Will AI replace Physical scientists?

Not as a job, but it is already doing parts of the work. Across the 116 official task statements scored for Physical scientists (United Kingdom, SOC 2114), 43% of the importance-weighted core work is made of tasks today's AI could already do most of. The overall exposure score is 49 out of 100 (range 44–56, band: partial). That is a statement about tasks, not about headcount: this measures what AI could do, not whether any employer adopts it, whether the law allows it, or whether doing the routine parts faster creates more demand for the human parts. Figures are from release 2026-q4.1.

Which tasks in “Physical scientists” can AI already do?

The highest-scoring tasks in release 2026-q4.1 are: “Locate and review research articles and environmental, historical, or technical reports” (93/100, very high); “Compile charts for data analysis” (93/100, very high); “Compile meteorological data including temperature, humidity, and wind details” (93/100, very high). Each score comes from five published 0–4 ratings turned into a number by a published formula, and each carries the model's one-sentence reason on the page.

Which tasks in “Physical scientists” stay human?

About 42% of this job's task weight sits in work that scores low for AI exposure. The lowest-scoring tasks in release 2026-q4.1 are: “Collect air samples from planes or ships to study atmospheric composition over land or sea” (0/100, minimal); “Lead students on field trips to enhance their learning experience” (0/100, minimal); “Carry out planned research expeditions” (0/100, minimal). Low scores usually mean the task needs a body in a room, a legally accountable human, or trust built in real time. Those are the three things the scoring rubric treats as gates rather than obstacles.

What should someone working in “Physical scientists” do about AI?

Start from the ledger rather than the headline: 43% of this job's weighted core work is exposed, and roughly 42% is not. The practical move is to spend more of your week on the tasks that score low, the ones above, and to get fluent at directing AI through the tasks that score high, because those are the parts that change whether or not you are ready for them. This page does not predict your job, and nothing here is career advice tailored to you: the score describes the occupation, not the person.

How is the AI exposure score for Physical scientists calculated?

Each official task statement for the occupation is rated on five published 0–4 dimensions (output replicability, physical embodiment, licensed accountability, real-time human trust, and data availability) by claude-opus-5 using scoring prompt task_scoring_v1.0. The model never writes the score; a published formula turns the five ratings into a 0–100 number, so every score can be recomputed by hand. The occupation figure is the importance-weighted mean across 116 scored tasks. The prompt, the rubric, the formula and the full dataset are published at https://futureproof.collab365.com/method and https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1 under CC BY 4.0.

UK dataswitch to US

Physical scientists

analysing historical climate information to help predict future weather or climate trends, providing advice on possible geoscientific solutions and assessing ground suitability for engineering projects like dams or tunnels. If that's your week, this page is about your job.

The honest answer

This job is splitting in two: analysing and interpreting geological data using computer software is work AI now does quickly and cheaply, and conducting geological field studies and data collection programmes is work it can't touch.

Your move: what you can actually do about this ↓

Where the work sits, by task weight

shifting to AI: 43%
changing shape: 15%
staying human: 42%

These bars are tasks changing hands, not people being counted out. The ledger below shows which.

Whole-job exposure score 49 out of 100 (44–56 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, across 116 scored tasks. The number is the support for the sentence above it, not a headline about anyone’s future.

How we know this

What is measured: Every published task statement for physical scientists is rated on five dimensions: can a model produce the output, does the work need a body in a room, does it need a legally accountable person, does it depend on a person being trusted in the moment, and how much data exists. A published formula turns those five ratings into the score; the model never writes the number.

How the bar is built: Each task’s share of the bar is its published importance weight, so a task you do all day counts for more than one you do twice a year.

Release: 2026-q4.1, scores computed 2026-08-04. Read the full method.

Which half fills your week decides your exposure. Moving toward the second half is a real, doable plan.

Your week, as this page understands it

Physical scientists study relationships between matter, energy and other physical phenomena, the nature, composition and structure of the Earth and other planetary bodies and forecast weather conditions and electrical, magnetic, seismic and thermal activity. The job title says “physical scientists”. The real job is the part underneath: conducting geological field studies and data collection programmes. That is the thing someone has to be right about.

The exposed part of this job is specific, and we won’t pretend it is coming back. But physical scientists is not one task. It is 116 scored ones, and they are nowhere near equally exposed. The most durable of them, on this evidence, is conducting geological field studies and data collection programmes, and the ledger below shows exactly why.

Where the work sits, by task weight

shifting to AI: 43%
changing shape: 15%
staying human: 42%

These bars are tasks changing hands, not people being counted out. The ledger below shows which.

How we know this

How the bar is built: Each task’s share of the bar is its published importance weight, so a task you do all day counts for more than one you do twice a year.

Release: 2026-q4.1, scores computed 2026-08-04. Read the full method.

Your job, task by task

These are the official task statements for this occupation, in plain English, sorted by what the evidence says is happening to each one. The official wording sits under every line so you can check the rewrite against it.

One row is marked low confidence, so treat it as a ballpark rather than a fine measurement.
25 of this occupation's scored task statements carry a score that was measured under a different occupation's context, because the statement is shared between jobs and has only been scored once so far. Each one names the occupation it was measured under in the free routes below; none is presented as a measurement for this job.
Task clusters are not derived in this release, so the task-cluster field is empty and no Collab365 Space routing is attached to this occupation yet.

Shifting to AI

49 tasks

Tasks today’s tools can already do most of. This is the part we will not soften: where these rows are the bulk of your week, the week changes.

Analysing and interpreting geological, geochemical or geophysical information from sources like survey data, well logs, boreholes or aerial photos
This is reading one thing and writing another: geological, geochemical or geophysical information in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 90 · 2114/01, 2114/02
Source: “Analyse and interpret geological, geochemical, or geophysical information from sources like survey data, well logs, boreholes, or aerial photos.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 66 out of 100 (59–73 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Survey logs and geophysical data are digital and well understood, so software interprets them strongly for expert review.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Analysing and interpreting geological data using computer software
This is reading one thing and writing another: geological data in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 85 · 2114/01, 2114/02
Source: “Analyse and interpret geological data using computer software.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (71–79 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Interpreting geological datasets with software is screen work that AI tools handle well.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Communicating geological findings by writing research papers
This is reading one thing and writing another: geological findings in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 80 · 2114/01, 2114/02
Source: “Communicate geological findings by writing research papers.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (68–82 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Writing up findings that already exist is drafting work, though the argument still needs an expert.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Analysing historical climate information to help predict future weather or climate trends
This is reading one thing and writing another: historical climate information in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 95 · 2114/04
Source: “Analyse historical climate information to help predict future weather or climate trends.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 83 out of 100 (79–87 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Climate records are public and enormous, and finding trends in them is statistical work.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 4/4.

Changing shape

19 tasks

Tasks where the machine takes the producing and a person keeps the checking, the deciding, or the answering-for-it. For most jobs this is the biggest group, and it is where "transformation, not termination" is literally visible.

Determining methods to incorporate geomethane or methane hydrates into global energy production
The software now makes the first pass at methods, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 65 · 2114/01, 2114/02
Source: “Determine methods to incorporate geomethane or methane hydrates into global energy production.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 50 out of 100 (38–62 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, low confidence.
Why it sits in this group: mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: This is speculative research into methods that are not yet established anywhere.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Interpreting climatological information for weather predictions and warnings in consultation with other offices
The software now makes the first pass at climatological information, but the part that matters is a person saying it and standing behind it. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 90 · 2114/04
Source: “Interpret climatological information for weather predictions and warnings in consultation with other offices, agencies, professionals, or researchers.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 51 out of 100 (44–58 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Model output does most of the work, but warnings get agreed in live discussion between offices.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 4/4.
Advising government agencies on water resource management and treatment issues
The software now makes the first pass at government agencies, but the part that matters is a person saying it and standing behind it. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 85 · 2114/03
Source: “Advise government agencies on water resource management and treatment issues.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 46 out of 100 (39–53 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: The technical advice is well documented, but agencies want a named adviser they can question and rely on.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

Staying human

48 tasks

Tasks that stay with a person, because they happen in the physical world, because the rules need someone accountable, or because the value is that a specific person does them.

Conducting geological field studies and data collection programmes
This work happens in the physical world: geological field studies, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 90 · 2114/01, 2114/02
Source: “Conduct geological field studies and data collection programmes.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 8 out of 100 (4–12 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Field studies mean going to the outcrop and collecting the data in person.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Conducting geological studies for regional development or site selection
This work happens in the physical world: geological studies, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 85 · 2114/01, 2114/02
Source: “Conduct geological studies for regional development or site selection.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 22 out of 100 (15–29 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Site studies mix desk research with visiting the ground to see what is actually there.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Advising on land use for construction firms or government agencies
The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for land, and that person cannot be a piece of software.
importance 75 · 2114/01, 2114/02
Source: “Advise on land use for construction firms or government agencies.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 24 out of 100 (17–31 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: someone qualified has to answer for it.
The rating behind it: Land-use advice hangs on local ground conditions and carries professional responsibility.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

Show the other 106 tasks

Locating and reviewing research articles and environmental
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: research articles in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 60 · 2114/01
Source: “Locate and review research articles and environmental, historical, or technical reports.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 93 out of 100 (89–97 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Finding and reading through research and reports is search and summary work software does very fast.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Compiling charts for data analysis
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: charts in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 50 · 2114/02
Source: “Compile charts for data analysis.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 93 out of 100 (89–97 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Turning a dataset into charts is one of the things software does fastest and most reliably.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Compiling meteorological data, temperature, humidity and wind details
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: meteorological data, temperature, humidity and wind details in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 90 · 2114/04
Source: “Compile meteorological data including temperature, humidity, and wind details.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 93 out of 100 (89–97 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Compiling temperature, humidity and wind readings is already done automatically by weather stations.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Preparing climate reports, articles or texts for dissemination
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: climate reports, articles or texts in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 80 · 2114/04
Source: “Prepare climate reports, articles, or texts for dissemination.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 93 out of 100 (89–97 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Writing climate reports and articles from existing findings is well-templated writing.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Preparing weather maps
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: weather maps in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 80 · 2114/04
Source: “Prepare weather maps for analysis, distribution, or use in broadcasts using computer graphics.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 93 out of 100 (89–97 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Weather maps are already generated automatically from model data by graphics software.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Coding weather reports for transmission over international networks
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: weather reports in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 75 · 2114/04
Source: “Code weather reports for transmission over international networks.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 93 out of 100 (89–97 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Weather reports are coded to a fixed international format, which software does automatically.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Developing training on weather topics
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: weather topics in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 70 · 2114/04
Source: “Develop training on weather topics.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 93 out of 100 (89–97 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Building training material on well-documented weather topics is standard content writing.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Preparing forecasts or briefings
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: forecasts in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 85 · 2114/04
Source: “Prepare forecasts or briefings for industry, business, government, or other groups.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 85 out of 100 (81–89 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Turning model output into a tailored forecast briefing is standard, well-documented writing.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 4/4.
Providing weather information to the news media
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: weather information in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 75 · 2114/04
Source: “Provide weather information to the news media.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 85 out of 100 (78–92 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Supplying forecast information to journalists is routine packaging of output already produced.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 4/4.
Interpreting a variety of data and analysing results
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: a variety of data in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 90 · 2114/01
Source: “Interpret a variety of data and analyse results.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 83 out of 100 (79–87 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Interpreting varied data and drawing out results is analysis with abundant documented method behind it.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 4/4.
Keeping up to date with trends in technology
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: to date in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 55 · 2114/02
Source: “Keep up to date with trends in technology.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 83 out of 100 (79–87 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Keeping up with technology trends is reading and summarising published material.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 4/4.
Applying meteorological knowledge
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: meteorological knowledge in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 85 · 2114/04
Source: “Apply meteorological knowledge to issues such as global warming, pollution control, or ozone depletion.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 83 out of 100 (76–90 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Applying published meteorology to pollution or climate questions draws on abundant open science.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 4/4.
Creating computer models to simulate the effects of climate change
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: computer models in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 85 · 2114/04
Source: “Create computer models to simulate the effects of climate change.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 83 out of 100 (76–90 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Climate simulation is computer modelling on published methods and datasets, which software is strong at.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 4/4.
Estimating or predicting the effects of global warming over time for specific geographic regions
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: the effects of global warming over time in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 85 · 2114/04
Source: “Estimate or predict the effects of global warming over time for specific geographic regions.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 83 out of 100 (76–90 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Regional warming projections come from climate models running on openly published data.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 4/4.
Interpreting meteorological data using computer models to predict long-range weather conditions
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: meteorological data in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 85 · 2114/04
Source: “Interpret meteorological data using computer models to predict long-range weather conditions.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 83 out of 100 (79–87 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Long-range forecasting is model output interpretation, which software already leads on.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 4/4.
Developing computer programmes to collect meteorological data
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: computer programmes in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 80 · 2114/04
Source: “Develop computer programmes to collect meteorological data.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 83 out of 100 (79–87 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Writing data-collection programmes is coding, though hardware quirks still need testing on real instruments.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 4/4.
Collating data and producing reports on geological findings
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: data in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 85 · 2114/01
Source: “Collate data and produce reports on geological findings.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 81 out of 100 (77–85 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Pulling data together into a written report is document work built on results that already exist.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Writing technical reports on geological surveys to present data and analysis
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: technical reports in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 85 · 2114/01
Source: “Write technical reports on geological surveys to present data and analysis.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 81 out of 100 (77–85 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Writing up survey data and analysis follows a standard report structure.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Writing client reports on geological assessments
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: client reports in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 70 · 2114/01
Source: “Write client reports on geological assessments.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 81 out of 100 (77–85 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Client reports follow a familiar structure and are written from findings already produced.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Calculating reservoir volumes to assess water supply capabilities
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: reservoir volumes in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 70 · 2114/02
Source: “Calculate reservoir volumes to assess water supply capabilities.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 81 out of 100 (77–85 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Reservoir volume is a calculation from measurements that are already recorded.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Generating computer models using specialist software to analyse geological data
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: computer models in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 85 · 2114/01
Source: “Generate computer models using specialist software to analyse geological data.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (71–79 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Building models from geological data is computational work that software already does most of.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Writing geological and curatorial papers for academic journals
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: geological in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 80 · 2114/01
Source: “Write geological and curatorial papers for academic journals.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (68–82 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Turning research into a journal paper is drafting work, though the original thinking stays with the scientist.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Reviewing, and applying findingsing from new research and developments in the field
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: new research in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 70 · 2114/01
Source: “Review and apply findings from new research and developments in the field.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (68–82 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Reading new findings and judging what applies here mixes easy summarising with expert judgement.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Reviewing technical reports and publications for accuracy
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: technical reports in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 65 · 2114/01
Source: “Review technical reports and publications for accuracy.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (71–79 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Checking reports for errors and inconsistencies is exactly the kind of reading software does quickly.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Monitoring and reporting on project progress and issues
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: project progress in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 50 · 2114/01
Source: “Monitor and report on project progress and issues.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (71–79 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Progress reporting is drawn from data already held and is straightforward to draft automatically.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Interpreting data from seismic surveys to assess geological structures
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: data in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 85 · 2114/02
Source: “Interpret data from seismic surveys to assess geological structures.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (71–79 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Seismic interpretation is computer work and is already being done with machine learning.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Designing data acquisition plans to support geological research and exploration
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: data acquisition plans in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 65 · 2114/02
Source: “Design data acquisition plans to support geological research and exploration.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (68–82 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: An acquisition plan is a structured document built from standard survey design methods.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Implementing new technologies in geological modelling and seismic processing
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: new technologies in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 65 · 2114/02
Source: “Implement new technologies in geological modelling and seismic processing.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (68–82 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Adopting new modelling and processing methods is software work with plenty of published guidance.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Improving data collection methods
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: data collection methods in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 60 · 2114/02
Source: “Improve data collection methods.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (71–79 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Improving how data is collected uses well-documented research methods and observed problems in the current process.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Documenting and sharing research findings to contribute to scientific knowledge
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: research findings in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 50 · 2114/02
Source: “Document and share research findings to contribute to scientific knowledge.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (71–79 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Writing up and circulating findings is document work software drafts to a good standard once the results exist.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Analysing water resource systems' data
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: water resource systems' data in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 80 · 2114/03
Source: “Analyse water resource systems' data.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (71–79 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Analysing water system data is screen-based analysis over records already held digitally.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Analysing how environmental changes affect water flow
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: how environmental changes affect water flow in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 75 · 2114/03
Source: “Analyse how environmental changes affect water flow.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (68–82 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Modelling how change affects water flow is computational work with well-established methods.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Applying research outcomes to identify environmental issues and adapt solutions to projects
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: research outcomes in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 65 · 2114/03
Source: “Apply research outcomes to identify environmental issues and adapt solutions to projects.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (68–82 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Reading research across into project decisions is desk analysis that software handles well from available documents.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Assessing the relationship between rainfall
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: the relationship in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 50 · 2114/03
Source: “Assess the relationship between rainfall, run-off, and soil and rock features.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (68–82 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Relating rainfall, run-off and ground type is well-established modelling with documented methods.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Collecting and analysing data from remote sensors on satellites and aeroplanes
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: data in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 85 · 2114/04
Source: “Collect and analyse data from remote sensors on satellites and aeroplanes.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (68–82 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Satellite and airborne sensor data arrives digitally, and processing it is exactly what analytical software does.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Creating visualisations of Earth's climate changes using paleoclimate or GIS databases
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: visualisations of earth's climate changes in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 75 · 2114/04
Source: “Create visualisations of Earth's climate changes using paleoclimate or GIS databases.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 75 out of 100 (68–82 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Climate visualisation is software work, though choosing what to show needs scientific judgement.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Analysing and presenting weather information to customers in the form of briefings
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: weather information in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 90 · 2114/04
Source: “Analyse and present weather information to customers in the form of briefings.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 70 out of 100 (63–77 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Briefings are produced from model output, though clients often want a forecaster to talk them through.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 4/4.
Designing geological mine maps to identify mineral deposits
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: geological mine maps in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 75 · 2114/01
Source: “Design geological mine maps to identify mineral deposits.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 66 out of 100 (62–70 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Mine mapping is done in modelling software from data that has already been collected.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Using geological maps and aerial photographs to advise on site selection
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: geological maps in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 75 · 2114/01
Source: “Use geological maps and aerial photographs to advise on site selection.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 66 out of 100 (59–73 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Maps and aerial imagery are digital and abundant, so software reads them well to support site advice.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Reviewing work plans to determine the effectiveness of activities for mitigating soil or groundwater contamination
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: work plans in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 60 · 2114/01
Source: “Review work plans to determine the effectiveness of activities for mitigating soil or groundwater contamination.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 66 out of 100 (59–73 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Reviewing a remediation plan against expected results is document analysis.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Carrying out detailed geological risk analysis of proposed exploration targets
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: detailed geological risk analysis of proposed exploration targets in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 65 · 2114/02
Source: “Carry out detailed geological risk analysis of proposed exploration targets.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 66 out of 100 (59–73 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Exploration risk analysis is quantitative work over datasets the company already holds.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Analysing collected information to assess the impact of landfills on groundwater quality
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: collected information in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 90 · 2114/03
Source: “Analyse collected information to assess the impact of landfills on groundwater quality.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 66 out of 100 (62–70 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Assessing landfill effects on groundwater is statistical analysis of monitoring data.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Assessing the impact of weather conditions on water catchments and supplies
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: the impact of weather conditions in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 55 · 2114/03
Source: “Assess the impact of weather conditions on water catchments and supplies.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 66 out of 100 (59–73 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Linking weather to catchment supply is modelling work over data that is already recorded.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Evaluating the effects of industrial pollution on local air quality and climate change
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: the effects of industrial pollution in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 75 · 2114/04
Source: “Evaluate the effects of industrial pollution on local air quality and climate change.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 66 out of 100 (59–73 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Assessing pollution effects on air quality is statistical analysis of monitoring data.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Answering technical queries in writing and over the telephone
shifting to AI
This is reading one thing and writing another: technical queries in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.
importance 70 · 2114/03
Source: “Answer technical queries in writing and over the telephone.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 64 out of 100 (57–71 allowing for uncertainty): high exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Most technical queries have documented answers, though some callers want to speak to a person.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Analysing specific geomechanical processes for their application in carbon sequestration
changing shape
The software now makes the first pass at specific geomechanical processes, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 75 · 2114/01
Source: “Analyse specific geomechanical processes for their application in carbon sequestration.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 58 out of 100 (51–65 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: This is modelling and literature work, though it sits at the edge of what is well documented.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Developing strategies for more environmentally friendly resource extraction and reclamation
changing shape
The software now makes the first pass at strategies, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 60 · 2114/01
Source: “Develop strategies for more environmentally friendly resource extraction and reclamation.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 58 out of 100 (51–65 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Extraction and reclamation strategies draw on published practice, though site-specific judgment shapes the answer.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Developing new techniques and methods in data acquisition and mathematical processing
changing shape
The software now makes the first pass at new techniques, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 55 · 2114/02
Source: “Develop new techniques and methods in data acquisition and mathematical processing.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 58 out of 100 (51–65 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Inventing new processing methods is research where the answer does not yet exist.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Developing new methods for remote sensing applications
changing shape
The software now makes the first pass at new methods, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 75 · 2114/04
Source: “Develop new methods for remote sensing applications.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 58 out of 100 (51–65 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: New methods can be prototyped quickly, but proving they work takes real experiments and expert judgement.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Advising on construction materials, sand and gravel
changing shape
The software now makes the first pass at construction materials, sand and gravel, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 70 · 2114/01
Source: “Advise on construction materials such as sand and gravel.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 56 out of 100 (49–63 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Advice on aggregate suitability draws on well-published standards and existing survey data.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Mapping specific geochemical areas for research and analysis
changing shape
The software now makes the first pass at specific geochemical areas, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 70 · 2114/01
Source: “Map specific geochemical areas for research and analysis.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 56 out of 100 (49–63 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Geochemical mapping is mostly software work over data that has already been gathered.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Assessing the environmental impact of groundwater abstraction and management activities
changing shape
The software now makes the first pass at the environmental impact of groundwater abstraction, but someone has to be answerable for the result, and it cannot be the software. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 60 · 2114/03
Source: “Assess the environmental impact of groundwater abstraction and management activities.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 56 out of 100 (49–63 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; someone qualified has to answer for it.
The rating behind it: Impact assessment is analysis and writing, but the assessment carries professional accountability.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Liaising with colleagues and clients from around the country and worldwide
changing shape
The software now makes the first pass at colleagues, but the part that matters is a person saying it and standing behind it. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 70 · 2114/04
Source: “Liaise with colleagues and clients from around the country and worldwide.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 53 out of 100 (46–60 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Written contact is easy to support, but working relationships with colleagues and clients are built by people.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Assisting in designing built structures using specialised computer software and calculations
changing shape
The software now makes the first pass at designing built structures, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 50 · 2114/01
Source: “Assist in designing built structures using specialised computer software and calculations.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 50 out of 100 (43–57 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Design software does much of the calculation, with the qualified engineer taking responsibility for the final design elsewhere.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Developing geological models to understand subsurface structures
changing shape
The software now makes the first pass at geological models, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 80 · 2114/02
Source: “Develop geological models to understand subsurface structures, rock characteristics, and resource distribution.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 50 out of 100 (43–57 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Modelling software already does much of the work, but interpreting sparse subsurface data still needs an experienced geologist.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Identifying and developing new methods to access remaining reserves
changing shape
The software now makes the first pass at new methods, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 75 · 2114/02
Source: “Identify and develop new methods to access remaining reserves.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 50 out of 100 (43–57 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Finding new ways into hard-to-reach reserves is genuinely new problem-solving.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Conducting wind assessment studies
changing shape
The software now makes the first pass at wind assessment studies, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 80 · 2114/04
Source: “Conduct wind assessment studies.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 49 out of 100 (42–56 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Wind studies are mostly modelling, though masts and site measurements are still needed.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Collaborating in multidisciplinary teams to develop well proposals
changing shape
The software now makes the first pass at multidisciplinary teams, but the part that matters is a person saying it and standing behind it. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 55 · 2114/02
Source: “Collaborate in multidisciplinary teams to develop well proposals.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 46 out of 100 (39–53 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Well proposals are documents, but they get agreed through discussion across a specialist team.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Analysing information from inspections or visits
changing shape
The software now makes the first pass at information, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 55 · 2114/01
Source: “Analyse information from inspections or visits to buildings, land and construction sites.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 44 out of 100 (37–51 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Once notes and photographs exist, drawing conclusions from them is written analysis software handles well.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Discussing weather topics and answering related questions with the public
changing shape
The software now makes the first pass at weather topics, but the part that matters is a person saying it and standing behind it. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 80 · 2114/04
Source: “Discuss weather topics and answer related questions with the public.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 43 out of 100 (36–50 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: The weather facts are easy, but public engagement works better with a person answering.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 4/4.
Interpreting drilling results and testing data to provide actionable insights for drilling personnel
changing shape
The software now makes the first pass at results, but the deciding part still needs a person. So the job becomes checking and deciding rather than producing.
importance 70 · 2114/02
Source: “Interpret drilling results and testing data to provide actionable insights for drilling personnel.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 42 out of 100 (35–49 allowing for uncertainty): partial exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Drilling data is structured and well understood, so software interprets it quickly for the crew to act on.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Identifying risks for natural disasters
staying human
The ratings behind this row put risks well outside what today's tools can do on their own.
importance 85 · 2114/01
Source: “Identify risks for natural disasters, such as landslips, earthquakes, or volcanic eruptions.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 38 out of 100 (31–45 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Hazard methods are documented, but judging a specific slope or fault line still needs local knowledge and site visits.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Identifying possible sites for carbon sequestration projects
staying human
The ratings behind this row put possible sites well outside what today's tools can do on their own.
importance 75 · 2114/01
Source: “Identify possible sites for carbon sequestration projects.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 38 out of 100 (31–45 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Candidate storage sites can be screened from existing geological data before drilling confirms them.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Determining ways to mitigate the negative consequences of mineral dust dispersion
staying human
The ratings behind this row put ways well outside what today's tools can do on their own.
importance 70 · 2114/01
Source: “Determine ways to mitigate the negative consequences of mineral dust dispersion.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 38 out of 100 (31–45 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Dust mitigation methods are documented, but choosing what works needs knowledge of the specific operation.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Identifying new sources of platinum group elements for industrial applications
staying human
The ratings behind this row put new sources of platinum group elements well outside what today's tools can do on their own.
importance 70 · 2114/01
Source: “Identify new sources of platinum group elements for industrial applications, such as automotive fuel cells or pollution control systems.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 38 out of 100 (31–45 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Finding genuinely new mineral sources means exploring ground nobody has fully characterised.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Developing methods to capture or utilising waste gases from oil production
staying human
The ratings behind this row put methods well outside what today's tools can do on their own.
importance 55 · 2114/01
Source: “Develop methods to capture or utilise waste gases from oil production.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 38 out of 100 (31–45 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Developing new gas capture methods is engineering research on problems not yet solved.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Collecting and recording data associated with operating geothermal power plants or well fields
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: data, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 50 · 2114/01
Source: “Collect and record data associated with operating geothermal power plants or well fields.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 38 out of 100 (31–45 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Much plant data is logged automatically, but some readings still need someone at the well field.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Assessing the contents, value and potential profitability of mineral, oil and gas deposits
staying human
The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for the contents, value and potential profitability of mineral, and that person cannot be a piece of software.
importance 85 · 2114/02
Source: “Assess the contents, value, and potential profitability of mineral, oil, and gas deposits.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 38 out of 100 (31–45 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: someone qualified has to answer for it.
The rating behind it: Reserve estimates must be signed off by a named competent person, and the decisive data is private to the project.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Designing new equipment for weather data collection
staying human
The ratings behind this row put new equipment well outside what today's tools can do on their own.
importance 70 · 2114/04
Source: “Design new equipment for weather data collection.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 38 out of 100 (31–45 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Designing new instruments needs hands-on knowledge of how the hardware behaves in the field.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Consulting with engineers and management on geological considerations for exploration projects
staying human
The value here is that a specific person handles engineers and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.
importance 70 · 2114/02
Source: “Consult with engineers and management on geological considerations for exploration projects.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 35 out of 100 (28–42 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Advising engineers and managers on geology is delivered through conversation and shared judgement.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Identifying deposits of construction materials suitable for use as concrete aggregates
staying human
The ratings behind this row put deposits of construction materials suitable well outside what today's tools can do on their own.
importance 80 · 2114/01
Source: “Identify deposits of construction materials suitable for use as concrete aggregates, road fill, or other applications.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 33 out of 100 (26–40 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: mistakes that are cheap to catch.
The rating behind it: Screening survey data for usable aggregate is desk analysis, though confirming it needs a site visit.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Providing advice on possible geoscientific solutions
staying human
The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for advice, and that person cannot be a piece of software.
importance 80 · 2114/01
Source: “Provide advice on possible geoscientific solutions.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 32 out of 100 (25–39 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: someone qualified has to answer for it.
The rating behind it: Useful advice depends on details of the particular site that are rarely written down anywhere.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Studying historical climate change indicators found in locations
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: historical climate change indicators found, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 85 · 2114/01
Source: “Study historical climate change indicators found in locations, such as ice sheets or rock formations to develop climate change models.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 29 out of 100 (22–36 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Building climate models is computational, but the ice and rock records behind them are collected in the field.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Performing carbon and isotope data checks on samples
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: carbon, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 75 · 2114/01
Source: “Perform carbon and isotope data checks on samples.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 29 out of 100 (22–36 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Isotope checks involve running samples on instruments as well as reviewing the numbers.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Teaching university-level courses on topics
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: university-level courses, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 70 · 2114/04
Source: “Teach university-level courses on topics such as atmospheric and space science, meteorology, or global climate change.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 29 out of 100 (22–36 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Course material is easy to produce, but university teaching happens with students in a room.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 4/4.
Assessing water movement to advise on restoring contaminated sites
staying human
The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for water movement, and that person cannot be a piece of software.
importance 70 · 2114/01, 2114/02
Source: “Assess water movement to advise on restoring contaminated sites.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 28 out of 100 (21–35 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: someone qualified has to answer for it.
The rating behind it: Groundwater behaviour at a contaminated site depends on local detail that has to be measured.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Assessing ground suitability for engineering projects like dams or tunnels
staying human
The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for ground suitability, and that person cannot be a piece of software.
importance 80 · 2114/02
Source: “Assess ground suitability for engineering projects like dams or tunnels.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 28 out of 100 (21–35 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: someone qualified has to answer for it.
The rating behind it: Ground suitability depends on site-specific data, and a qualified person must be answerable for advice a dam or tunnel rests on.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Evaluating and recommending sites for landfill or nuclear waste storage based on environmental and safety criteria
staying human
The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for sites, and that person cannot be a piece of software.
importance 70 · 2114/02
Source: “Evaluate and recommend sites for landfill or nuclear waste storage based on environmental and safety criteria.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 28 out of 100 (21–35 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: someone qualified has to answer for it.
The rating behind it: Waste-storage siting is tightly regulated and turns on very local ground conditions.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Delivering lectures on specialised topics in geochemistry to university students
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: lectures, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 50 · 2114/01
Source: “Deliver lectures on specialised topics in geochemistry to university students.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 26 out of 100 (19–33 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Lecture material is easy to prepare, but students expect a person teaching in the room.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Exploring oil and gas reserves
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: oil, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 90 · 2114/02
Source: “Explore oil and gas reserves.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 25 out of 100 (18–32 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Exploration combines desk study with fieldwork on ground that is not yet well described.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Advising on problems, subsidence
staying human
The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for problems, subsidence, and that person cannot be a piece of software.
importance 80 · 2114/01
Source: “Advise on problems such as subsidence.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 24 out of 100 (17–31 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: someone qualified has to answer for it.
The rating behind it: Subsidence advice turns on the specific ground under one building, which usually needs a look.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Conducting long-range research in specific theoretical and applied domains
staying human
The ratings behind this row put long-range research well outside what today's tools can do on their own.
importance 70 · 2114/01
Source: “Conduct long-range research in specific theoretical and applied domains.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 24 out of 100 (17–31 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the five ratings behind the score, with no single dominant reason.
The rating behind it: Original long-range research is work where the answer is not yet known by anyone.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Collaborating with multidisciplinary professionals to assess a well's commercial viability and monitor drilling progress
staying human
The value here is that a specific person handles multidisciplinary professionals and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.
importance 65 · 2114/01
Source: “Collaborate with multidisciplinary professionals to assess a well's commercial viability and monitor drilling progress.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 23 out of 100 (16–30 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Viability calls are made jointly by specialists sharing judgement, using data that is private to the well.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Broadcasting weather conditions, forecasts or severe weather warnings to the public via television, radio or the Internet
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: weather conditions, forecasts or severe weather warnings, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 80 · 2114/04
Source: “Broadcast weather conditions, forecasts, or severe weather warnings to the public via television, radio, or the Internet.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 23 out of 100 (16–30 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Online warnings are automated, but television and radio need a presenter viewers recognise.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 4/4.
Designing and carrying out specific scientific experiments to test hypotheses
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: specific scientific experiments, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 75 · 2114/02
Source: “Design and carry out specific scientific experiments to test hypotheses.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 20 out of 100 (13–27 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Experiments can be designed on paper, but carrying them out involves handling animals and equipment.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Advising on the condition and potential of sites or buildings
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: the condition, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 60 · 2114/01
Source: “Advise on the condition and potential of sites or buildings.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 16 out of 100 (9–23 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.
The rating behind it: Judging a site or building's condition normally means going there and looking at it.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Measuring air pressure, temperature and humidity at specified atmospheric levels to monitor climate conditions
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: air pressure, temperature and humidity, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 85 · 2114/04
Source: “Measure air pressure, temperature, and humidity at specified atmospheric levels to monitor climate conditions.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 16 out of 100 (9–23 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Taking readings high in the atmosphere means launching or flying instruments, which is physical work.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 4/4.
Advising on safe siting for new nuclear reactor projects
staying human
The rules require a named, qualified person to answer for safe, and that person cannot be a piece of software.
importance 65 · 2114/01, 2114/02
Source: “Advise on safe siting for new nuclear reactor projects.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 13 out of 100 (6–20 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: someone qualified has to answer for it.
The rating behind it: Nuclear siting advice sits under strict regulation and needs a named, accountable expert.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 3/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Overseeing a team comprising engineering geologists
staying human
The value here is that a specific person handles a team comprising engineering geologists and stands behind it. That is earned, not computed.
importance 55 · 2114/01
Source: “Oversee a team comprising engineering geologists, geotechnical engineers, consultants, and contractors.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 12 out of 100 (5–19 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Leading a mixed team of specialists and contractors depends on relationships and judgement about people.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 3/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Conducting site visits to assess and evaluate proposed construction locations
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: site visits, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 60 · 2114/01
Source: “Conduct site visits to assess and evaluate proposed construction locations.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 10 out of 100 (6–14 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Judging a proposed site means standing on it and seeing access, ground and surroundings for yourself.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Conducting gas chromatography tests to analyse sample data
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: gas chromatography tests, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 55 · 2114/01
Source: “Conduct gas chromatography tests to analyse sample data.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 10 out of 100 (6–14 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Gas chromatography means physically preparing and running samples on the machine.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Adhering to health and safety requirements in the workplace
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: health, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 80 · 2114/03
Source: “Adhere to health and safety requirements in the workplace.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 10 out of 100 (3–17 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Working safely is about how a person behaves in the building, not something software can do on their behalf.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Analysing samples to determine natural and contaminant composition
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: samples, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 80 · 2114/01
Source: “Analyse samples to determine natural and contaminant composition.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 9 out of 100 (5–13 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Analysing samples means physically preparing and running them through laboratory instruments.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Monitoring mine structural integrity
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: mine structural integrity, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 65 · 2114/01
Source: “Monitor mine structural integrity.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 9 out of 100 (2–16 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.
The rating behind it: Checking a mine's structure means being underground looking at and measuring the ground.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Analysing water samples for chemicals and pollutants
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: water samples, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 85 · 2114/03
Source: “Analyse water samples for chemicals and pollutants.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 9 out of 100 (2–16 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Water testing is bench work with instruments on real samples.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Attending conferences, seminars and training sessions to stay informed about field developments
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: conferences, seminars and training sessions, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 60 · 2114/01
Source: “Attend conferences, seminars, and training sessions to stay informed about field developments.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 8 out of 100 (1–15 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Attending conferences and training is about being there and meeting people in the field.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 3/4.
Evaluating and interpreting core samples and cuttings
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: core samples, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 85 · 2114/02
Source: “Evaluate and interpret core samples and cuttings, and other geological data used in prospecting for oil or gas.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 8 out of 100 (1–15 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Reading core samples and cuttings depends on examining the actual rock in front of you.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Overseeing site and ground investigations
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: site, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 60 · 2114/01
Source: “Oversee site and ground investigations.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 5 out of 100 (0–12 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.
The rating behind it: Ground investigations happen in the field, and the resulting report needs a qualified person answerable for it.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Overseeing staff activities across different sections of a mine
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: staff activities across different sections of a mine, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 50 · 2114/01
Source: “Oversee staff activities across different sections of a mine.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 4 out of 100 (0–11 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Overseeing mine sections means being underground with the workforce, under rules requiring appointed responsible people.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Collecting site samples during field visits
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: site samples during field visits, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 75 · 2114/01
Source: “Collect site samples during field visits.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Collecting samples means physically being at the site with the tools.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Working with specialist equipment in research
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: specialist equipment, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 65 · 2114/01
Source: “Work with specialist equipment in research, such as mass spectrometers and microscopes.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Running a mass spectrometer or microscope means hands on the instrument.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Testing samples for viscosity and conducting solvent extraction
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: samples, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 55 · 2114/01
Source: “Test samples for viscosity and conduct solvent extraction.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Viscosity testing and solvent extraction are hands-on laboratory procedures.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Testing construction materials like bricks and clay for quality assurance
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: construction materials like bricks, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 50 · 2114/01
Source: “Test construction materials like bricks and clay for quality assurance.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Testing bricks and clay means physically loading samples into testing machines.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Carrying out planned research expeditions
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: planned research expeditions, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 60 · 2114/02
Source: “Carry out planned research expeditions.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: An expedition means physically travelling to and working at the site.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.
Leading students on field trips to enhance their learning experience
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: students, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 50 · 2114/02
Source: “Lead students on field trips to enhance their learning experience.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.
The rating behind it: Taking pupils out on a trip means going with them.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 1/4.
Collecting air samples from planes or ships to study atmospheric composition over land or sea
staying human
This work happens in the physical world: air samples, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.
importance 70 · 2114/04
Source: “Collect air samples from planes or ships to study atmospheric composition over land or sea.” (UK task statement)
How this row was scored
Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.
Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.
The rating behind it: Collecting air samples from a plane or ship means being aboard with the equipment.
The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

What this job pays, and how many people do it

Median pay: £55,500a year, before tax, the middle of the range, so half earn more and half earn less.ashe-t14, 2025 · ASHE 2025 provisional (reference April 2025)Provisional, because the ONS revises this figure in the autumn.
How we know this
Source: ashe-t14
Reference period: ASHE 2025 provisional (reference April 2025)
Rounding: Shown to the nearest £100. The exact published figure is in the downloadable dataset. We do not render pounds the survey cannot support.
People doing this job: 31,600in the UK, 2026.nomis-aps · Apr 2025-Mar 2026 (latest APS 12-month period)This headcount comes from a survey, not a census, so treat it as a good estimate rather than an exact count.

What is deliberately not here: a forecast of how many of these jobs exist in ten years. Where an official projection exists for a market we publish it with its vintage; where it does not, we leave the space empty rather than borrow the other country’s number.

Why this is shifting

The reason is boringly specific. Most of what is shifting here is reading one thing and writing another: geological data in, a record out. The rows above are exactly that shape: analysing and interpreting geological data using computer software and analysing and interpreting geological. What it cannot do is be there in the room, and that is still where geological field studies get done. Which is why this page talks about your tasks changing, not your job ending.

Your move

Over a pint: what I’d tell you if you were my friend

Your week is splitting in two, and which half fills it is the whole question. Analysing and interpreting geological data using computer software is going; conducting geological field studies and data collection programmes is not.

So, given all that: 43% of this job's task weight sits in rows the software is already learning, 15% in rows that change shape rather than disappear, and 42% in rows it is nowhere near. That is the position, measured across 116 scored tasks. It is not a forecast about you.

The occupation is an average and you are not, so the first job below is finding out where your own week actually sits.

This week: one thing

Print the task ledger above and put your own hours next to each row. Roughly, in pen, in one sitting. Then look at which group your hours actually pile up in. Twenty minutes, this week.

What you end up holding: your own week, on one page, sorted into what is shifting and what is not
How long it takes: about twenty minutes

If printing it isn’t practical: Read the rows off this page and write the same list on the back of an envelope. Same twenty minutes, same page, and it works just as well said out loud to someone who knows the job. The point is your hours next to the rows, not the paper it is on.

Over the next 90 days

Volunteer toward the durable end, visibly. Over the next ninety days put your hand up for the work in the bottom group (conducting geological field studies and data collection programmes) and let people see you doing it. Not a new project: the same job, with your mix deliberately tilted. The point is that when the rota or the reorganisation comes, the version of you people picture is the one doing the part that stays.

Over the next 12 months

Claim a specialism at the durable end and let the other end go. Over a year, deliberately become the person who handles conducting geological field studies and data collection programmes, and deliberately stop being the first choice for the rows in the top group. That trade costs something, because the exposed work is often the comfortable work. Decide it on purpose rather than by drift. Before you pay for anything, spend an hour with National Careers Service. It is free and government-funded, and it is listed below with the rest of the free routes.

The roads out of here, and why I am not sending you down them

I looked at the obvious moves out of this job, and here is what I found.

I checked the 12 nearest UK occupations to physical scientists (nearest by the work that AI is not taking, not by job title), and none of them survived. The closest was civil engineers: only about 3% of its durable work is work you already do. Your own job splits about 43/57: that share of the list sits in the top exposure band and the rest does not. On this evidence the honest move is inside the job rather than out of it. Become the person who owns “conduct geological field studies and data collection programmes”, and let the exposed end go.

How that was checked: this job was compared against all 412 UK occupations in this release on their official task statements, and the 12 nearest were examined one by one. A move that turns on an industry, an employer or a qualification rather than on the work itself will not show up in a check like that. And this release carries no licence register, so anything you are weighing needs that looked up separately.

3 moves I checked and rejected

These are the obvious-looking jumps. They are here with their reasons rather than quietly dropped, because the ones that fail are worth knowing about. It is one less thing to turn over at night.

Civil engineers
Why it looked obvious: It came up as a near neighbour because one of your tasks is on their list in the same words: “assess ground suitability for engineering projects like dams or tunnels”. Across the whole of both lists that adds up to about 3% of the work in that job the software is not taking.
Why I am not recommending it: Almost none of it is work you already do: about 3% of the durable side of that job. That is a different job, not a next step.
Look at that job’s page anyway →
CAD, drawing and architectural technicians
Why it looked obvious: It came up as a near neighbour on the work AI is not taking: you already collect site samples during field visits, and their equivalent is to conduct site visits and surveys when required. Across both published task lists that is about 2% of the durable work in that job.
Why I am not recommending it: Almost none of it is work you already do: about 2% of the durable side of that job. That is a different job, not a next step. It is a pay cut, in those words: £35,221 against your £55,518, 36.6% less (ASHE Table 14.7a, 2025 provisional (both)). Retraining to earn less is a decision, not advice.
Look at that job’s page anyway →
Building and civil engineering technicians
Why it looked obvious: It came up as a near neighbour on the work AI is not taking: you already collect site samples during field visits, and their equivalent is to conduct field surveys to analyse project site details. Across both published task lists that is about 2% of the durable work in that job.
Why I am not recommending it: Almost none of it is work you already do: about 2% of the durable side of that job. That is a different job, not a next step. It is a pay cut, in those words: £37,229 against your £55,518, 32.9% less (ASHE Table 14.7a, 2025 provisional (both)). Retraining to earn less is a decision, not advice.
Look at that job’s page anyway →

What I’d stop worrying about

A friend tells you what not to spend fear on. This is that list.

The headline number you read somewhere
The big “X% of jobs” figures are about the whole economy, not about you. The number that describes your job is on this page: 43% of its task weight, across 116 scored tasks. Every row behind it is printed above with the source. Check ours; ignore theirs.
The whole-job doom story
Nothing on this page says this job ends. It says the mix inside it moves. Half the rows above are unchanged or changing shape, and the plan is about which half your week sits in. That is a very different problem, and a solvable one.
Panic-buying a course
Do the twenty-minute sorting exercise first. Most people who buy a course before they have done it buy the wrong one, and the free services listed below will tell you the same thing without charging for it.
The “obvious” next job everyone suggests
I checked the obvious moves and most of them did not survive. The reasons are printed with the routes above, including the pay and the gate. A move that fails on the numbers is worth knowing about so you can stop turning it over at night.

You are reading the United Kingdom figures

The United States splits this work across more than one official group, of which Astronomers is the closest. The pay and employment figures are not directly comparable, and we do not average them together.

Switch to the United States page →partial match

The other groups this work is counted across:

In US official statistics this job is counted as Astronomers, Physicists, Atmospheric and Space Scientists, Geoscientists, Except Hydrologists and Geographers, Hydrologists and Geological Technicians, Except Hydrologic Technicians. Pay is shown separately for each of those groups (medians cannot be averaged together), while the task list and the scores on this page are for this group only.

Your route through this

Where to go next, and what it costs

Free, and complete

The moves above cost nothing. These are the real services that go with them: public, government-funded, and free at the point of use. Nothing on this page is behind an email address or a payment.

In England:
National Careers Service
A free hour with a government-funded careers adviser is worth more than another evening of reading. In England that's the National Careers Service.
Free, government-funded
- Discover your skills and careers (the skills assessment)
In England:
National Careers Service - Find a course
Search what's actually running near you before you spend anything.
Free to search; individual courses vary
In England:
Free courses for jobs (Level 3 qualifications)
A free Level 3 qualification you already qualify for beats a paid course you don't need.
Free for eligible adults
In England:
Skills Bootcamps
Free, up to 16 weeks, and you get a job interview at the end. In England these are Skills Bootcamps - search what's running near you.
Free for eligible adults in England
- Skills Bootcamps - what they are and who can do them (DfE, Skills for Careers)
- Skills Bootcamps - JobHelp (DWP)
In Scotland:
My World of Work (Skills Development Scotland)
In Scotland it's My World of Work, from Skills Development Scotland.
Free, publicly funded
- Skills Development Scotland
In Wales:
Careers Wales
In Wales it's Careers Wales.
Free, Welsh Government-funded
In Northern Ireland:
Careers Service Northern Ireland
In Northern Ireland it's the Careers Service on nidirect.
Free, Department for the Economy-funded

No Space for this job, but one for what is happening to it

Nothing Collab365 runs is built for physical scientists, and we are not going to point you at the nearest one and call it a fit.

There is one that is not about a job title at all. The AI Authority is about being the person who directs these tools at work rather than the person they get compared to. That is worth saying here, because 43% of the work on this page is already inside what they can do.

Try The AI Authority free →

7 days free, no card needed. Explore up to 2 Spaces before you choose a plan: you pick a plan later, not now.

The AI Authority is a general community about working with AI, not a course for physical scientists. You do not need it to act on anything here: the moves above cost nothing and stand on their own. The data on this page is the same either way.

Noted, and thank you. We’ll email you if a Space for physical scientists launches. Nothing else.

That did not look like an email address, so nothing was saved. Have another go below.

We could not save that. The fault is ours, not yours, and your address was not stored. Please try again later.

No Space for physical scientists yet. Should there be one?

Collab365 Spaces is built by the same people as this site. We find the problems that AI and automation are creating inside one kind of work, then solve them as short courses, briefings and Blueprints. Each Space is the community too, so the research and the people doing your job are in the same place.

What a Space actually is, in full

Collab365 launches new communities where the need is real. If one for physical scientists existed, with researched problems, courses and people in the same boat, would you want in?

Your email

We use your email address for one thing: to tell you if a Space for physical scientists launches. We never sell it, never use it for unrelated marketing, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe. Our privacy policy has the full version.

This unlocks nothing. Every figure, every row and every step on this page is already yours, whether you fill this in or not.

No deadline on any of this. The page will still be here, and the data is refreshed on a published schedule rather than when someone wants a headline.

Questions people ask about this job

Will AI replace Physical scientists?: Not as a job, but it is already doing parts of the work. Across the 116 official task statements scored for Physical scientists (United Kingdom, SOC 2114), 43% of the importance-weighted core work is made of tasks today's AI could already do most of. The overall exposure score is 49 out of 100 (range 44–56, band: partial). That is a statement about tasks, not about headcount: this measures what AI could do, not whether any employer adopts it, whether the law allows it, or whether doing the routine parts faster creates more demand for the human parts. Figures are from release 2026-q4.1.
Which tasks in “Physical scientists” can AI already do?: The highest-scoring tasks in release 2026-q4.1 are: “Locate and review research articles and environmental, historical, or technical reports” (93/100, very high); “Compile charts for data analysis” (93/100, very high); “Compile meteorological data including temperature, humidity, and wind details” (93/100, very high). Each score comes from five published 0–4 ratings turned into a number by a published formula, and each carries the model's one-sentence reason on the page.
Which tasks in “Physical scientists” stay human?: About 42% of this job's task weight sits in work that scores low for AI exposure. The lowest-scoring tasks in release 2026-q4.1 are: “Collect air samples from planes or ships to study atmospheric composition over land or sea” (0/100, minimal); “Lead students on field trips to enhance their learning experience” (0/100, minimal); “Carry out planned research expeditions” (0/100, minimal). Low scores usually mean the task needs a body in a room, a legally accountable human, or trust built in real time. Those are the three things the scoring rubric treats as gates rather than obstacles.
What should someone working in “Physical scientists” do about AI?: Start from the ledger rather than the headline: 43% of this job's weighted core work is exposed, and roughly 42% is not. The practical move is to spend more of your week on the tasks that score low, the ones above, and to get fluent at directing AI through the tasks that score high, because those are the parts that change whether or not you are ready for them. This page does not predict your job, and nothing here is career advice tailored to you: the score describes the occupation, not the person.
How is the AI exposure score for Physical scientists calculated?: Each official task statement for the occupation is rated on five published 0–4 dimensions (output replicability, physical embodiment, licensed accountability, real-time human trust, and data availability) by claude-opus-5 using scoring prompt task_scoring_v1.0. The model never writes the score; a published formula turns the five ratings into a 0–100 number, so every score can be recomputed by hand. The occupation figure is the importance-weighted mean across 116 scored tasks. The prompt, the rubric, the formula and the full dataset are published at https://futureproof.collab365.com/method and https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1 under CC BY 4.0.

Where these numbers come from

About the data on this page

Provisional, because the ONS revises this figure in the autumn.
This headcount comes from a survey, not a census, so treat it as a good estimate rather than an exact count.
One row is marked low confidence, so treat it as a ballpark rather than a fine measurement.
The match between this job and its counterpart in the other country is partial, so the two pages count slightly different groups of people.
25 of this occupation's scored task statements carry a score that was measured under a different occupation's context, because the statement is shared between jobs and has only been scored once so far. Each one names the occupation it was measured under in the free routes below; none is presented as a measurement for this job.
Task clusters are not derived in this release, so the task-cluster field is empty and no Collab365 Space routing is attached to this occupation yet.

Task statements: gaisi-indexProcessing: catalogue-bridge → ssc-relatedness-weighting → task-scoring → score-aggregation
Task weights: gaisi-index (relatedness)
Scores: Rubric task_scoring_v1.0, model claude-opus-5, computed 2026-08-05.
Pay and employment: ashe-t14 (ASHE 2025 provisional (reference April 2025))nomis-aps (Apr 2025-Mar 2026 (latest APS 12-month period))

Figures on this page come from release 2026-q4.1, published 2026-08-05. Every release keeps its own permanent address, so a figure you cite in March is still there, unchanged, in November.

The plain-English wording on this page is assembled directly from the task statements and the published ratings, not written by hand for this occupation. That is why it is specific, and it is also why we say so.

The routes and free resources further up are today’s, not the release’s (last reviewed 2026-08-05). A route is an offer, not a historical fact, so it moves on its own clock.

How we score a job Download this release Look up another job

Using these figures?

Cite this

Everything on this site is published under CC BY 4.0. Quote it, chart it, sell something built on it. Just say where it came from, and cite the dated release rather than the site, so the figure you quote stays checkable.

Plain text

Collab365 (2026). Collab365 Futureproof: task-level AI exposure for US and UK occupations, release 2026-q4.1 (methodVersion 2.0.0, promptVersion task_scoring_v1.0). https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1. Licensed CC BY 4.0. Built with O*NET data (USDOL/ETA, CC BY 4.0); ONS data (Open Government Licence v3.0); GAISI task framework (arXiv:2507.22748, MIT); BLS data (public domain).

BibTeX

@misc{collab365futureproof2026q41,
  title        = {Collab365 Futureproof: task-level AI exposure for US and UK occupations, release 2026-q4.1},
  author       = {{Collab365}},
  year         = {2026},
  url          = {https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1},
  note         = {Release 2026-q4.1, methodVersion 2.0.0, promptVersion task_scoring_v1.0, CC BY 4.0}
}

Permalink

https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1

Data as of release 2026-q4.1, published 2026-08-05. Releases never change after publication; when the figures move, a new dated release is published beside this one and this one stays exactly where it is.