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Road transport drivers n.e.c.

driving a fixed axle vehicle over 3.5 tonnes in weight, planning and optimising transit routes to comply with times specified by customers for delivery and collection and managing changing volumes of load held in the vehicle during the daily urban delivery cycle. If that's your week, this page is about your job.

The honest answer

AI changes the edges of this job, not the middle: driving a fixed axle vehicle over 3.5 tonnes in weight is work software can't reach.

Your move: what a road transport drivers n.e.c. can actually do about this ↓

What shifts is planning and optimising transit routes to comply with times specified by customers for delivery and collection. This page scores what today's tools actually do, not headlines.

Your week, as this page understands it

Job holders in this unit group drive other transport vehicles in roles not classified elsewhere in minor group 821: Road transport drivers. The job title says “road transport drivers n.e.c.”. The real job is the part underneath: driving a fixed axle vehicle over 3.5 tonnes in weight. That is the thing someone has to be right about.

The exposed part of this job is specific, and we won’t pretend it is coming back. But road transport drivers n.e.c. is not one task. It is 15 scored ones, and they are nowhere near equally exposed. The most durable of them, on this evidence, is driving a fixed axle vehicle over 3.5 tonnes in weight, and the ledger below shows exactly why.

Where the work sits, by task weight

shifting to AI
7%
changing shape
0%
staying human
93%

These bars are tasks changing hands, not people being counted out. The ledger below shows which.

Whole-job exposure score 12 out of 100 (10–17 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, across 15 scored tasks. The number is the support for the sentence above it, not a headline about anyone’s future.

How we know this

What is measured: Every published task statement for road transport drivers n.e.c. is rated on five dimensions: can a model produce the output, does the work need a body in a room, does it need a legally accountable person, does it depend on a person being trusted in the moment, and how much data exists. A published formula turns those five ratings into the score; the model never writes the number.

How the bar is built: Each task’s share of the bar is its published importance weight, so a task you do all day counts for more than one you do twice a year.

Release: 2026-q4.1, scores computed 2026-08-04. Read the full method.

Your job, task by task

These are the official task statements for this occupation, in plain English, sorted by what the evidence says is happening to each one. The official wording sits under every line so you can check the rewrite against it.

Shifting to AI

1 task

Tasks today’s tools can already do most of. This is the part we will not soften: where these rows are the bulk of your week, the week changes.

  • Planning and optimising transit routes to comply with times specified by customers for delivery and collection

    This is reading one thing and writing another: transit routes in, a record out. That is the shape today's tools are built for.

    importance 60 · 8219/00
    Source: “Plan and optimise transit routes to comply with times specified by customers for delivery and collection.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 93 out of 100 (89–97 allowing for uncertainty): very high exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: reading one thing and writing another; the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch.

    The rating behind it: Route planning against customer time windows is a well-solved computing problem.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 4/4 · needs a body in a room 0/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

Changing shape

0 tasks

Tasks where the machine takes the producing and a person keeps the checking, the deciding, or the answering-for-it. For most jobs this is the biggest group, and it is where "transformation, not termination" is literally visible.

Nothing in this job’s scored task list landed in this group. That is the measurement, not an editorial choice, and it is worth knowing either way.

Staying human

14 tasks

Tasks that stay with a person, because they happen in the physical world, because the rules need someone accountable, or because the value is that a specific person does them.

  • Driving a fixed axle vehicle over 3.5 tonnes in weight

    This work happens in the physical world: a fixed axle vehicle over 3.5 tonnes, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 80 · 8219/00
    Source: “Drive a fixed axle vehicle over 3.5 tonnes in weight, delivering or collecting goods in urban locations as per contractual agreements.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: Driving the lorry is done from behind the wheel.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Driving lorries to deliver food

    This work happens in the physical world: lorries, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 70 · 8219/00
    Source: “Drive lorries to deliver food, medical supplies, or newspapers to specified destinations.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Driving a lorry to a delivery point is physical work at the wheel that no current system does on public roads.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 2/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Loading and unloading cargo from vehicles to ensure safe and efficient transport

    This work happens in the physical world: cargo, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 70 · 8219/00
    Source: “Load and unload cargo from vehicles to ensure safe and efficient transport.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: Moving cargo on and off a vehicle by hand or truck is physical work at the vehicle.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Loading and unloading goods from lorries for delivery and transporting operations

    This work happens in the physical world: goods, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 70 · 8219/00
    Source: “Load and unload goods from lorries for delivery and transport operations.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: Lifting goods on and off a lorry is hands-on work with the freight.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Manoeuvring the vehicle into position

    This work happens in the physical world: the vehicle, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 70 · 8219/00
    Source: “Manoeuvre the vehicle into position, typically in urban areas where space is at a premium.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: Manoeuvring in a tight street is done at the controls.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Managing changing volumes of load held in the vehicle during the daily urban delivery cycle

    This work happens in the physical world: volumes of load held, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 60 · 8219/00
    Source: “Manage changing volumes of load held in the vehicle during the daily urban delivery cycle.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 13 out of 100 (6–20 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: Load planning can be worked out, but shifting and checking the load happens in the vehicle.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Dynamicallying risk assess the work environment and situation

    This work happens in the physical world: risk assess the work environment, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 60 · 8219/00
    Source: “Dynamically risk assess the work environment and situation.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: Assessing risk as conditions change means being present and seeing them.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Regularlying review, adjust and securing the load

    This work happens in the physical world: review, adjust and securing the load, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 60 · 8219/00
    Source: “Regularly review, adjust, and secure the load.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: Checking and restrapping a load is done with your hands.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Processing goods in accordance with agreed procedures

    This work happens in the physical world: goods, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 50 · 8219/00
    Source: “Process goods in accordance with agreed procedures, including refusals, returns, or partial deliveries.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 32 out of 100 (25–39 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: The paperwork for returns and refusals is standard, though handling the goods happens at the door.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 3/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

Show the other 5 tasks

  • Attending regular training to maintain knowledge of safeguarding and health and safety

    staying human

    The ratings behind this row put this work well outside what today's tools can do on their own.

    importance 50 · 8219/00
    Source: “Attend regular training to maintain knowledge of safeguarding and health and safety.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 26 out of 100 (19–33 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over.

    The rating behind it: Attending safeguarding and safety training is something the driver has to take part in personally.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 1/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 1/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Meeting Health and Safety compliance requirements in line with company policies and procedures

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: health, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 50 · 8219/00
    Source: “Meet Health and Safety compliance requirements in line with company policies and procedures.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 25 out of 100 (18–32 allowing for uncertainty): low exposure, medium confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; mistakes that are cheap to catch; work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: Safety rules are written down and easy to check, but complying with them happens on the road.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 2/4 · needs a body in a room 2/4 · needs an accountable person 1/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Maintaining driving licence through continuous professional development

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: licence, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 50 · 8219/00
    Source: “Maintain driving licence through continuous professional development.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 6 out of 100 (2–10 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: the same decision, made over and over; work that happens in the physical world; someone qualified has to answer for it.

    The rating behind it: Driver training must be attended in person by the licence holder for it to count.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 1/4 · needs a body in a room 3/4 · needs an accountable person 3/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 3/4.

  • Fueling, preparing and monitoring urban vehicles for operation

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: urban vehicles, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 50 · 8219/00
    Source: “Fuel, prepare, and monitor urban vehicles for operation.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world.

    The rating behind it: Fuelling and checking over a vehicle is done at the vehicle.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 0/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

  • Upholding corporate values when driving

    staying human

    This work happens in the physical world: corporate values, in a real place. Software cannot follow it there.

    importance 50 · 8219/00
    Source: “Uphold corporate values when driving, by considering the needs of vulnerable road users and other stakeholders.” (UK task statement)
    How this row was scored

    Exposure score: 0 out of 100 (0–4 allowing for uncertainty): minimal exposure, high confidence.

    Why it sits in this group: work that happens in the physical world; the value is that a specific person does it.

    The rating behind it: Driving considerately around cyclists and pedestrians happens in the cab, moment by moment.

    The five ratings: output a model can produce 0/4 · needs a body in a room 4/4 · needs an accountable person 0/4 · needs to be trusted in the moment 2/4 · how much data exists 2/4.

What this job pays, and how many people do it

Median pay
£32,900a year, before tax, the middle of the range, so half earn more and half earn less.ashe-t14, 2025 · ASHE 2025 provisional (reference April 2025)Provisional, because the ONS revises this figure in the autumn.
How we know this

Source: ashe-t14

Reference period: ASHE 2025 provisional (reference April 2025)

Rounding: Shown to the nearest £100. The exact published figure is in the downloadable dataset. We do not render pounds the survey cannot support.

People doing this job
27,400in the UK, 2026.nomis-aps · Apr 2025-Mar 2026 (latest APS 12-month period)This headcount comes from a survey, not a census, so treat it as a good estimate rather than an exact count.

What is deliberately not here: a forecast of how many of these jobs exist in ten years. Where an official projection exists for a market we publish it with its vintage; where it does not, we leave the space empty rather than borrow the other country’s number.

Why this is shifting

The reason is boringly specific. Most of what is shifting here is reading one thing and writing another: transit routes in, a record out. The rows above are exactly that shape: planning and optimising transit routes to comply with times specified by customers for delivery and collection. What it cannot do is be there in the room, and that is still where a fixed axle vehicle over 3.5 tonnes get done. Which is why this page talks about your tasks changing, not your job ending.

Your move

Over a pint: what I’d tell you if you were my friend

Start with what does not change: driving a fixed axle vehicle over 3.5 tonnes in weight is the middle of this job, and the evidence on this page says it stays with a person.

So, given all that: 7% of this job's task weight sits in rows the software is already learning, 0% in rows that change shape rather than disappear, and 93% in rows it is nowhere near. That is the position, measured across 15 scored tasks. It is not a forecast about you.

So the thing worth your attention is not the job going away. It is the layer around it. Planning and optimising transit routes to comply with times specified by customers for delivery and collection is the part turning into software, and being the person who understands that layer is worth money.

This week: one thing

Ask the one question. Find whoever is bringing new software into your workplace (the manager, the office, whoever runs the system) and ask them what it is meant to do to transit routes, and what it is not meant to touch. Ten minutes, this week, before anyone decides it for you.

What you end up holding
a straight answer about what is actually being rolled out, and when
How long it takes
ten minutes

If there’s nobody obvious to ask, or you’d rather not ask your manager: Put the same question to your union rep, your shift lead or the person who has been there longest, in person, over a break. Same ten minutes, same answer, and you will usually get a straighter one. Write down what they say. The note is the artifact, and it tells you whether a fixed axle vehicle over 3.5 tonnes are in scope or not. Nothing to log into, no licence needed.

Over the next 90 days

Get inside the tool rollout rather than waiting for it. Over the next ninety days, ask to be in the group that tests, checks or signs off whatever new system arrives near driving a fixed axle vehicle over 3.5 tonnes in weight. It is usually an unglamorous seat that nobody fights for, and it is the one that decides how the software is used on your job rather than to it.

Over the next 12 months

On this evidence I would not retrain out of this job, and I will say that plainly rather than hedge it. The task list here is dominated by work that stays with a person. What I would do with a year is get formally recognised for the layer around it (the systems, the compliance, the planning), so you are the one who understands the software instead of the one it is done to. Before you pay for anything, spend an hour with National Careers Service. It is free and government-funded, and it is listed below with the rest of the free routes.

The roads out of here, and why I am not sending you down them

I looked at the obvious moves out of this job, and here is what I found.

I checked the 12 nearest UK occupations to road transport drivers n.e.c. (nearest by the work that AI is not taking, not by job title), and none of them survived. The closest was delivery operatives: only about 20% of its durable work is work you already do and it pays 12.6% less. And on the numbers you do not need one. This job scores 12/100 here, with only 7% of the task list in the top band, and “drive a fixed axle vehicle over 3.5 tonnes in weight, delivering or…” is not work that hands over cleanly. None of them beats deepening what you already have.

How that was checked: this job was compared against all 412 UK occupations in this release on their official task statements, and the 12 nearest were examined one by one. A move that turns on an industry, an employer or a qualification rather than on the work itself will not show up in a check like that. And this release carries no licence register, so anything you are weighing needs that looked up separately.

3 moves I checked and rejected

These are the obvious-looking jumps. They are here with their reasons rather than quietly dropped, because the ones that fail are worth knowing about. It is one less thing to turn over at night.

  • Delivery operatives

    Why it looked obvious: It came up as a near neighbour because one of your tasks is on their list in the same words: “drive a fixed axle vehicle over 3.5 tonnes in weight, delivering or collecting goods in urban…”. Across the whole of both lists that adds up to about 20% of the work in that job the software is not taking.

    Why I am not recommending it: You would be starting most of it from nothing: about 20% of the durable work in that job is work you do today, and the rest you would be learning while the bills carried on. It is a pay cut, in those words: £28,749 against your £32,892, 12.6% less (ASHE Table 14.7a, 2025 provisional (both)). Retraining to earn less is a decision, not advice.

    Look at that job’s page anyway →

  • Heavy and large goods vehicle drivers

    Why it looked obvious: It came up as a near neighbour because one of your tasks is on their list in the same words: “drive lorries to deliver food, medical supplies, or newspapers to specified destinations”. Across the whole of both lists that adds up to about 12% of the work in that job the software is not taking.

    Why I am not recommending it: You would be starting most of it from nothing: about 12% of the durable work in that job is work you do today, and the rest you would be learning while the bills carried on.

    Look at that job’s page anyway →

  • Roundspersons and van salespersons

    Why it looked obvious: It came up as a near neighbour because one of your tasks is on their list in the same words: “drive lorries to deliver food, medical supplies, or newspapers to specified destinations”. Across the whole of both lists that adds up to about 11% of the work in that job the software is not taking.

    Why I am not recommending it: You would be starting most of it from nothing: about 11% of the durable work in that job is work you do today, and the rest you would be learning while the bills carried on. It is a pay cut, in those words: £27,401 against your £32,892, 16.7% less (ASHE Table 14.7a, 2025 provisional (both)). Retraining to earn less is a decision, not advice.

    Look at that job’s page anyway →

What I’d stop worrying about

A friend tells you what not to spend fear on. This is that list.

  • The headline number you read somewhere

    The big “X% of jobs” figures are about the whole economy, not about you. The number that describes your job is on this page: 7% of its task weight, across 15 scored tasks. Every row behind it is printed above with the source. Check ours; ignore theirs.

  • The headlines about your trade disappearing

    They are usually about the technology, not the timetable. Changes to work like driving a fixed axle vehicle over 3.5 tonnes in weight arrive through rules, insurance and money, slowly and visibly. This page tracks the task evidence and will move when it moves.

  • Retraining out of a job that is holding up

    On this evidence I would not spend money leaving. Spend it on the layer around the job instead: the tools, the paperwork, the planning. That is where the change actually is.

  • The “obvious” next job everyone suggests

    I checked the obvious moves and most of them did not survive. The reasons are printed with the routes above, including the pay and the gate. A move that fails on the numbers is worth knowing about so you can stop turning it over at night.

You are reading the United Kingdom figures

The United States splits this work across more than one official group, of which Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians is the closest. The pay and employment figures are not directly comparable, and we do not average them together.

Switch to the United States page →partial match

The other groups this work is counted across:

In US official statistics this job is counted as Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians, Driver/Sales Workers, Light Truck Drivers, Shuttle Drivers and Chauffeurs and Taxi Drivers. Pay is shown separately for each of those groups (medians cannot be averaged together), while the task list and the scores on this page are for this group only.

Your route through this

Where to go next, and what it costs

Free, and complete

The moves above cost nothing. These are the real services that go with them: public, government-funded, and free at the point of use. Nothing on this page is behind an email address or a payment.

No Space for this job, but one for what is happening to it

Nothing Collab365 runs is built for road transport drivers n.e.c., and we are not going to point you at the nearest one and call it a fit.

There is one that is not about a job title at all. The AI Authority is about being the person who directs these tools at work rather than the person they get compared to. That is worth saying here, because 7% of the work on this page is already inside what they can do.

Try The AI Authority free →

7 days free, no card needed. Explore up to 2 Spaces before you choose a plan: you pick a plan later, not now.

The AI Authority is a general community about working with AI, not a course for road transport drivers n.e.c.. You do not need it to act on anything here: the moves above cost nothing and stand on their own. The data on this page is the same either way.

Noted, and thank you. We’ll email you if a Space for road transport drivers n.e.c. launches. Nothing else.

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No Space for road transport drivers n.e.c. yet. Should there be one?

Collab365 Spaces is built by the same people as this site. We find the problems that AI and automation are creating inside one kind of work, then solve them as short courses, briefings and Blueprints. Each Space is the community too, so the research and the people doing your job are in the same place.

What a Space actually is, in full

Collab365 launches new communities where the need is real. If one for road transport drivers n.e.c. existed, with researched problems, courses and people in the same boat, would you want in?

We use your email address for one thing: to tell you if a Space for road transport drivers n.e.c. launches. We never sell it, never use it for unrelated marketing, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe. Our privacy policy has the full version.

This unlocks nothing. Every figure, every row and every step on this page is already yours, whether you fill this in or not.

No deadline on any of this. The page will still be here, and the data is refreshed on a published schedule rather than when someone wants a headline.

Questions people ask about this job

Will AI replace Road transport drivers n.e.c.?
Not as a job, but it is already doing parts of the work. Across the 15 official task statements scored for Road transport drivers n.e.c. (United Kingdom, SOC 8219), 7% of the importance-weighted core work is made of tasks today's AI could already do most of. The overall exposure score is 12 out of 100 (range 10–17, band: minimal). That is a statement about tasks, not about headcount: this measures what AI could do, not whether any employer adopts it, whether the law allows it, or whether doing the routine parts faster creates more demand for the human parts. Figures are from release 2026-q4.1.
Which tasks in “Road transport drivers n.e.c.” can AI already do?
The highest-scoring tasks in release 2026-q4.1 are: “Plan and optimise transit routes to comply with times specified by customers for delivery and collection” (93/100, very high); “Process goods in accordance with agreed procedures, including refusals, returns, or partial deliveries” (32/100, low); “Attend regular training to maintain knowledge of safeguarding and health and safety” (26/100, low). Each score comes from five published 0–4 ratings turned into a number by a published formula, and each carries the model's one-sentence reason on the page.
Which tasks in “Road transport drivers n.e.c.” stay human?
About 93% of this job's task weight sits in work that scores low for AI exposure. The lowest-scoring tasks in release 2026-q4.1 are: “Uphold corporate values when driving, by considering the needs of vulnerable road users and other stakeholders” (0/100, minimal); “Fuel, prepare, and monitor urban vehicles for operation” (0/100, minimal); “Regularly review, adjust, and secure the load” (0/100, minimal). Low scores usually mean the task needs a body in a room, a legally accountable human, or trust built in real time. Those are the three things the scoring rubric treats as gates rather than obstacles.
What should someone working in “Road transport drivers n.e.c.” do about AI?
Start from the ledger rather than the headline: 7% of this job's weighted core work is exposed, and roughly 93% is not. The practical move is to spend more of your week on the tasks that score low, the ones above, and to get fluent at directing AI through the tasks that score high, because those are the parts that change whether or not you are ready for them. This page does not predict your job, and nothing here is career advice tailored to you: the score describes the occupation, not the person.
How is the AI exposure score for Road transport drivers n.e.c. calculated?
Each official task statement for the occupation is rated on five published 0–4 dimensions (output replicability, physical embodiment, licensed accountability, real-time human trust, and data availability) by claude-opus-5 using scoring prompt task_scoring_v1.0. The model never writes the score; a published formula turns the five ratings into a 0–100 number, so every score can be recomputed by hand. The occupation figure is the importance-weighted mean across 15 scored tasks. The prompt, the rubric, the formula and the full dataset are published at https://futureproof.collab365.com/method and https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1 under CC BY 4.0.

Where these numbers come from

About the data on this page

  • Provisional, because the ONS revises this figure in the autumn.
  • This headcount comes from a survey, not a census, so treat it as a good estimate rather than an exact count.
  • The match between this job and its counterpart in the other country is partial, so the two pages count slightly different groups of people.
  • 1 of this occupation's scored task statements carry a score that was measured under a different occupation's context, because the statement is shared between jobs and has only been scored once so far. Each one names the occupation it was measured under in the free routes below; none is presented as a measurement for this job.
  • Task clusters are not derived in this release, so the task-cluster field is empty and no Collab365 Space routing is attached to this occupation yet.
Task statements
gaisi-indexProcessing: catalogue-bridge → ssc-relatedness-weighting → task-scoring → score-aggregation
Task weights
gaisi-index (relatedness)
Scores
Rubric task_scoring_v1.0, model claude-opus-5, computed 2026-08-05.
Pay and employment
ashe-t14 (ASHE 2025 provisional (reference April 2025))nomis-aps (Apr 2025-Mar 2026 (latest APS 12-month period))

Figures on this page come from release 2026-q4.1, published 2026-08-05. Every release keeps its own permanent address, so a figure you cite in March is still there, unchanged, in November.

The plain-English wording on this page is assembled directly from the task statements and the published ratings, not written by hand for this occupation. That is why it is specific, and it is also why we say so.

The routes and free resources further up are today’s, not the release’s (last reviewed 2026-08-05). A route is an offer, not a historical fact, so it moves on its own clock.

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Everything on this site is published under CC BY 4.0. Quote it, chart it, sell something built on it. Just say where it came from, and cite the dated release rather than the site, so the figure you quote stays checkable.

Plain text

Collab365 (2026). Collab365 Futureproof: task-level AI exposure for US and UK occupations, release 2026-q4.1 (methodVersion 2.0.0, promptVersion task_scoring_v1.0). https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1. Licensed CC BY 4.0. Built with O*NET data (USDOL/ETA, CC BY 4.0); ONS data (Open Government Licence v3.0); GAISI task framework (arXiv:2507.22748, MIT); BLS data (public domain).

BibTeX

@misc{collab365futureproof2026q41,
  title        = {Collab365 Futureproof: task-level AI exposure for US and UK occupations, release 2026-q4.1},
  author       = {{Collab365}},
  year         = {2026},
  url          = {https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1},
  note         = {Release 2026-q4.1, methodVersion 2.0.0, promptVersion task_scoring_v1.0, CC BY 4.0}
}

Permalink

https://futureproof.collab365.com/data/2026-q4.1

Data as of release 2026-q4.1, published . Releases never change after publication; when the figures move, a new dated release is published beside this one and this one stays exactly where it is.