim and/or witness strategies and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 70 · 1163/05
    Source:Prepare victim and/or witness strategies by assessing their needs and providing support.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 18 out of 100 (1125 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: The written strategy can be drafted automatically, but supporting a frightened witness depends on trust built with that person.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 3/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Attending board meetings to maintain communication between governing boards

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles board meetings and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 75 · 1163/01
    Source:Attend board meetings to maintain communication between governing boards, medical staff, and department heads.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 13 out of 100 (620 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Attending a board meeting to keep groups connected means being in the room.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 3/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Discussing service problems

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles service problems and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 75 · 1163/01
    Source:Discuss service problems with medical, business, and community groups.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 13 out of 100 (620 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Talking through service problems with different groups happens live and depends on the people present.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 3/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Engaging community groups in the implementation of educational initiatives

    staying human

    The value here is that a specific person handles community groups and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.

    importance 70 · 1163/01
    Source:Engage community groups in the implementation of educational initiatives.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 13 out of 100 (917 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Getting community groups involved depends on trust built with named people locally.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 3/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Enforcing disciplinary procedures to maintain order and security

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: disciplinary procedures, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 85 · 1163/04
    Source:Enforce disciplinary procedures to maintain order and security.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 13 out of 100 (620 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Discipline paperwork can be drafted, but hearings and enforcement inside a prison need an authorised officer present.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Conducting training sessions for staff to enhance their skills

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: sessions, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 85 · 1163/01
    Source:Conduct training sessions for staff to enhance their skills.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 11 out of 100 (418 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Training content prepares easily, but running a session means being with the group and responding to them.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 3/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Communicating fire details to superiors using two-way radios

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: fire details, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 75 · 1163/02
    Source:Communicate fire details to superiors using two-way radios.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 11 out of 100 (418 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: The message is simple, but it comes from the officer who can see the fire and judge what matters.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Instructing fire brigade personnel in firefighting duties

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: fire brigade personnel, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 85 · 1163/02
    Source:Instruct fire brigade personnel in firefighting duties.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 10 out of 100 (317 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Course notes are easy to write, but teaching firefighting duties means demonstrating them on the drill ground.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Conducting roll calls of prison officers

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: roll calls of prison officers, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 75 · 1163/04
    Source:Conduct roll calls of prison officers.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 9 out of 100 (216 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: A roll call means physically mustering officers and confirming who is present on the wing.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Checking the facility's structural environment for compliance with safety regulations

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: the facility's structural environment, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 70 · 1163/01
    Source:Check the facility's structural environment for compliance with safety regulations.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 8 out of 100 (115 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Checking the building's condition against safety rules means walking round it and looking.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Conducting safety checks to ensure compliance with fire safety regulations

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: safety checks, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 85 · 1163/02
    Source:Conduct safety checks to ensure compliance with fire safety regulations.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 8 out of 100 (115 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Fire safety checks mean walking the premises and testing what is there, not reading about it.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Inspecting new and existing fire protection and detection systems to ensure proper operation

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: new and existing fire protection and detection systems, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 85 · 1163/02
    Source:Inspect new and existing fire protection and detection systems to ensure proper operation.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 8 out of 100 (115 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Checking that alarms and sprinklers actually work means testing them on site, and the tester has to be competent.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Inspecting vehicles or equipment to ensure compliance with rules

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: vehicles, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 80 · 1163/02
    Source:Inspect vehicles or equipment to ensure compliance with rules, standards, or regulations.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 8 out of 100 (115 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Checking vehicles and equipment against the rules means physically looking at them, not reading their records.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Estimating sizes and characteristics of fires

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: sizes, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 75 · 1163/02
    Source:Estimate sizes and characteristics of fires.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 8 out of 100 (115 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: Fire size and behaviour are judged from what the officer can see and feel at the scene.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Assessing danger to adjacent buildings and water supply status for company requirements

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: danger, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 70 · 1163/02
    Source:Assess danger to adjacent buildings and water supply status for company requirements.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 8 out of 100 (115 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: Building and water supply data helps, but judging the danger to next-door buildings is done by looking at them.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Conducting the apprehension of individuals and preparing arrest submissions for law enforcement partners in accordance with relevant legislation

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: the apprehension of individuals, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 70 · 1163/05
    Source:Conduct the apprehension of individuals and prepare arrest submissions for law enforcement partners in accordance with relevant legislation.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 7 out of 100 (014 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Arresting someone is physical and legally reserved to an officer, even though the paperwork can be drafted.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 3/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Adopting appropriate strategies and techniques for effective interviewing across various settings

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: appropriate strategies, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 60 · 1163/05
    Source:Adopt appropriate strategies and techniques for effective interviewing across various settings.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 7 out of 100 (014 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Good interviewing depends on reading a person in the room and adapting, which is hard to hand over.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 3/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Assessing nature and extent of fire and building condition to determine crew requirements

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: nature, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 80 · 1163/02
    Source:Assess nature and extent of fire and building condition to determine crew requirements.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 6 out of 100 (013 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Sizing up a fire and a building's condition is judgement made by an officer looking at it from the ground.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Supervising firefighters in performing station maintenance duties

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: firefighters, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 80 · 1163/02
    Source:Supervise firefighters in performing station maintenance duties.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 6 out of 100 (013 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Rotas and checklists are easy to produce, but supervising station duties means being at the station.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Supervising shakedowns to prevent contraband in the institution

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: shakedowns, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 75 · 1163/04
    Source:Supervise shakedowns to prevent contraband in the institution.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 6 out of 100 (013 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: Overseeing a cell search means being on the wing directing officers while it happens.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Mediating conflicts between inmates to resolve disputes

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: conflicts, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 70 · 1163/04
    Source:Mediate conflicts between inmates to resolve disputes.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 6 out of 100 (013 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Settling a dispute between prisoners depends on an officer they know being there in the room.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 3/4 · how much data exists 1/4.

  • Training workers in job-specific tasks to ensure effective performance

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: workers, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 65 · 1163/04
    Source:Train workers in job-specific tasks to ensure effective performance.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 6 out of 100 (210 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Teaching someone a practical job means showing them at the bench or machine.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Categorising the victim and/or witness and using appropriate interviewing methods

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: the victim and/or witness, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 65 · 1163/05
    Source:Categorise the victim and/or witness and use appropriate interviewing methods.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 6 out of 100 (013 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Interviewing a vulnerable victim depends on trust built face to face and is tightly governed by law.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 3/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 3/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Allocating firefighters to jobs at strategic locations to facilitate rescue of persons and maximise application of extinguishing agents

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: firefighters, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 85 · 1163/02
    Source:Allocate firefighters to jobs at strategic locations to facilitate rescue of persons and maximise application of extinguishing agents.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 5 out of 100 (012 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Deciding where crews go at a fire is a live command judgement made by an officer standing at the incident.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Supervising institutional tours to provide information and oversight

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: institutional tours, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 60 · 1163/04
    Source:Supervise institutional tours to provide information and oversight.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 5 out of 100 (012 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Escorting visitors round an institution requires an officer physically accompanying them for security.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Directing and supervising prescribed burn projects

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: prescribed burn projects, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 75 · 1163/02
    Source:Direct and supervise prescribed burn projects.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 4 out of 100 (011 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Directing a live prescribed burn is done outdoors in changing conditions with crews under command.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Ensuring the security of prisoners

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: the security of prisoners, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 85 · 1163/04
    Source:Ensure the security of prisoners.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 4 out of 100 (011 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Keeping prisoners secure rests on officers physically present holding the legal responsibility for custody.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 3/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 1/4.

  • Monitoring subordinates' behaviour to ensure alertness and professionalism towards inmates and parolees

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: subordinates' behaviour, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 75 · 1163/04
    Source:Monitor subordinates' behaviour to ensure alertness and professionalism towards inmates and parolees.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 4 out of 100 (011 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Judging whether staff are alert and professional comes from watching them work in person.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 1/4.

  • Coordinating emergency evacuation procedures to ensure safe and orderly exits during crises

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: emergency evacuation procedures, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 70 · 1163/04
    Source:Coordinate emergency evacuation procedures to ensure safe and orderly exits during crises.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 4 out of 100 (011 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Plans can be drafted in advance, but running an evacuation during a crisis happens on the ground.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Maintaining order and responding to emergencies to ensure public safety

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: order, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 80 · 1163/04
    Source:Maintain order and respond to emergencies to ensure public safety.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 3 out of 100 (010 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Keeping order and turning out to emergencies means officers physically present with the legal powers to act.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 3/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 1/4.

  • Supervising and directing the work of prison officers to ensure the safe custody

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: the work of prison officers, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 80 · 1163/04
    Source:Supervise and direct the work of prison officers to ensure the safe custody, discipline, and welfare of inmates.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 3 out of 100 (010 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Supervising landings and keeping custody safe means senior officers physically present with the legal responsibility for prisoners.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 3/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 1/4.

  • Gathering intelligence and evidence using lawful and effective covert tactics to progress investigations

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: intelligence, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 75 · 1163/05
    Source:Gather intelligence and evidence using lawful and effective covert tactics to progress investigations.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 3 out of 100 (010 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Covert evidence gathering is done in the field by authorised officers under strict legal control.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 3/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 1/4.

  • Interviewing suspects to obtain crime-related information

    staying human

    The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for suspects, and that person cannot be a piece of software.

    importance 80 · 1163/05
    Source:Interview suspects to obtain crime-related information.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 2 out of 100 (06 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: someone qualified has to answer for it; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: A formal interview under caution must be conducted in person by an officer with legal powers, and answers depend on rapport.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 4/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 3/4 · how much data exists 1/4.

  • Providing appropriate care and supporting for vulnerable prisoners and those at risk of self-harm

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: appropriate care, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 75 · 1163/04
    Source:Provide appropriate care and support for vulnerable prisoners and those at risk of self-harm.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 1 out of 100 (05 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Supporting someone at risk of self-harm is about a person being there with them; nothing else does that job.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 4/4 · how much data exists 1/4.

  • Maintaining fire suppression equipment in good condition

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: fire suppression equipment, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 85 · 1163/02
    Source:Maintain fire suppression equipment in good condition, checking equipment periodically to ensure readiness.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (04 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: Checking and maintaining suppression equipment means handling the kit itself.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Leading a specialised fire crew

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: a specialised fire crew, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 80 · 1163/02
    Source:Lead a specialised fire crew, including engine, hand, helicopter, or prescribed units, during firefighting operations.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (04 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Leading a crew during firefighting means commanding them at the fire.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 1/4.

  • Providing emergency medical services

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: emergency medical services, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 80 · 1163/02
    Source:Provide emergency medical services as required, and carry out light to heavy rescue operations at emergencies.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (04 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Treating casualties and cutting people free is physical work at the scene.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 3/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 1/4.

  • Testing fire-fighting and life-saving equipment

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: equipment, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 80 · 1163/02
    Source:Test fire-fighting and life-saving equipment.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (04 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Testing pumps, breathing sets and life-saving gear is hands-on work on the equipment itself.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Driving crew carriers to transport firefighters to fire sites

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: crew carriers, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 70 · 1163/02
    Source:Drive crew carriers to transport firefighters to fire sites.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (04 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Driving a crew carrier to a fire needs a person at the wheel with the right licence.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Representing the service at internal and external events

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: the service, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 65 · 1163/03, 1163/05
    Source:Represent the service at internal and external events.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (04 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Being at an event to represent the service is by its nature something a person does in the flesh.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 3/4 · how much data exists 1/4.

  • Conducting head counts to ensure that each prisoner is present

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: head counts, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 80 · 1163/04
    Source:Conduct head counts to ensure that each prisoner is present.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (04 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: A roll check means physically seeing every prisoner and counting them.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Enforcing laws, maintain order and arrest violators in assigned areas

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: laws, maintain order and arrest violators, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 80 · 1163/04
    Source:Enforce laws, maintain order, and arrest violators in assigned areas.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (04 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: An arrest happens in person and only an officer given the power by law may make one.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 4/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Performing searches of prisoners' quarters to locate contraband items

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: searches of prisoners' quarters, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 80 · 1163/04
    Source:Perform searches of prisoners' quarters to locate contraband items.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (04 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Searching a cell for hidden items is physical work only an officer with search powers may do.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 3/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 1/4.

  • Performing specific, random and general searches using correct procedures and equipment to maintain security protocols

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: specific, random and general searches, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 75 · 1163/04
    Source:Perform specific, random, and general searches using correct procedures and equipment to maintain security protocols.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (04 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: Searching people and cells is hands-on work that has to be done by an officer in place.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Supervising offenders performing tasks like construction and maintenance

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: offenders performing tasks like construction, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 70 · 1163/04
    Source:Supervise offenders performing tasks like construction and maintenance.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (04 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Supervising offenders doing building work means standing with them while they do it.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 1/4.

  • Securing offenders using chemical agents

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: offenders, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 65 · 1163/04
    Source:Secure offenders using chemical agents, firearms, or other weapons of force as necessary.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (04 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Restraining someone with force is physical, and only an officer authorised in law may do it.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 4/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 1/4.

  • Carrying injured offenders or employees to safety

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: injured offenders, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 60 · 1163/04
    Source:Carry injured offenders or employees to safety.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (04 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: Physically carrying an injured person to safety cannot be done from a screen.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 1/4.

  • Driving vehicles to transport inmates

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: vehicles, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 60 · 1163/04
    Source:Drive vehicles to transport inmates to institutions, courtrooms, hospitals, and work sites.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (04 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Moving prisoners means driving a secure vehicle with officers on board.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Conducting effective and compliant searches of people

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: effective, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 75 · 1163/05
    Source:Conduct effective and compliant searches of people, vehicles, and places.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (04 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Searching people, vehicles and premises is physical work done by an officer at the scene.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Handling evidence and exhibits during court proceedings

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: evidence, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 70 · 1163/05
    Source:Handle evidence and exhibits during court proceedings.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (04 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Exhibits have to be physically carried, produced and accounted for in the courtroom by the officer responsible.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 3/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

What this job pays, and how many people do it

Median pay
No median pay figure is published for this exact group, so there is none here. We would rather show you the gap than a number borrowed from somewhere else.The ONS doesn't publish a reliable pay figure for this exact job (too few people in its survey sample), so none is shown here.
People doing this job
8,000in the UK, 2026.nomis-aps · Apr 2025-Mar 2026 (latest APS 12-month period)This headcount comes from a survey, not a census, so treat it as a good estimate rather than an exact count.

What is deliberately not here: a forecast of how many of these jobs exist in ten years. Where an official projection exists for a market we publish it with its vintage; where it does not, we leave the space empty rather than borrow the other country’s number.

Why this is shifting

The reason is boringly specific. Most of what is shifting here is reading one thing and writing another: contracts, regulations and procedural guidelines in, a record out. The rows above are exactly that shape: reading through contracts, regulations and procedural guidelines to ensure comprehension and compliance and defining specific performance goals and deadlines for the department. What it cannot do is be there in the room, and that is still where the service gets done. Which is why this page talks about your tasks changing, not your job ending.

Your move

Over a pint: what I’d tell you if you were my friend

Your week is splitting in two, and which half fills it is the whole question. Reading through contracts, regulations and procedural guidelines to ensure comprehension and compliance is going; representing the service at internal and external events is not.

So, given all that: 31% of this job's task weight sits in rows the software is already learning, 11% in rows that change shape rather than disappear, and 58% in rows it is nowhere near. That is the position, measured across 153 scored tasks. It is not a forecast about you.

The occupation is an average and you are not, so the first job below is finding out where your own week actually sits.

This week: one thing

Print the task ledger above and put your own hours next to each row. Roughly, in pen, in one sitting. Then look at which group your hours actually pile up in. Twenty minutes, this week.

What you end up holding
your own week, on one page, sorted into what is shifting and what is not
How long it takes
about twenty minutes

If printing it isn’t practical: Read the rows off this page and write the same list on the back of an envelope. Same twenty minutes, same page, and it works just as well said out loud to someone who knows the job. The point is your hours next to the rows, not the paper it is on.

Over the next 90 days

Volunteer toward the durable end, visibly. Over the next ninety days put your hand up for the work in the bottom group (representing the service at internal and external events) and let people see you doing it. Not a new project: the same job, with your mix deliberately tilted. The point is that when the rota or the reorganisation comes, the version of you people picture is the one doing the part that stays.

Over the next 12 months

Claim a specialism at the durable end and let the other end go. Over a year, deliberately become the person who handles representing the service at internal and external events, and deliberately stop being the first choice for the rows in the top group. That trade costs something, because the exposed work is often the comfortable work. Decide it on purpose rather than by drift. Before you pay for anything, spend an hour with National Careers Service. It is free and government-funded, and it is listed below with the rest of the free routes.

The roads out of here, and why I am not sending you down them

I looked at the obvious moves out of this job, and here is what I found.

I checked the 12 nearest UK occupations to senior officers in fire, ambulance, prison and related services (nearest by the work that AI is not taking, not by job title), and none of them survived. The closest was health care practice managers. This release publishes no median pay for that job, so I cannot show you what the move costs or pays. And on the numbers you do not need one. This job scores 38/100 here, with only 31% of the task list in the top band, and “conduct training programmes to enhance emergency response skills” is not work that hands over cleanly. None of them beats deepening what you already have.

How that was checked: this job was compared against all 412 UK occupations in this release on their official task statements, and the 12 nearest were examined one by one. A move that turns on an industry, an employer or a qualification rather than on the work itself will not show up in a check like that. And this release carries no licence register, so anything you are weighing needs that looked up separately.

3 moves I checked and rejected

These are the obvious-looking jumps. They are here with their reasons rather than quietly dropped, because the ones that fail are worth knowing about. It is one less thing to turn over at night.

  • Health care practice managers

    Why it looked obvious: It came up as a near neighbour because one of your tasks is on their list in the same words: “attend board meetings to maintain communication between governing boards, medical staff, and department heads”. Across the whole of both lists that adds up to about 37% of the work in that job the software is not taking.

    Why I am not recommending it: This release publishes no median pay for that job, so I cannot show you what the move costs or pays. I do not recommend a move I cannot price.

    Look at that job’s page anyway →

  • Fire service officers (watch manager and below)

    Why it looked obvious: It came up as a near neighbour because one of your tasks is on their list in the same words: “maintain fire suppression equipment in good condition, checking equipment periodically to ensure readiness”. Across the whole of both lists that adds up to about 17% of the work in that job the software is not taking.

    Why I am not recommending it: You would be starting most of it from nothing: about 17% of the durable work in that job is work you do today, and the rest you would be learning while the bills carried on. This release publishes no median pay for that job, so I cannot show you what the move costs or pays. I do not recommend a move I cannot price.

    Look at that job’s page anyway →

  • Health services and public health managers and directors

    Why it looked obvious: It came up as a near neighbour because one of your tasks is on their list in the same words: “attend board meetings to maintain communication between governing boards, medical staff, and department heads”. Across the whole of both lists that adds up to about 10% of the work in that job the software is not taking.

    Why I am not recommending it: You would be starting most of it from nothing: about 10% of the durable work in that job is work you do today, and the rest you would be learning while the bills carried on. This release publishes no median pay for that job, so I cannot show you what the move costs or pays. I do not recommend a move I cannot price.

    Look at that job’s page anyway →

What I’d stop worrying about

A friend tells you what not to spend fear on. This is that list.

  • The headline number you read somewhere

    The big “X% of jobs” figures are about the whole economy, not about you. The number that describes your job is on this page: 31% of its task weight, across 153 scored tasks. Every row behind it is printed above with the source. Check ours; ignore theirs.

  • The whole-job doom story

    Nothing on this page says this job ends. It says the mix inside it moves. Half the rows above are unchanged or changing shape, and the plan is about which half your week sits in. That is a very different problem, and a solvable one.

  • Panic-buying a course

    Do the twenty-minute sorting exercise first. Most people who buy a course before they have done it buy the wrong one, and the free services listed below will tell you the same thing without charging for it.

  • The “obvious” next job everyone suggests

    I checked the obvious moves and most of them did not survive. The reasons are printed with the routes above, including the pay and the gate. A move that fails on the numbers is worth knowing about so you can stop turning it over at night.

You are reading the United Kingdom figures

The United States splits this work across more than one official group, of which Entertainment and Recreation Managers, Except Gambling is the closest. The pay and employment figures are not directly comparable, and we do not average them together.

Switch to the United States page →partial match

In US official statistics this job is counted as Entertainment and Recreation Managers, Except Gambling, Personal Service Managers, All Other, Managers, All Other, Project Management Specialists, First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers, First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers and Forest Fire Inspectors and Prevention Specialists. Pay is shown separately for each of those groups (medians cannot be averaged together), while the task list and the scores on this page are for this group only.

Your route through this

Where to go next, and what it costs

Free, and complete

The moves above cost nothing. These are the real services that go with them: public, government-funded, and free at the point of use. Nothing on this page is behind an email address or a payment.

No Space for this job, but one for what is happening to it

Nothing Collab365 runs is built for senior officers in fire / ambulance / prison / related services, and we are not going to point you at the nearest one and call it a fit.

There is one that is not about a job title at all. The AI Authority is about being the person who directs these tools at work rather than the person they get compared to. That is worth saying here, because 31% of the work on this page is already inside what they can do.

Try The AI Authority free

7 days free, no card needed. Explore up to 2 Spaces before you choose a plan: you pick a plan later, not now.

The AI Authority is a general community about working with AI, not a course for senior officers in fire / ambulance / prison / related services. You do not need it to act on anything here: the moves above cost nothing and stand on their own. The data on this page is the same either way.

Noted, and thank you. We’ll email you if a Space for senior officers in fire / ambulance / prison / related services launches. Nothing else.

That did not look like an email address, so nothing was saved. Have another go below.

We could not save that. The fault is ours, not yours, and your address was not stored. Please try again later.

No Space for senior officers in fire / ambulance / prison / related services yet. Should there be one?

Collab365 Spaces is built by the same people as this site. We find the problems that AI and automation are creating inside one kind of work, then solve them as short courses, briefings and Blueprints. Each Space is the community too, so the research and the people doing your job are in the same place.

What a Space actually is, in full

Collab365 launches new communities where the need is real. If one for senior officers in fire / ambulance / prison / related services existed, with researched problems, courses and people in the same boat, would you want in?

We use your email address for one thing: to tell you if a Space for senior officers in fire / ambulance / prison / related services launches. We never sell it, never use it for unrelated marketing, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe. Our privacy policy has the full version.

This unlocks nothing. Every figure, every row and every step on this page is already yours, whether you fill this in or not.

No deadline on any of this. The page will still be here, and the data is refreshed on a published schedule rather than when someone wants a headline.

Questions people ask about this job

Will AI replace Senior officers in fire, ambulance, prison and related services?
Not as a job, but it is already doing parts of the work. Across the 153 official task statements scored for Senior officers in fire, ambulance, prison and related services (United Kingdom, SOC 1163), 31% of the importance-weighted core work is made of tasks today's AI could already do most of. The overall exposure score is 38 out of 100 (range 33–44, band: low). That is a statement about tasks, not about headcount: this measures what AI could do, not whether any employer adopts it, whether the law allows it, or whether doing the routine parts faster creates more demand for the human parts. Figures are from release 2026-q4.1.
Which tasks in “Senior officers in fire, ambulance, prison and related services” can AI already do?
The highest-scoring tasks in release 2026-q4.1 are: “Maintain timekeeping information for payroll processing” (100/100, very high); “Maintain computerised record management systems to produce accurate reports” (93/100, very high); “Organise detailed office records using computers” (93/100, very high). Each score comes from five published 0–4 ratings turned into a number by a published formula, and each carries the model's one-sentence reason on the page.
Which tasks in “Senior officers in fire, ambulance, prison and related services” stay human?
About 58% of this job's task weight sits in work that scores low for AI exposure. The lowest-scoring tasks in release 2026-q4.1 are: “Handle evidence and exhibits during court proceedings” (0/100, minimal); “Conduct effective and compliant searches of people, vehicles, and places” (0/100, minimal); “Drive vehicles to transport inmates to institutions, courtrooms, hospitals, and work sites” (0/100, minimal). Low scores usually mean the task needs a body in a room, a legally accountable human, or trust built in real time. Those are the three things the scoring rubric treats as gates rather than obstacles.
What should someone working in “Senior officers in fire, ambulance, prison and related services” do about AI?
Start from the ledger rather than the headline: 31% of this job's weighted core work is exposed, and roughly 58% is not. The practical move is to spend more of your week on the tasks that score low, the ones above, and to get fluent at directing AI through the tasks that score high, because those are the parts that change whether or not you are ready for them. This page does not predict your job, and nothing here is career advice tailored to you: the score describes the occupation, not the person.
How is the AI exposure score for Senior officers in fire, ambulance, prison and related services calculated?
Each official task statement for the occupation is rated on five published 0–4 dimensions (output replicability, physical embodiment, licensed accountability, real-time human trust, and data availability) by claude-opus-5 using scoring prompt task_scoring_v1.0. The model never writes the score; a published formula turns the five ratings into a 0–100 number, so every score can be recomputed by hand. The occupation figure is the importance-weighted mean across 153 scored tasks. The prompt, the rubric, the formula and the full dataset are published at https://futureproof.collab365.com/method and https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1 under CC BY 4.0.

Where these numbers come from

About the data on this page

  • The ONS doesn't publish a reliable pay figure for this exact job (too few people in its survey sample), so none is shown here.
  • This headcount comes from a survey, not a census, so treat it as a good estimate rather than an exact count.
  • The match between this job and its counterpart in the other country is partial, so the two pages count slightly different groups of people.
  • 61 of this occupation's scored task statements carry a score that was measured under a different occupation's context, because the statement is shared between jobs and has only been scored once so far. Each one names the occupation it was measured under in the free routes below; none is presented as a measurement for this job.
  • ASHE suppresses or does not publish a median for this unit group. We leave it empty rather than interpolating one from sibling groups, which would be a fabricated number.
  • Task clusters are not derived in this release, so the task-cluster field is empty and no Collab365 Space routing is attached to this occupation yet.
Task statements
gaisi-indexProcessing: catalogue-bridge → ssc-relatedness-weighting → task-scoring → score-aggregation
Task weights
gaisi-index (relatedness)
Scores
Rubric task_scoring_v1.0, model claude-opus-5, computed 2026-08-05.
Pay and employment
no pay figure published for this groupnomis-aps (Apr 2025-Mar 2026 (latest APS 12-month period))

Figures on this page come from release 2026-q4.1, published 2026-08-05. Every release keeps its own permanent address, so a figure you cite in March is still there, unchanged, in November.

The plain-English wording on this page is assembled directly from the task statements and the published ratings, not written by hand for this occupation. That is why it is specific, and it is also why we say so.

The routes and free resources further up are today’s, not the release’s (last reviewed 2026-08-05). A route is an offer, not a historical fact, so it moves on its own clock.

How we score a jobDownload this releaseLook up another job

Using these figures?

Cite this

Everything on this site is published under CC BY 4.0. Quote it, chart it, sell something built on it. Just say where it came from, and cite the dated release rather than the site, so the figure you quote stays checkable.

Plain text

Collab365 (2026). Collab365 Futureproof: task-level AI exposure for US and UK occupations, release 2026-q4.1 (methodVersion 2.0.0, promptVersion task_scoring_v1.0). https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1. Licensed CC BY 4.0. Built with O*NET data (USDOL/ETA, CC BY 4.0); ONS data (Open Government Licence v3.0); GAISI task framework (arXiv:2507.22748, MIT); BLS data (public domain).

BibTeX

@misc{collab365futureproof2026q41,
  title        = {Collab365 Futureproof: task-level AI exposure for US and UK occupations, release 2026-q4.1},
  author       = {{Collab365}},
  year         = {2026},
  url          = {https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1},
  note         = {Release 2026-q4.1, methodVersion 2.0.0, promptVersion task_scoring_v1.0, CC BY 4.0}
}

Data as of release 2026-q4.1, published . Releases never change after publication; when the figures move, a new dated release is published beside this one and this one stays exactly where it is.